If The Market Drops Another 20% — Does Your SGX Portfolio Survive?
If The Market Drops Another 20% — Does Your SGX Portfolio Survive?
The market celebrates record port throughput while jet fuel quietly bills your portfolio S$180–200 a barrel. That gap between gross volume and net margin is exactly where dividend sanctuaries go silent — and for SIA and DBS, the forensic numbers show the shock-absorption buffer is narrowing faster than the consensus expects.
If you are stress-testing a 20% drawdown against a 4.7% SRS hurdle at a 5,000-point STI, you need more than optimism — you need a capital structure audit. The 1.37% T-Bill baseline and my 3.2% Forensic Floor exist precisely to expose which "defensive" Temasek counters are genuinely fortress-grade and which are just busy harbours bleeding margin. The risk you are taking must be paid for by a yield that clears that spread, or the capital belongs in CPF SA.
📺 YouTube: https://youtu.be/M_k76-oaRg4
📩 Substack: https://investingiguana.substack.com/p/if-the-market-drops-another-20-does
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