Just added x1 Adobe (ADBE) at $328.75.
📉 The Setup: Technical & Fundamental Fusion
We aren't just buying a name; we are buying a massive valuation disconnect.
P/E Compression: ADBE is currently trading at a normalized P/E of ~16x–20x. Compare that to its 5-year average of 40x! We are seeing the lowest multiples since 2012. 🤯
Retesting Multi-Year Support: The $325–$330 range is a "iron floor" zone. We've seen heavy institutional buying at these levels historically. By sniping this at $328.75, I feel like it is entering right at the point where the risk/reward ratio is heavily skewed in our favor.
Oversold Signals: The stock is down over 20% in the last year, largely due to "AI fatigue" fears.
🚀 The Catalyst: The AI Moat is Real
Market skeptics are questioning Adobe's monetization, but they are missing the forest for the trees:
Firefly Integration: Adobe isn't just "adding" AI; they are weaving Firefly into the bedrock of the Creative Cloud. Generative credit consumption is up 3x quarter-over-quarter.
SaaS Moat: With a gross margin of nearly 90% and an 11% growth target in ARR for 2026, the cash-flow machine is far from broken.
Enterprise Sticky-ness: Figma and Canva are great for amateurs, but professionals live in the Adobe ecosystem. That moat is wider than people think.
💡 Final Verdict
With a median analyst target sitting above $500, the upside potential here is relatively big compared to the downside at these levels.
Will slowly DCA Long ADBE into my long term portfolio whenever I see any chance 📈
Trade Safe, Tiger Friends! [666]
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
- stomachooo·01-06 01:43TOPSolid buy at $328! ADBE's valuation gap is insane, mate. [强]LikeReport