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2021-08-20

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The longest period of prosperity in 5 years! The S&P 500 has fallen by no more than 5% in the past 200 trading days. Historical data reveals what the market will do next.

标普500指数已经在相当长的一段时间内维持上涨趋势。

The longest period of prosperity in 5 years! The S&P 500 has fallen by no more than 5% in the past 200 trading days. Historical data reveals what the market will do next.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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The S&P 500 has fallen by no more than 5% in the past 200 trading days. Historical data reveals what the market will do next.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160879975","media":"智通财经网","summary":"标普500指数已经在相当长的一段时间内维持上涨趋势。","content":"<p><html><body><div>According to Zhitong Finance APP, despite growing concerns about the spread of the highly contagious delta variant and the Federal Reserve's premature tapering of bond purchases, the S&P 500 index appears to be highly resistant to the recent pullback.</p><p>The S&P 500 has been on an upward trend for quite some time. If there is no massive sell-off before Friday, it will mean that the index has not retraced 5% or more from its recent high in nearly 200 trading days, the longest boom since 2016. In 2016, the market did not experience a correction of more than 5% in nearly 404 trading days.</p><p><img src=\"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20210820/1629420141889737.png?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,Q_90\" title=\"1629420141889737.png\"/></p><p>MarketWatch market editor Mark DeCambre points out that it is extremely rare for the market to experience such a long period of prosperity. In fact, there have only been eight instances where the S&P 500 has not experienced a correction of 5% or more for an extended period of time.</p><p>Despite heightened investor concerns about negative factors, the market climbed as the economy recovered. Investors are competing in the market, betting on sectors that will benefit from a full-scale economic rebound.</p><p>Monday’s buying helped the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Post 500 hit their 35th and 49th all-time closing highs of 2021, respectively. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite Index is slightly above the all-time high reached on August 5.</p><p><img src=\"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20210820/1629420174637636.png?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,Q_90\" title=\"1629420174637636.png\"/></p><p>So, after such a long period of prosperity, how has the market performed over time?</p><p>On a median basis, the market will fall 1.2% the year after the end of the boom period, but will rise 17.6% within two years and 55% in the following five years. On average, the average return was relatively high, rising by 6.5%, 27.4%, and 64% respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20210820/1629420219118298.png?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,Q_90\" title=\"1629420219118298.png\"/></p><p></div></body></html></p>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The longest period of prosperity in 5 years! The S&P 500 has fallen by no more than 5% in the past 200 trading days. Historical data reveals what the market will do next.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe longest period of prosperity in 5 years! The S&P 500 has fallen by no more than 5% in the past 200 trading days. Historical data reveals what the market will do next.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">智通财经网</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-20 08:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body><div>According to Zhitong Finance APP, despite growing concerns about the spread of the highly contagious delta variant and the Federal Reserve's premature tapering of bond purchases, the S&P 500 index appears to be highly resistant to the recent pullback.</p><p>The S&P 500 has been on an upward trend for quite some time. If there is no massive sell-off before Friday, it will mean that the index has not retraced 5% or more from its recent high in nearly 200 trading days, the longest boom since 2016. In 2016, the market did not experience a correction of more than 5% in nearly 404 trading days.</p><p><img src=\"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20210820/1629420141889737.png?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,Q_90\" title=\"1629420141889737.png\"/></p><p>MarketWatch market editor Mark DeCambre points out that it is extremely rare for the market to experience such a long period of prosperity. In fact, there have only been eight instances where the S&P 500 has not experienced a correction of 5% or more for an extended period of time.</p><p>Despite heightened investor concerns about negative factors, the market climbed as the economy recovered. Investors are competing in the market, betting on sectors that will benefit from a full-scale economic rebound.</p><p>Monday’s buying helped the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Post 500 hit their 35th and 49th all-time closing highs of 2021, respectively. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite Index is slightly above the all-time high reached on August 5.</p><p><img src=\"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20210820/1629420174637636.png?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,Q_90\" title=\"1629420174637636.png\"/></p><p>So, after such a long period of prosperity, how has the market performed over time?</p><p>On a median basis, the market will fall 1.2% the year after the end of the boom period, but will rise 17.6% within two years and 55% in the following five years. On average, the average return was relatively high, rising by 6.5%, 27.4%, and 64% respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20210820/1629420219118298.png?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,Q_90\" title=\"1629420219118298.png\"/></p><p></div></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/539744.html\">智通财经网</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/source/image/23241.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/format,jpg/quality,Q_100/resize,h_300","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","OEX":"标普100","SPY":"标普500ETF","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/539744.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2160879975","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，尽管人们对高传染性的 delta  变种扩散以及美联储过早缩减购债规模的担忧加剧，但标普500指数似乎对最近的回调具有很强的抵抗力。标普500指数已经在相当长的一段时间内维持上涨趋势，如果本周五之前没有出现大规模抛售，将意味着该指数在近200个交易日中并未从近期高点回调5%或以上，这是自 2016 年以来最长的繁荣期。2016年市场在近404个交易日中没有出现5%以上的回调。MarketWatch市场编辑Mark  DeCambre指出，市场经历如此漫长的繁荣时期极为罕见。事实上，标普500指数在长时间里没有出现5%或以上回调的情况只发生过8次。尽管投资者对负面因素的担忧加剧，市场还是随着经济复苏而攀升。投资者正在市场展开角逐，押注那些将从经济全面反弹中获益的板块。周一的买盘帮助道琼斯工业平均指数和准普500指数分别创下2021年第35和第49个历史收盘新高。与此同时，纳斯达克综合指数略高于8月5日创下的历史高点。那么，在经历了如此漫长的繁荣期之后，市场在一段时间内的表现如何?从中位数来看，市场在繁荣期结束的次年将下跌1.2%，但两年内将上涨17.6%，随后的5年上涨55%。从均值来看，平均回报率较高，分别上涨6.5%、27.4%和64%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPY":1,"IVV":0.6,"SH":0.6,"ESmain":1,"SPXU":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,".SPX":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2706,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":8,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}