CayChan
01-04 22:08

🛢️ Impact on Oil Prices (WTI / Brent)

Immediate impact: UPWARD volatility

Markets react first to risk, not long-term plans.

Why oil tends to spike initially:

• Venezuela = geopolitically sensitive oil state

• Military intervention = war premium

• Risk of:

• Production disruption

• Sabotage

• Sanctions confusion

• Shipping & insurance issues

👉 Even if Venezuela’s output is relatively low today, headline risk alone lifts prices.

Typical reaction pattern:

• First 24–72 hours: oil jumps

• Options implied volatility spikes

• Energy equities outperform temporarily

Trump Says U.S. Has Captured Maduro And Will 'Run' Venezuela. What Happens Next In Markets.

U.S. oil companies will repair infrastructure in Venezuela, Trump tells reporters. President Donald Trump said a U.S. military operation has resulted in the capture of Venezuela's president, Nicolás Maduro.President Donald Trump announced the capture of Maduro and said the Venezuelan leader will be put on trial in the U.S. on charges of narcoterrorism.While the U.S. operation against Venezuela did not come entirely out of the blue, the timing may have caught many by surprise. On the prediction market Kalshi, for instance, the market for Maduro leaving office before February was trading around 13 cents on the dollar.Trump, speaking at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida, said U.S. oil companies XLE would "go in" to Venezuela, "spend billions of dollars, fix the badly broken infrastructure, the oil infrastructure, and start making money for the country.". Trump told reporters the U.S. will "run" Venezuela until what he called a safe and judicious transition has taken place.Gold usually is
Trump Says U.S. Has Captured Maduro And Will 'Run' Venezuela. What Happens Next In Markets.

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