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$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ πβ‘οΈπ€ Tesla: compression, catalysts, and a rate-cut tailwind π€β‘οΈπ Iβm posting this on 10Aug25 NZST after reviewing my 4H Keltner and Bollinger setup for $TSLA. Price is pressing the upper Keltner and riding the 13/21 EMAs with a clean reclaim of the 55 EMA near 323 to 325. The band width is widening after a tight squeeze; that signals momentum expansion. My key levels remain 325 as near-term pivot; 335 to 340 as band crest; 353 as the next Fibonacci and volume-shelf target; and 310 as the invalidation zone for this push. The read is bullish while candles hold above the 21 EMA and the Keltner midline. A close above 335 with rising OBV would likely invite a run at 353. π Macro tailwind: the cut that feeds beta Iβm integrating the latest path from rates. Markets now price an ~89% chance of a 25 bp cut in September, per CME FedWatch, with some houses moving to multiple cuts into year-end. That reduces discount-rate pressure on long-duration tech and favours high-beta leaders like Tesla. JPMorgan brought forward its first cut call to September and now sees a string of reductions; futures-implied probabilities have surged week over week. π§ Autonomy and services: expanding footprint Iβm watching robotaxi expansion and hiring signals. Tesla has opened new roles tied to supervised robotaxi operations as the geofenced pilot extends beyond Austin and into the Bay Area, with further cities flagged. This is still invite-only and under regulatory constraints; however, it is a tangible step in the autonomy roadmap that underpins optionality on margins and services. π Energy storage flywheel: LGES supply Iβm incorporating the reported multi-year LG Energy Solution deal for energy-storage batteries. The structure reduces China-linked exposure, secures LFP supply, and supports scale in Megapack deployments; that matters for the non-auto margin story that investors often underweight. π Flow and positioning: accumulation on weakness Iβm noting recent buy-the-dip activity from ARK, which added 143,190 Tesla shares across funds late July. Options boards continue to show active LEAPS and heavy overall volume, consistent with medium-term bullish expression into a potential rate-cut cycle. π§ Trading plan framing Iβm constructive while price holds above 325 and the 13/21 EMA ribbon on the 4H. If 335 to 340 breaks on volume, I could lean into momentum for a move toward 353 where I expect responsive sellers. If the 4H closes back under 321 to 323 with expanding band width, I may step aside and reassess at 310. These are probability-weighted frameworks; not certainties. π― Why the setup matters now Iβm aligning three pieces: technical expansion out of a squeeze, macro relief from an increasingly probable cut, and fundamental progress in autonomy and energy storage that diversifies the earnings mix. That is the blend I want when beta starts to reprice. π’ Donβt miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets ππ Iβm obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Letβs outsmart the market and stack those gains together! π Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC πππππ @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerWire @TigerPicks @TigerObserver
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