How to view Silver’s plunge
This was a liquidity and positioning unwind, not a collapse in the long-term thesis. Silver had significantly outperformed gold and became the most crowded expression of the precious-metals trade. When geopolitical risk eased and U.S. data stayed firm, silver absorbed the bulk of the deleveraging. Its higher beta means sharp drops are a feature, not a bug.
The speed of the fall suggests forced selling and margin pressure, not a reassessment of structural demand.
Could Silver fall to $60 or $50
$60 is plausible in a full sentiment washout, especially if real yields firm and gold consolidates.
$50 would likely require a broader macro shock: a sharp USD surge, aggressive rate repricing, or a disorderly unwind across commodities. Possible, but not the base case.
Below $65, silver historically shifts from “risk asset” back into value accumulation territory.
Have profits been taken
From a risk-management perspective, trimming into parabolic moves above prior resistance was prudent. When an asset delivers multi-standard-deviation gains in a short window, harvesting partial profits is discipline, not bearishness.
Where is the adding zone
Rather than one price, think in tiers:
$70–72: Tactical adds for high-risk tolerance
$62–65: High-conviction accumulation zone
Below $55: Deep value, assuming gold holds structurally above its breakout range
Position sizing matters more than precision. Silver punishes leverage and rewards patience.
Bottom line
This is a violent reset, not a broken story. Silver remains a late-cycle hedge and industrial-monetary hybrid, but it must first flush excess optimism. If gold stabilises and macro risk resurfaces later in the year, today’s panic selling will look like groundwork, not a peak.
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