Why Returns Don’t Always Compound-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

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Why Returns Don’t Always Compound

Long_Equity
01-24

Here’s a checklist of what I consider when analysing a company:

Financial metrics

- Return on capital

- FCF per share growth

- Margin expansion

- Debt affordability

Supply chain

- Market growth rate

- Market share growth

- Cyclicality

Pricing power / competition

- Essential or discretionary?

- Affordable?

- Alternatives?

Valuation

- Priced in growth vs actual growth

- Forward FCF yield

What would you add?

And，

In year 1, you invest $100 and get a $40 return.

In year 2, you invest $50 and get a $20 return.

In year 3, you invest $25 and get a $10 return.

In each year the return on capital is 40%, but the growth rate was -50%. That's why monitoring invested capital is important - compounding requires reinvestment.

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":525096238010696,"tweetId":"525096238010696","gmtCreate":1769215897570,"gmtModify":1769220236217,"author":{"id":4120987054613802,"idStr":"4120987054613802","authorId":4120987054613802,"authorIdStr":"4120987054613802","name":"Long_Equity","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/43412c9581fc7eef840624d0829cb637","vip":8,"userType":8,"introduction":"Concentrated Global Equity Fund","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":1496,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/62e040c4d73c741662d709873cd4f330"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0c1f52f0ec3a2f13f04e1a6a1b8cfcc6"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/62e040c4d73c741662d709873cd4f330"}],"title":"Why Returns Don’t Always Compound","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>Here’s a checklist of what I consider when analysing a company:</p>\n<p>Financial metrics</p>\n<p>- Return on capital</p>\n<p>- FCF per share growth</p>\n<p>- Margin expansion</p>\n<p>- Debt affordability</p>\n<p>Supply chain</p>\n<p>- Market growth rate</p>\n<p>- Market share growth</p>\n<p>- Cyclicality</p>\n<p>Pricing power / competition</p>\n<p>- Essential or discretionary?</p>\n<p>- Affordable?</p>\n<p>- Alternatives?</p>\n<p>Valuation</p>\n<p>- Priced in growth vs actual growth</p>\n<p>- Forward FCF yield</p>\n<p>What would you add?</p>\n<p>And，</p>\n<p>In year 1, you invest $100 and get a $40 return.</p>\n<p>In year 2, you invest $50 and get a $20 return.</p>\n<p>In year 3, you invest $25 and get a $10 return.</p>\n<p>In each year the return on capital is 40%, but the growth rate was -50%. That's why monitoring invested capital is important - compounding requires reinvestment.</p>\n<h2 id=\"id_2735439632\" style=\"text-align: start;\"><span class=\"color-mark\" style=\"color: rgb(230, 126, 35);\">For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.</span></h2>\n<p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/507537437684112\" title=\"🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks &amp; ETFs – Greater Flexibility Now\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks &amp; ETFs – Greater Flexibility Now</a></p>\n<h2 id=\"id_2434358027\" style=\"text-align: start;\"><span class=\"color-mark\" style=\"color: rgb(230, 126, 35);\">Find out more here.</span></h2>\n<blockquote>\n <p>Complete your first Cash Boost Account trade with a trade amount of ≥ SGD1000* to get <strong>SGD 688 stock vouchers</strong>*! The trade can be executed using any payment type available under the Cash Boost Account:<strong> Cash, CPF, SRS, or CDP.</strong></p>\n <p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/link?target=https%3A%2F%2Fsg.tigermarketw.com%2Factivity2%2Fmarket%2F2025%2Fcontra-invitation%3Flang%3Den_US%26useAnimation%3Dtrue\" title=\"Click to access the activity\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">Click to access the activity</a></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/62e040c4d73c741662d709873cd4f330\"></p>\n</blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Other helpful links:</strong></p>\n<ul style=\"\">\n <li>\n  <p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/367769452580952\" title=\"💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉</a></p></li>\n <li>\n  <p><a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/sg/help/detail/06324754?_sasdk=fNDE0MTg2NzAwNTE0OTk2Mg\" title=\"How to open a CBA.\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">How to open a CBA.</a> <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/sg/help/detail/how-to-link-CDP?_sasdk=fNDE0MTg2NzAwNTE0OTk2Mg\" title=\"How to link your CDP account.\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">How to link your CDP account.</a> <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/sg/help/detail/contra-faq?_sasdk=fNDE0MTg2NzAwNTE0OTk2Mg\" title=\"Other FAQs on CBA.\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">Other FAQs on CBA.</a> <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/sg/invest/cash-boost\" title=\"Cash Boost Account Website.\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">Cash Boost Account Website.