TESLA DOWNWARD PRINT
$TSLA continues to sell off with sequentially increasing volume, first daily close below 2025 Uptrend Support, negative CVD, and near term lower low printed.
Our caution on Q1 2026 has played out as anticipated.
Price and volume dynamics continue to suggest TSLA has been in Wyckoff Distribution since October 2025, as every higher high saw diminishing volume and bearish divergence in CVD.
This is why we closed out 100% of our TSLA calls in December, mostly from $450+
Breaking 2025 uptrend support can accelerate downside risk toward $400, $390, and the mid $300s.
Q4 2025 Earnings will be the catalyst that determines direction.
We are slowly accumulating shares on the way down, and being very patient with new calls.
Selling off into earnings can set up for a potential bounce as the “bad news” is being priced in. It also sets the bar lower for expectations so whatever Tesla announces could be viewed as “less bad”.
Of course there’s always risk of a complete disappointment if Tesla announces significant delays in Robotaxi ramp and safety monitor removal.
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