My takeaway is that the Treasury buyback is more of a signal than a solution. Increasing long-end purchases may temporarily cap yields, but it cannot fix the deeper problem: huge fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury issuance and growing competition for capital from AI infrastructure spending. The market’s reaction already suggests investors are skeptical—the 30-year yield quickly recovered after the initial drop.

For equities, I wouldn’t chase valuation expansion. If earnings continue to deliver, especially in AI, higher profits can justify today’s multiples. But July’s forced unwind is also a reminder that leverage and positioning can overwhelm fundamentals in the short term.

Personally, I’d rather pair AI growth exposure with gold or other defensive assets than build a 100% AI portfolio. Gold’s structural case remains strong, but after such a powerful rally, I’d prefer buying pullbacks rather than chasing momentum.

@TigerClub [真香]

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