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The Case Against Buying and Holding Stocks for the Long Term

The number of stocks outperforming the index over time is shrinking, increasing the need for active managers to be nimbleHolding stocks for the long term isn't a surefire winner.For decades, Wall Stre

The Case Against Buying and Holding Stocks for the Long Term

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":611712890372448,"tweetId":"611712890372448","gmtCreate":1790363476677,"gmtModify":1790363481075,"author":{"id":4170531311945842,"idStr":"4170531311945842","authorId":4170531311945842,"authorIdStr":"4170531311945842","name":"Tortor","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":0,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Great article, would you like to share it?</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Great article, would you like to share it?</body></html>","text":"Great article, would you like to share it?","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/611712890372448","repostId":2670490612,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2670490612","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1790336456,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2670490612?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-09-25 19:40","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"The Case Against Buying and Holding Stocks for the Long Term","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2670490612","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"The number of stocks outperforming the index over time is shrinking, increasing the need for active managers to be nimbleHolding stocks for the long term isn't a surefire winner.For decades, Wall Stre","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">For decades, Wall Street&#39;s golden rule has been to buy winning stocks and hold them forever. But according to Adam Parker, founder of Trivariate Research, that strategy may be reaching its expiration date.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The rise of short-dated options and leveraged ETFs has helped to supercharge the gap between the winners and losers in the stock market. As a result, the percentage of stocks outperforming the S&amp;P 500 over the long term has fallen.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Over a 10-year holding period, only 23.2% of S&amp;P 500 stocks actually beat the index, Parker found in a report shared with MarketWatch. Shrink the time frame to three years, and the hit rate is barely better than 27%.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Blame the era of the megacap: Heavyweights like Nvidia have concentrated market gains into a select few hands. If you weren&#39;t holding memory companies, semiconductor makers or the &#34;Magnificent Seven&#34; at the right moment, you got left behind, Parker told MarketWatch.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b03a072643d89f7a544aa0dc992cd3f5\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"501\" tg-height=\"345\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Investors have gotten a taste of this dynamic this year, as the number of &#34;negative beta&#34; stocks in the S&amp;P 500 - that is, stocks trading inversely to the broader index - has risen to the highest level in recent memory.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Even skilled stock pickers are finding that time is working against them, Parker found.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">According to Trivariate&#39;s analysis, an investor who consistently ranks in the 70th percentile of stock picking outperforms the S&amp;P 500 when rebalancing annually. But extend that same stock picker&#39;s holding period to three or 10 years, and those excess returns vanish.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;The number of stocks that have beaten the market is really small, but the ones that have beaten the market have beaten it by a lot,&#34; Parker said.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">That means that instead of holding stocks for a decade, or five years, or three years, investors should be constantly alert for reasons to make changes in their portfolios.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">As for what the best time frame might be, that is a more difficult call, Parker noted. Investors should remain on their toes and always attuned to near-term risks to their specific portfolio holdings. At the same time, they should always be weighing new opportunities.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Case Against Buying and Holding Stocks for the Long Term</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Case Against Buying and Holding Stocks for the Long Term\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-09-25 19:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">For decades, Wall Street&#39;s golden rule has been to buy winning stocks and hold them forever. But according to Adam Parker, founder of Trivariate Research, that strategy may be reaching its expiration date.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The rise of short-dated options and leveraged ETFs has helped to supercharge the gap between the winners and losers in the stock market. As a result, the percentage of stocks outperforming the S&amp;P 500 over the long term has fallen.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Over a 10-year holding period, only 23.2% of S&amp;P 500 stocks actually beat the index, Parker found in a report shared with MarketWatch. Shrink the time frame to three years, and the hit rate is barely better than 27%.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Blame the era of the megacap: Heavyweights like Nvidia have concentrated market gains into a select few hands. If you weren&#39;t holding memory companies, semiconductor makers or the &#34;Magnificent Seven&#34; at the right moment, you got left behind, Parker told MarketWatch.