</a></p></li>\n</ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0c1f52f0ec3a2f13f04e1a6a1b8cfcc6\"></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Here’s a checklist of what I consider when analysing a company:</p>\n<p>Financial metrics</p>\n<p>- Return on capital</p>\n<p>- FCF per share growth</p>\n<p>- Margin expansion</p>\n<p>- Debt affordability</p>\n<p>Supply chain</p>\n<p>- Market growth rate</p>\n<p>- Market share growth</p>\n<p>- Cyclicality</p>\n<p>Pricing power / competition</p>\n<p>- Essential or discretionary?</p>\n<p>- Affordable?</p>\n<p>- Alternatives?</p>\n<p>Valuation</p>\n<p>- Priced in growth vs actual growth</p>\n<p>- Forward FCF yield</p>\n<p>What would you add?</p>\n<p>And，</p>\n<p>In year 1, you invest $100 and get a $40 return.</p>\n<p>In year 2, you invest $50 and get a $20 return.</p>\n<p>In year 3, you invest $25 and get a $10 return.</p>\n<p>In each year the return on capital is 40%, but the growth rate was -50%. That's why monitoring invested capital is important - compounding requires reinvestment.</p>\n<h2 id=\"id_2735439632\" style=\"text-align: start;\"><span class=\"color-mark\" style=\"color: rgb(230, 126, 35);\">For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.</span></h2>\n<p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/507537437684112\" title=\"🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks &amp; ETFs – Greater Flexibility Now\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks &amp; ETFs – Greater Flexibility Now</a></p>\n<h2 id=\"id_2434358027\" style=\"text-align: start;\"><span class=\"color-mark\" style=\"color: rgb(230, 126, 35);\">Find out more here.</span></h2>\n<blockquote>\n <p>Complete your first Cash Boost Account trade with a trade amount of ≥ SGD1000* to get <strong>SGD 688 stock vouchers</strong>*! The trade can be executed using any payment type available under the Cash Boost Account:<strong> Cash, CPF, SRS, or CDP.</strong></p>\n <p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/link?target=https%3A%2F%2Fsg.tigermarketw.com%2Factivity2%2Fmarket%2F2025%2Fcontra-invitation%3Flang%3Den_US%26useAnimation%3Dtrue\" title=\"Click to access the activity\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">Click to access the activity</a></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/62e040c4d73c741662d709873cd4f330\"></p>\n</blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Other helpful links:</strong></p>\n<ul style=\"\">\n <li>\n  <p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/367769452580952\" title=\"💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉</a></p></li>\n <li>\n  <p><a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/sg/help/detail/06324754?_sasdk=fNDE0MTg2NzAwNTE0OTk2Mg\" title=\"How to open a CBA.\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">How to open a CBA.</a> <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/sg/help/detail/how-to-link-CDP?_sasdk=fNDE0MTg2NzAwNTE0OTk2Mg\" title=\"How to link your CDP account.\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">How to link your CDP account.</a> <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/sg/help/detail/contra-faq?_sasdk=fNDE0MTg2NzAwNTE0OTk2Mg\" title=\"Other FAQs on CBA.\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">Other FAQs on CBA.</a> <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/sg/invest/cash-boost\" title=\"Cash Boost Account Website.\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link rich-text-anchor __anchor-intercept-flag__ text-content-link\">Cash Boost Account Website.</a></p></li>\n</ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0c1f52f0ec3a2f13f04e1a6a1b8cfcc6\"></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p></body></html>","text":"Here’s a checklist of what I consider when analysing a company: Financial metrics - Return on capital - FCF per share growth - Margin expansion - Debt affordability Supply chain - Market growth rate - Market share growth - Cyclicality Pricing power / competition - Essential or discretionary? - Affordable? - Alternatives? Valuation - Priced in growth vs actual growth - Forward FCF yield What would you add? And， In year 1, you invest $100 and get a $40 return. In year 2, you invest $50 and get a $20 return. In year 3, you invest $25 and get a $10 return. In each year the return on capital is 40%, but the growth rate was -50%. That's why monitoring invested capital is important - compounding requires reinvestment. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. 🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs – Greater Flexibility Now Find out more here. Complete your first Cash Boost Account trade with a trade amount of ≥ SGD1000* to get SGD 688 stock vouchers*! The trade can be executed using any payment type available under the Cash Boost Account: Cash, CPF, SRS, or CDP. Click to access the activity Other helpful links: 💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉 How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/525096238010696","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1173,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}