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07-08 13:16

This guy is working for Trump and his bankers backers, not us the people.

Wednesday’s Fed Minutes Will Be Revealing — but Not in the Way Investors Hope

Minutes of the Fed’s June meeting will give more insight on how new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to run the central bank.

Wednesday’s Fed Minutes Will Be Revealing — but Not in the Way Investors Hope

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Keeping meeting minutes opaque may be part of that broader plan.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Last month, the Fed released a remarkably terse statement after its June meeting, and Warsh batted away questions from reporters on the outlook for interest rates. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Despite the relative silence, markets came away with the view that the tone of the meeting was “hawkish,” or leaning toward interest-rate hikes. Economists had expected at least a few Fed officials would assume the Fed would need to hike rates this year, but were surprised when nine officials signaled they thought rates should rise.</p><h3 id=\"id_34623040\" style=\"text-align: start;\">‘Not in the business of giving guidance’ </h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In early July, during a policy panel with other top central bankers, Warsh was again “silent on market relevant topics,” said economists at Citi in a recent note to clients.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Warsh is likely to continue that pattern with the minutes, Englander said.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Warsh made clear he is not in the business of giving guidance,” he said. “I don’t think he will let the minutes be a back door to something he doesn’t want the market to look at.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Fed records its policy meetings but doesn’t release an official transcript for five years. Instead, the central bank releases a “summary” of its internal discussions three weeks after each meeting.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The June meeting minutes will be released at 2 p.m. Eastern time on Wednesday.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Warsh could return the Fed to the days of former chairs Paul Volcker and Alan Greenspan, who were wary of too much transparency and didn’t include much useful information in the minutes. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Occasionally you would get a hint of some policy debate, but it’s a fraction of what we see now,” Englander noted.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Fed Chair Ben Bernanke revamped the minutes. For the first time, Bernanke included the views of officials who were not voting members of the Fed’s 12-member interest-rate committee, giving a broader sense of how the 19 Fed officials thought about the outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Even if Warsh’s Fed abandons that level of transparency, the minutes will still be useful for investors, according to Englander. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We’ll infer from the minutes what Warsh wants us to know and what he doesn’t want us to know. That will give us information on how he intends to run the show,” he said.</p><h3 id=\"id_3143267006\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Fed officials are communicating less</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Warsh has said he welcomes disagreement or a “family fight” among Fed officials in which they debate policy with an open mind.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But another connotation of a family fight is that the argument stays behind closed doors and outsiders really don’t know what the issues are, Englander noted. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Fed officials seem to have taken note of Warsh’s agenda to reduce the volume of commentary about the outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">According to one calendar of Fed events from Bloomberg, Fed officials have only spoken 18 times since their last meeting in late June. That’s down from 49 times over the same period last year, and 55 times two years ago.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Economists are not comfortable with Warsh’s efforts to have the Fed talk less. While they say the central bank doesn’t need to give “forward guidance” that locks it into specific actions, they think it is helpful when the investors understand how the Fed will react to a change in the economy. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Market signals get muddier when the market has to make guesses, both about what the latest data mean for the underlying outlook and how the Fed will respond to those changes,” said Lou Crandall, chief economist at Wrightson ICAP, in a note to clients.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Many economists think there will be greater asset-price volatility with a more reticent Fed.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Englander, for his part, said he thinks the effects will be modest. But “uninformative minutes” could lead to issues of credibility, he added.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">So far, Warsh has not said that he will raise interest rates if needed — just that he will deliver stable prices.