[Events] Anthropic IPO: First-Day Rally or Flop?

One of the biggest AI IPOs in history is almost here. But will Anthropic live up to the hype? The company behind Claude is preparing to list on Nasdaq under the ticker ANT, with trading expected to begin around November 19. Its proposed IPO price range is $70–$78 per share, with a public offering worth up to $64.4 billion. $Anthropic(ANT)$

Add a separate $26 billion private placement backed by major technology companies, and the combined offering could reach $90.4 billion. Depending on the valuation method, Anthropic could be valued at as much as $1.4 trillion.

Wall Street's Biggest Names Are Getting Involved

Anthropic has assembled a heavyweight team for its IPO. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are leading a 22-bank underwriting syndicate, which also includes JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, Barclays and Wells Fargo.

Meanwhile, seven technology giants are set to invest a combined $26 billion through a separate private placement.Google and Nvidia lead the group with $10 billion each, followed by AMD ($2.5 billion), Broadcom ($1 billion), Micron ($1 billion), Microsoft ($1 billion) and TSMC Partners ($500 million). $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$

But here's what makes these investments particularly interesting. Many of these companies aren't just investors. They're also supplying Anthropic with the chips, cloud infrastructure and computing power it needs to develop and run Claude.

That creates an interesting dynamic: Big Tech is investing billions in Anthropic, while Anthropic is spending billions on Big Tech's infrastructure.

Revenue Is Surging, but So Are the Costs

There's no denying Anthropic's remarkable growth.Revenue jumped to $33.2 billion in the first nine months of 2026, compared with just $2.5 billion a year earlier.

Third-quarter revenue reached nearly $17 billion, driven by growing demand for Claude across coding, enterprise software and AI automation.But the pace of growth is already slowing. Quarterly revenue growth eased to approximately 47% in Q3, down from 144% in Q2.

And building cutting-edge AI models doesn't come cheap. Anthropic has disclosed approximately $900.9 billion in future contractual commitments, largely related to computing and infrastructure, spread across multiple years.Although its business is expanding rapidly, the company reported a GAAP operating loss of around $567 million in Q3.

For investors, the question is no longer just how fast Anthropic can grow. It's whether that growth can eventually justify its enormous valuation and spending commitments.

Can Anthropic Deliver a Blockbuster Debut?

The timing of this IPO makes things even more interesting. AI stocks have faced renewed selling pressure as investors question whether massive spending on data centers and computing infrastructure will deliver the returns companies are promising.

Bulls believe Anthropic could become one of the biggest winners in enterprise AI. Claude's rapid adoption, strong revenue growth and backing from major technology companies all support that argument.

Bears see a different picture. At a valuation potentially exceeding $1 trillion, Anthropic may already be priced for years of exceptional growth, leaving little room for disappointment.

A strong debut could help revive enthusiasm for AI stocks. But a disappointing opening day might add to concerns that AI valuations have run too far.

So, will ANT take off on Day 1, or is Wall Street getting ahead of itself?

🎯 IPO Prediction:

How Will ANT Perform on Day 1?

  • 🔴 A. Below IPO Price — ANT closes below its final offering price.

  • 🟡 B. 0% to 10% — A modest debut.

  • 🟢 C. 10% to 30% — A strong first-day rally.

  • 🚀 D. 30% or More — A blockbuster debut!

Tell us your pick (A, B, C or D) and predict ANT's exact first-day closing price.

💬 One more question: Would you chase ANT if it surges on Day 1, or wait for a better entry? What if it falls below its IPO price — buy the dip or stay away?

🎁 Rewards

  • Vote and share your thoughts in the comments for a chance to win Tiger Coins. Rewards are limited and available on a first-come, first-served basis.

⏰ Prediction Deadline:

  • November 19, 9:00 PM SGT/HKT

# Anthropic IPO: First-Day Rally or Flop?

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  • Jerry Lam
    ·41 minutes ago
    🐯 我选择C:首日上涨10%—不足30%,预测ANT收盘价90美元! 🚀

    这个预测以最终发行价78美元为假设,对应首日涨幅约15.4%。当然,前提是文中IPO安排、发行价区间及上市日期最终获得官方确认。

    我看好Anthropic的长期商业化潜力,尤其是Claude Code、企业AI服务和API业务。但1.4万亿美元的估值意味着市场已经提前计入了相当乐观的增长预期。

    我最关注三个指标:

    ① 收入质量:企业客户续费率和真实付费需求能否持续增长。

    ② 盈利能力:推理成本下降能否推动毛利率和自由现金流改善。

    ③ 资本效率:巨额算力合同能否创造足够回报,而不是长期依赖外部融资。

    交易策略方面:

    如果首日暴涨30%以上,我不会追高,宁愿等待上市热度消退。

    如果首日破发,我也不会立即抄底,而是先判断下跌源于市场情绪,还是估值与盈利能力不匹配。

    另外,文中提到的IPO规模、财务数据和巨额合同承诺仍需要正式招股书核实。

    我的核心观点:Anthropic可能是一家优秀的AI公司,但优秀公司不一定对应便宜的股票。长期赢家最终要靠现金流证明价值,而不是靠IPO首日涨幅! 🐯

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  • 吉3186
    ·20:09
    Anthropic(ANT)IPO:我的投资预测

    Anthropic 是 Claude AI 背后的公司,预计11月19日前后在纳斯达克上市,股票代码 ANT,拟议发行价为70–78美元,最高估值可能达到1.4万亿美元。

    我认为,这次 IPO 不只是 Anthropic 的重要时刻,也是整个 AI 行业的一次估值考验。

    一、三大投资亮点

    1. 营收高速增长: 2026年前9个月营收达到332亿美元,显示企业对 AI 编程、自动化及 AI Agent 的需求强劲。

    2. 科技巨头支持: 谷歌、英伟达、AMD、微软等参与投资,反映大型科技公司看好 AI 长期发展。

    3. 产业链受益: Anthropic 需要大量 GPU、内存及云计算资源,可能带动 NVDA、AMD、AVGO、MU、TSM 等公司受益。

    二、最大风险是什么?

    最大问题是估值太高。

    1.4万亿美元估值,意味着市场已经提前计入未来多年的高速增长。

    此外,AI 模型训练和运行成本非常高。如果营收增长放缓、亏损持续扩大,股价可能面临调整。

    三、我的 IPO 首日预测

    我选择:

    B:上涨0%–10%。

    假设最终发行价为74美元,我预测首日收盘约80美元。

    原因是市场关注度高、科技巨头支持,但高估值可能限制首日上涨空间。

    四、上市后应该怎么操作?

    首日表现 我的策略

    上涨30%以上 不追高
    上涨0–10% 继续观察
    跌破发行价 研究原因,再考虑分批买入

    五、长期投资重点

    我认为不要只关注 ANT,还要观察 NVDA、AMD、AVGO、MU 和 TSM。

    真正值得关注的是 Anthropic 能否持续增加营收、改善利润率,并降低 AI 计算成本。

    我的结论: AI 长期发展趋势值得看好,但好公司不一定是好价格。IPO 首日暴涨不代表值得追买,耐心等待合理估值,往往比盲目追高更重要。

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