SEA Limited增發,股價大跌。什麼是增發?

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ 又要增發股票籌集資金了,這次要湊集高達65億美元。

昨天股市還沒開始,股價就跌了5%到$326。爲什麼這些大公司需要增發股票呢?

其實現在很多公司都是以燒錢模式開始它們的生意,比如亞馬遜早期成立前面十多年都是虧錢的,今天很多新企業也是用着同樣模型,比如SEA Limited, Airbnb, Crowdstrike, C3.ai, Unity Software, Lemonade, Fastly, OpenDoor Technology 等等。爲什麼它們都要這樣燒錢呢?其實公司是故意這樣做的,它們要在早期趁市場還沒開發,還沒有很多競爭對手時,就推出誘人的優惠吸引顧客用它們的平臺,當顧客習慣了,市場被他們包攬時,到時再漲價賺錢。亞馬遜今天做得那麼大就是過去十幾年用着這個模式,現在已經稱霸了美洲,歐洲市場。

Sea Limited的Shopee天天燒錢,天天給顧客打折,免費運輸。令一個電子錢包Shopee Pay也天天給用戶現金回饋,用15元,現金回饋3元,Discount高達20%。這些折扣,運輸費都是需要真金白銀拿出來的,所以公司季報天天虧大錢。

如果有讀SEA季報,你都會看到公司虧錢虧到爆,那問題就來了,虧了那麼多錢,其實錢在哪裏來?其實這些公司大部分都有一個共同點,通常都是有強勁的現金流,SEA就是靠它們的遊戲業務,Garena就是它們的現金流,它們的主要遊戲Free Fire是世界其中一個最高下載的遊戲。SEA就是一直拿這些現金來補貼它們的令兩個虧錢業務,然後靠令兩個業務強勁的營業額增長把公司營業額推高。

最近公司剛剛宣佈了要進入印度和波蘭市場。當公司要進入一個市場時,就是最燒錢的時候。這些上市公司當現金不夠了,還有兩個選擇,第一,去跟銀行借,第二,好像政府那樣印錢方式,印股票(增發)。如果跟銀行借,那它們就要負責,還利息。如果公司選擇第二個方式,好處是不需要欠債,但壞處是會把現有股東股份稀釋了。通常公司會在股價被高估時增發,那它們的增發就會得到更多的資金,減少稀釋。SEA股價就在兩天前剛剛創新高$359。

這次的下跌,可能是好的時機買入這隻優質股。現在正在等着大概$285元再買入。如果能跌到$250會更好。

大家覺得是機會買入嗎?

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $亞馬遜(AMZN)$ $京東(JD)$ $MercadoLibre(MELI)$ 

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  • Sweatheart
    ·2021-09-17
    说的已经很很详细了,补充几点。 1.Sea不是第一次高位增发了。去年12月增发价190多,当天跌到180,今晚肯定还会跌。如果缩小K线图你会发现是个很好的买入机会,前提是你能看到多远,信心有多足。 2.过去增发主要用于南美市场的扩张,近一年在南美洲的成绩有目共睹,自由火连续七个季度收入排名第一。本次融资盲猜可能用于打开欧洲市场?以及和lazada打持久战?或者元宇宙
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    • SweatheartReplying toSweatheart
      [Cool]
      2021-09-17
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    • CY_Ng
      goood
      2021-09-17
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    • Sweatheart
      Thanks for share the post here
      2021-09-17
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  • 燕京旋风
    ·2021-09-12
    Sea Limited的Shopee天天烧钱,天天给顾客打折,免费运输。令一个电子钱包Shopee Pay也天天给用户现金回馈,用15元,现金回馈3元,Discount高达20%。这些折扣,运输费都是需要真金白银拿出来的,所以公司季报天天亏大钱。
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    • CY_Ng
      yup. they purposely lose money to capture market share. prevent competitor coming in at begining stage.
      2021-09-12
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  • YEOXY
    ·2021-09-13
    be patient wait to add more piistion [强]
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    • CY_Ng
      yeah
      2021-09-13
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  • Yg002
    ·2021-09-12
    FOrrest running out of monEy
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    • BoJioReplying toCY_Ng
      Ok
      2021-09-12
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    • CY_Ng
      they preparing more money to growth the company [龇牙]
      2021-09-12
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  • Chongshen
    ·2021-09-12
    Not sure is this really a potential
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    • CY_Ng
      do your own due deligence will give you more confident to invest
      2021-09-12
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  • epeizhi
    ·2021-09-13

    跌倒150还买吗?sea需要一个深蹲

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    • CY_Ng
      很多人嘴巴一定说买,但如果真的跌到150,很多人开始怀疑人生,迟迟不敢下手 [笑哭]。
      2021-09-13
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  • lesandyc
    ·2021-09-13
    Wow, time to get ready for buy somehiNg
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    • CY_Ng
      fund is ready. waiting opportunity
      2021-09-13
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  • 品子
    ·2021-09-13
    增发是好还是坏
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    • CY_Ng
      看情况,SEA这次的增发是为了公司增长,去进入新市场,收购。对我来说是好事。
      2021-09-13
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  • yangxh
    ·2021-09-12
    分析得很透
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    • CY_Ng
      还在学习
      2021-09-13
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  • Hinhin888
    ·2021-09-12
    Good deal to in?
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    • CY_Ng
      good company, but not good price
      2021-09-12
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  • jeffchua9896
    ·2021-09-16
    这么高股价迟早跌到$50美金以下,这种股票一直高位增发股票,见好就卖。还有很多竞争对手,lazana,印尼的电商要上市了
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  • SieCW
    ·2021-09-13
    This is a good company if your conviction is high. I think it will not break 300-305 Range. Time to consider to grab at this prIce
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  • Fior
    ·2021-09-13
    Believe this is a good stock, higher can go higher, once price drop never let go this opportunity
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  • Iwanttohuat8
    ·2021-09-28
    Its raising funds potentially to RnD on more innovative aspects
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  • Kentlieu
    ·2021-09-17
    They are a very disruptive company with a good future ahead in an ever growing industry. Dont panic sell and be patient
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  • sashwat
    ·2021-09-16
    This is a good company if your conviction is high. I think it will not break 300-305 Range. Time to consider to grab at this prIce
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  • Seaside
    ·2021-09-14
    i am thinking it might be time to buy slowly . sharing my thoughts here.
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  • henger
    ·2021-09-13
    Like what others have said, little Tencent
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  • ChowPL
    ·2021-09-17
    good
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  • Windtalker78
    ·2021-09-16
    250 充!
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