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Avoiding any discussion of rate hikes may come to be seen by the market as a reluctance to move,” Englander said. “If the market perceives that he doesn’t want to talk about hikes to avoid offending the president, when the data say hikes should be on the table — that becomes a credibility issue.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wednesday’s Fed Minutes Will Be Revealing — but Not in the Way Investors Hope</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWednesday’s Fed Minutes Will Be Revealing — but Not in the Way Investors Hope\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-08 13:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Financial markets now seem to be on edge, as investors wait to see whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its next meeting at the end of the month. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Minutes of the central bank’s two-day meeting last month, which will be published Wednesday afternoon, are unlikely to provide much information to calm their nerves.</p><p>That’s because new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is likely to keep any insight about how close the Fed is to tightening its monetary policy under wraps, experts say. </p><p>Warsh is likely to end the practice where minutes give investors an occasional “peek behind the curtain,” said Steven Englander, global head of G-10 FX research for Standard Chartered Bank.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Since assuming office in late May, Warsh has followed through on his promise to talk less than some previous Fed chairs about what the central bank is planning to do. Keeping meeting minutes opaque may be part of that broader plan.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Last month, the Fed released a remarkably terse statement after its June meeting, and Warsh batted away questions from reporters on the outlook for interest rates. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Despite the relative silence, markets came away with the view that the tone of the meeting was “hawkish,” or leaning toward interest-rate hikes. Economists had expected at least a few Fed officials would assume the Fed would need to hike rates this year, but were surprised when nine officials signaled they thought rates should rise.</p><h3 id=\"id_34623040\" style=\"text-align: start;\">‘Not in the business of giving guidance’ </h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In early July, during a policy panel with other top central bankers, Warsh was again “silent on market relevant topics,” said economists at Citi in a recent note to clients.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Warsh is likely to continue that pattern with the minutes, Englander said.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Warsh made clear he is not in the business of giving guidance,” he said. “I don’t think he will let the minutes be a back door to something he doesn’t want the market to look at.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Fed records its policy meetings but doesn’t release an official transcript for five years. Instead, the central bank releases a “summary” of its internal discussions three weeks after each meeting.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The June meeting minutes will be released at 2 p.m. Eastern time on Wednesday.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Warsh could return the Fed to the days of former chairs Paul Volcker and Alan Greenspan, who were wary of too much transparency and didn’t include much useful information in the minutes. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Occasionally you would get a hint of some policy debate, but it’s a fraction of what we see now,” Englander noted.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Fed Chair Ben Bernanke revamped the minutes. For the first time, Bernanke included the views of officials who were not voting members of the Fed’s 12-member interest-rate committee, giving a broader sense of how the 19 Fed officials thought about the outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Even if Warsh’s Fed abandons that level of transparency, the minutes will still be useful for investors, according to Englander. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We’ll infer from the minutes what Warsh wants us to know and what he doesn’t want us to know. That will give us information on how he intends to run the show,” he said.</p><h3 id=\"id_3143267006\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Fed officials are communicating less</h3><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Warsh has said he welcomes disagreement or a “family fight” among Fed officials in which they debate policy with an open mind.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But another connotation of a family fight is that the argument stays behind closed doors and outsiders really don’t know what the issues are, Englander noted. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Fed officials seem to have taken note of Warsh’s agenda to reduce the volume of commentary about the outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">According to one calendar of Fed events from Bloomberg, Fed officials have only spoken 18 times since their last meeting in late June. That’s down from 49 times over the same period last year, and 55 times two years ago.