Index level:
I would avoid chasing strength after record highs. Momentum is extended and flow-driven. Prefer buying only on pullbacks into support and taking profits quickly. If volatility compresses, range trading beats directional bets.
Big Tech positioning:
Alphabet: Relatively resilient. I would consider adding on weakness not tied to fundamentals.
Apple: Defensive relative play. Comfortable holding, but not chasing.
Amazon and Microsoft: Stay cautious. CapEx repricing likely not finished.
Meta: Trim into rallies rather than add.
Tesla: Trading vehicle only. Treat bounces as sell opportunities.
Risk mindset:
Smaller size, defined risk, and partial cash. The easy upside is behind us. I would let price come to me rather than force trades.
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