To The Moon

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ 21Dec25 🇺🇸|22Dec25 🇳🇿 I’m treating this as a classic compression phase at elevated levels. $TSLA needs to hold $483.50 on a daily closing basis to keep the path toward $500 open. Price is tightening and needs to choose a direction. A hard loss of $477 would signal failed acceptance and, quite simply, no presents under the tree 🌲 for this name. 📊 My Daily Structure And Technical Read I anchor to the higher timeframe first. $TSLA has printed record weekly closes in the high $490s, which carries materially more signal than intraday extremes. Weekly structure remains intact and firming, not flattening, which continues to read as trend continuation rather than late-cycle distribution. On the daily chart, price is compressing just beneath highs. Former resistance in the $470–$480 zone has been absorbed and is now acting as structural support. The key operational levels on my chart remain clear: $498.87 and $494.73 overhead, $482.45 as the pivot, then $478.43 and $472.36 below. $464.90 sits as the deeper liquidity pocket if structure fails. My framework stays simple. Hold $483.50 on the daily and $500 remains a viable upside magnet. Lose $477 with conviction and I expect a fast liquidity-driven probe lower as positioning unwinds. RSI is holding in bullish-neutral territory with no divergence. MACD has cooled from extension and is resetting without breaking structure, consistent with healthy digestion. Diamond Momentum remains flat, signalling stored internal energy rather than decay. Volatility bands are beginning to widen after compression, increasing the probability of expansion once direction resolves. Volume continues to fade as price tightens. That matters. Tight ranges near highs on declining volume typically reflect seller exhaustion rather than distribution. Relative to broader indices, $TSLA continues to show resilience while other large-cap names rotate and digest. 🤖 Autonomy, Robotaxi, And The Data Flywheel I continue to view autonomy as a platform, not a feature. $TSLA has increased Robotaxi registrations in California by more than 1,000%, now standing at 1,655 vehicles. That reads to me as infrastructure preparation rather than marketing. Tesla has begun operating fully unsupervised Robotaxi services in Austin. No human supervisors, no safety monitors. This is the validation phase that bridges software capability and scaled deployment. Elon has stated that unsupervised autonomy is essentially solved, with FSD v14.3 expected in early 2026 bringing further reasoning and planning upgrades. Tesla has now surpassed 7 billion real-world miles driven on FSD Supervised. This is global, unstructured, real-world data. When San Francisco experienced a power outage, geofenced competitors reportedly paused operations while Tesla’s approach continued functioning. That contrast highlights the difference between systems trained on order versus systems trained on chaos. Tesla has also added a new safety page to its website, reinforcing the data-driven loop across its 8.6 million-vehicle global fleet. All Tesla models have received five-star NHTSA safety ratings, and real-world learnings are deployed continuously through free over-the-air software updates. Safety scales with software. 🧠 Software Cadence And Product Signals The 2025 Holiday Software Update (version 2025.44.25+) matters to me as a signal of cadence and ecosystem depth. Grok voice commands for navigation, 3D Supercharger site maps, redesigned Car Wash Mode, and enhanced visualisations using Unreal Engine are not headline features individually, but together they reinforce Tesla as a software-defined platform rather than a static vehicle manufacturer. 🛠️ Manufacturing And Cost Moat Tesla’s manufacturing advantage remains a physics and process moat, not a chemistry headline. Dry electrode manufacturing, tabless cell architecture, composite binders, parallel processing, and structural battery packs form a tightly coupled system. Solvents and drying ovens are removed. Factory footprints shrink. CapEx per GWh declines. Yield stability improves. Line speed increases. This is structural cost deletion, not incremental margin optimisation. At the vehicle level, structural battery packs eliminate modules, redundant steel, and the traditional floor. The battery becomes the load-bearing datum. Competitors can copy pieces of this stack, but not the full system without losing stability elsewhere. This is why Tesla’s specifications can look conservative while economics remain aggressive. The advantage compounds with scale. 🌍 Global Demand And Competitive Context Despite a softer US EV tape and reports of Tesla’s US vehicle sales dipping to a near four-year low in November 2025, demand remains highly regional. In Norway, more Model Ys have been registered in 2025 than any single brand has ever registered across all models combined. Still breaking records. Tusen takk Norge (igjen!) 🇳🇴 At the same time, weaker competitors are retrenching. Ford has cut roughly $19.5B in planned EV investment, reinforcing that this phase of the cycle favours balance-sheet strength and manufacturing scale rather than ambition alone. In China, Tesla has begun selling a Model YL air mattress for ¥1,199. It is not about revenue. It is about ecosystem behaviour and attach-rate thinking inside a massive installed base. 📈 Capital Alignment And Governance Elon currently holds approximately 304M exercisable stock options from his 2018 compensation package at a $23.34 strike. At current prices, those options are worth roughly $139.2B before taxes. He has until January 2028 to exercise, and exercised shares must be held for five years. After taxes, exercising all options would leave him owning roughly 18% of Tesla based on the current share count, potentially more depending on funding mechanics. He does not need to sell Tesla shares to fund the tax bill. SpaceX, xAI, and staggered exercise timing provide flexibility. This excludes any additional ownership from the approved 2025 CEO Performance Award. The Delaware Supreme Court ruling avoids more than $100B in potential accounting charges, aligning leadership incentives with long-term shareholders. Elon’s recent meeting with Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed, Crown Prince of Dubai, highlights Tesla’s growing presence in sovereign-scale discussions around energy, AI infrastructure, and future mobility. 🎯 My Decision Map I keep this framework clean. $TSLA needs to hold $483.50 on the daily to keep $500 in play. Price is tightening and must resolve. A hard loss of $477 would invalidate the immediate bullish structure. When Tesla compresses like this near a major round number, it rarely stays quiet for long. 📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀 Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀 @Tiger_comments @Daily_Discussion @TigerObserver @TigerStars @TigerWire @TigerPicks