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Economists are not comfortable with Warsh’s efforts to have the Fed talk less. While they say the central bank doesn’t need to give “forward guidance” that locks it into specific actions, they think it is helpful when the investors understand how the Fed will react to a change in the economy. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Market signals get muddier when the market has to make guesses, both about what the latest data mean for the underlying outlook and how the Fed will respond to those changes,” said Lou Crandall, chief economist at Wrightson ICAP, in a note to clients.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Many economists think there will be greater asset-price volatility with a more reticent Fed.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Englander, for his part, said he thinks the effects will be modest. But “uninformative minutes” could lead to issues of credibility, he added.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">So far, Warsh has not said that he will raise interest rates if needed — just that he will deliver stable prices.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Avoiding any discussion of rate hikes may come to be seen by the market as a reluctance to move,” Englander said. “If the market perceives that he doesn’t want to talk about hikes to avoid offending the president, when the data say hikes should be on the table — that becomes a credibility issue.”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VCIT":"美国中期公司债-Vanguard","KBE":"银行指数ETF-SPDR KBW","MINT":"PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Exchange-Traded Fund","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","SPXS":"三倍做空标普500ETF-Direxion","SCHO":"嘉信短期美国国债ETF","BND":"债券指数ETF-Vanguard美国","SHV":"美国短期国债ETF-iShares","YSPY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST SPY ETF","SPYH":"Neos S&P 500 Hedged Equity Income ETF","TLTW":"iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF","USHY":"iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF","DBND":"DoubleLine Opportunistic Bond ETF","VGIT":"中期国债ETF-Vanguard","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","BSV":"短期国债指数ETF-Vanguard","HIBL":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","AGG":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays综合国债","SPUU":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2x Shares","TBT":"债券20+美国债指数ETF-ProShares两倍做空","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SPDN":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares","SPYM":"投资组合标普500指数ETF-SPDR","GBIL":"Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF","TLH":"iShares安硕10-20年国债ETF","VGLT":"美国长期国债ETF-Vanguard","ZROZ":"PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","NGHT":"Nicholas Bitcoin and Treasuries AfterDark ETF","SPYQ":"2倍做多SPY Quarterly ETF-Tradr","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","VGSH":"美国短期国债ETF-Vanguard","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","BOXX":"ALPHA ARCHITECT 1-3 MONTH BOX ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","MMAX":"iShares Large Cap Max Buffer Mar ETF","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","UBT":"债券20+美国债-ProShares两倍做多","SPY":"标普500ETF","SPYU":"MAX S&P 500 4X Leveraged ETN","DIA":"道琼斯ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","UUP":"美元ETF-PowerShares DB","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","TIP":"通胀债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","JPST":"JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF","BIL":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays美国1-3月国债","TYO":"3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion","TMF":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion","TBIL":"US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","FAZ":"三倍做空金融ETF-Direxion",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BOND":"Pimco Total Return ETF","DMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER DEC ETF","SMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER SEP ETF","PBDC":"Putnam Bdc Income ETF","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","MUB":"美国市政债ETF-iShares","VCSH":"美国短期公司债-Vanguard","SPXL":"三倍做多标普500ETF-Direxion","GOLY":"Strategy Shares Gold Enhanced Yield ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","UDN":"做空美元指数-PowerShares","SKRE":"TUTTLE CAPITAL DAILY 2X INVERSE REGIONAL BANKS ETF","EDV":"美国延期国债ETF-Vanguard",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2649593259","content_text":"Financial markets now seem to be on edge, as investors wait to see whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its next meeting at the end of the month. Minutes of the central bank’s two-day meeting last month, which will be published Wednesday afternoon, are unlikely to provide much information to calm their nerves.That’s because new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is likely to keep any insight about how close the Fed is to tightening its monetary policy under wraps, experts say. Warsh is likely to end the practice where minutes give investors an occasional “peek behind the curtain,” said Steven Englander, global head of G-10 FX research for Standard Chartered Bank.Since assuming office in late May, Warsh has followed through on his promise to talk less than some previous Fed chairs about what the central bank is planning to do. Keeping meeting minutes opaque may be part of that broader plan.Last month, the Fed released a remarkably terse statement after its June meeting, and Warsh batted away questions from reporters on the outlook for interest rates. Despite the relative silence, markets came away with the view that the tone of the meeting was “hawkish,” or leaning toward interest-rate hikes. Economists had expected at least a few Fed officials would assume the Fed would need to hike rates this year, but were surprised when nine officials signaled they thought rates should rise.