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b03a072643d89f7a544aa0dc992cd3f5\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"501\" tg-height=\"345\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Investors have gotten a taste of this dynamic this year, as the number of &#34;negative beta&#34; stocks in the S&amp;P 500 - that is, stocks trading inversely to the broader index - has risen to the highest level in recent memory.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Even skilled stock pickers are finding that time is working against them, Parker found.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">According to Trivariate&#39;s analysis, an investor who consistently ranks in the 70th percentile of stock picking outperforms the S&amp;P 500 when rebalancing annually. But extend that same stock picker&#39;s holding period to three or 10 years, and those excess returns vanish.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;The number of stocks that have beaten the market is really small, but the ones that have beaten the market have beaten it by a lot,&#34; Parker said.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">That means that instead of holding stocks for a decade, or five years, or three years, investors should be constantly alert for reasons to make changes in their portfolios.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">As for what the best time frame might be, that is a more difficult call, Parker noted. Investors should remain on their toes and always attuned to near-term risks to their specific portfolio holdings. At the same time, they should always be weighing new opportunities.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0011850046.USD":"贝莱德全球长线股票 A2 USD","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE0009G5SDU7.USD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"M\" (USD) INC","IE0001KFT4U8.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE GLOBAL GROWTH LEADERS \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE000ITXATA3.USD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"M\" (USD) ACC","HK0000819398.USD":"BLACKROCK PREMIER SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL EQUITY HIGH INCOME FUND A10 (USD)INC","LU1267930730.SGD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金AS Acc SGD (CPF)","BK4579":"人工智能","LU2237443978.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A Acc SGD-H","IE000YTNTUN2.SGD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"M\" (SGDHDG)INC","LU2237443549.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A MIncA SGD-H","LU0274383776.USD":"MANULIFE GF US SMALL CAP EQUITY \"AA\" (USD) INC","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","SNPE":"Xtrackers S&P 500 Scored & Screened ETF","IE00BDCRKT87.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"ADC\" (USD) INC","LU2237443622.USD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - 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But according to Adam Parker, founder of Trivariate Research, that strategy may be reaching its expiration date.The rise of short-dated options and leveraged ETFs has helped to supercharge the gap between the winners and losers in the stock market. As a result, the percentage of stocks outperforming the S&P 500 over the long term has fallen.Over a 10-year holding period, only 23.2% of S&P 500 stocks actually beat the index, Parker found in a report shared with MarketWatch. Shrink the time frame to three years, and the hit rate is barely better than 27%.Blame the era of the megacap: Heavyweights like Nvidia have concentrated market gains into a select few hands. If you weren't holding memory companies, semiconductor makers or the \"Magnificent Seven\" at the right moment, you got left behind, Parker told MarketWatch.Investors have gotten a taste of this dynamic this year, as the number of \"negative beta\" stocks in the S&P 500 - that is, stocks trading inversely to the broader index - has risen to the highest level in recent memory.Even skilled stock pickers are finding that time is working against them, Parker found.According to Trivariate's analysis, an investor who consistently ranks in the 70th percentile of stock picking outperforms the S&P 500 when rebalancing annually. But extend that same stock picker's holding period to three or 10 years, and those excess returns vanish.\"The number of stocks that have beaten the market is really small, but the ones that have beaten the market have beaten it by a lot,\" Parker said.That means that instead of holding stocks for a decade, or five years, or three years, investors should be constantly alert for reasons to make changes in their portfolios.As for what the best time frame might be, that is a more difficult call, Parker noted. Investors should remain on their toes and always attuned to near-term risks to their specific portfolio holdings. At the same time, they should always be weighing new opportunities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ILDR":0.6,"SNPE":0.6,"DIPS":0.6,"FAI":0.6,"ANV":0.6,"VGT":0.6,"IXN":0.6,"SOXX":0.6,"THMR":0.6,"SHOC":0.6,"JGRO":0.6,"SOXQ":0.6,"NVYY":0.6,"TRFK":0.6,"AGOX":0.6,"TTEQ":0.6,"SPTE":0.6,"NVDL":0.6,"09788":0.6,"TEK":0.6,"FTEC":0.6,"NVDW":0.6,"SMH":0.6,"XLK":0.6,"USXF":0.6,"ESUM":0.6,"SMHX":0.6,"FDTX":0.6,"TYLG":0.6,"NULC":0.6,"CNEQ":0.6,"EFIV":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"NVII":0.6,"CHPX":0.6,"GAMR":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"CHAT":0.6,"LFGY":0.6,"NVDA":2,"TTXU":0.6,"ROM":0.6,"07388":0.6,"IETC":0.6,"NVDB":0.6,"METV":0.6,"VT":0.6,"ESLG":0.6,"CLSE":0.6,"07788":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"ABFL":0.6,"USD":0.6,"AIFD":0.6,"WISE":0.6,"NVDO":0.6,"NVC":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"NVDG":0.6,"ARTY":0.6,"AIPI":0.6,"SOXY":0.6,"CMAG":0.6,"NVDQ":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"09388":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":46,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":35,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}