‘Not in the business of giving guidance’ In early July, during a policy panel with other top central bankers, Warsh was again “silent on market relevant topics,” said economists at Citi in a recent note to clients.Warsh is likely to continue that pattern with the minutes, Englander said.“Warsh made clear he is not in the business of giving guidance,” he said. “I don’t think he will let the minutes be a back door to something he doesn’t want the market to look at.”The Fed records its policy meetings but doesn’t release an official transcript for five years. Instead, the central bank releases a “summary” of its internal discussions three weeks after each meeting.The June meeting minutes will be released at 2 p.m. Eastern time on Wednesday.Warsh could return the Fed to the days of former chairs Paul Volcker and Alan Greenspan, who were wary of too much transparency and didn’t include much useful information in the minutes. “Occasionally you would get a hint of some policy debate, but it’s a fraction of what we see now,” Englander noted.Fed Chair Ben Bernanke revamped the minutes. For the first time, Bernanke included the views of officials who were not voting members of the Fed’s 12-member interest-rate committee, giving a broader sense of how the 19 Fed officials thought about the outlook.Even if Warsh’s Fed abandons that level of transparency, the minutes will still be useful for investors, according to Englander. “We’ll infer from the minutes what Warsh wants us to know and what he doesn’t want us to know. That will give us information on how he intends to run the show,” he said.Fed officials are communicating lessWarsh has said he welcomes disagreement or a “family fight” among Fed officials in which they debate policy with an open mind.But another connotation of a family fight is that the argument stays behind closed doors and outsiders really don’t know what the issues are, Englander noted. Fed officials seem to have taken note of Warsh’s agenda to reduce the volume of commentary about the outlook.According to one calendar of Fed events from Bloomberg, Fed officials have only spoken 18 times since their last meeting in late June. That’s down from 49 times over the same period last year, and 55 times two years ago.Economists are not comfortable with Warsh’s efforts to have the Fed talk less. While they say the central bank doesn’t need to give “forward guidance” that locks it into specific actions, they think it is helpful when the investors understand how the Fed will react to a change in the economy. “Market signals get muddier when the market has to make guesses, both about what the latest data mean for the underlying outlook and how the Fed will respond to those changes,” said Lou Crandall, chief economist at Wrightson ICAP, in a note to clients.Many economists think there will be greater asset-price volatility with a more reticent Fed.Englander, for his part, said he thinks the effects will be modest. But “uninformative minutes” could lead to issues of credibility, he added.So far, Warsh has not said that he will raise interest rates if needed — just that he will deliver stable prices.“Avoiding any discussion of rate hikes may come to be seen by the market as a reluctance to move,” Englander said. “If the market perceives that he doesn’t want to talk about hikes to avoid offending the president, when the data say hikes should be on the table — that becomes a credibility issue.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GBIL":1.5,"VCIT":1.5,"BOXX":1.5,"GOLY":1.5,"UDN":1.5,"BSV":1.5,"US2Y.BOND":1.5,".IXIC":2,"SPYU":0.6,"US12M.BOND":1.5,"USHY":1.5,"EDV":1.5,"SHY":1.5,"DBND":1.5,"HYG":1.5,"TYO":1.5,"TLH":1.5,"JPST":1.5,"DDM":0.6,"HIBL":0.6,"TBT":1.5,"FAZ":1.5,"TIP":1.5,"US5Y.BOND":1.5,"YSPY":0.6,"KBE":1.5,"VCSH":1.5,"SPYM":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"SPXS":0.6,"US7Y.BOND":1.5,"VOO":0.6,"SPYH":0.6,"MINT":1.5,"TMF":1.5,"SKRE":1.5,".SPX":2,"SH":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"PBDC":1.5,"UPRO":0.6,"SCHO":1.5,"BOND":1.5,"BND":1.5,"DMAX":0.6,"SHV":1.5,"UDOW":0.6,".DJI":2,"UUP":1.5,"BIL":1.5,"LQD":1.5,"SMAX":0.6,"SPY":0.6,"SPYQ":0.6,"US6M.BOND":1.5,"VGLT":1.5,"AGG":1.5,"IEI":1.5,"UBT":1.5,"VGIT":1.5,"ZROZ":1.5,"GOVT":1.5,"US30Y.BOND":1.5,"TLTW":1.5,"DIA":0.6,"US3Y.BOND":1.5,"MMAX":0.6,"SPDN":0.6,"NGHT":1.5,"SSO":0.6,"VGSH":1.5,"SPXL":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"TBIL":1.5,"SPUU":0.6,"US10Y.BOND":1.5,"MUB":1.5,"SDOW":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":60,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}