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2022-06-29

So buy or not buy?

What's Next for the Stock Market after the Worst 1st Half since 1970? Here's the History

A bear market that began shortly after the calendar flipped over to 2022 has the S&P 500 on track fo

What's Next for the Stock Market after the Worst 1st Half since 1970? Here's the History

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Here's the History","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2247574012","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"A bear market that began shortly after the calendar flipped over to 2022 has the S&P 500 on track fo","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>A bear market that began shortly after the calendar flipped over to 2022 has the S&amp;P 500 on track for its worst first half in 52 years. Investors looking ahead to the end of the year might have some reason for hope, though history is only a rough guide.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500  was down 19.8% year-to-date through Tuesday&#39;s close, which would be its worst first half since 1970, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The large-cap benchmark is down 20.3% from its record finish on Jan. 3. The index earlier this month ended more than 20% below that early January record, confirming that the pandemic bull market -- as widely defined -- had ended on Jan. 3, marking the start of a bear.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 has bounced around 4% off its 2022 low close of 3,666.77 set on June 16.</p><p>Data compiled by Dow Jones Market Data shows that the S&amp;P 500 has bounced back after past first-half falls of 15% or more. The sample size, however, is small, with only five instances going back to 1932 (see table below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35eaa5fc92d1e15ba08af1ec94393bc4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"445\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 did rise in each of those instances, with an average rise of 23.66% and a median rise of 15.25%.</p><p>Investors, however, may also want to pay attention to metrics around bear markets, particularly with the will-it-or-won&#39;t-it speculation around whether the Federal Reserve&#39;s aggressive tightening agenda will sink the economy into recession.</p><p>Indeed, an analysis by Wells Fargo Investment Institute found that recessions accompanied by a recession, on average, lasted 20 months and produced a negative 37.8% return. Bear markets outside a recession lasted 6 months on average -- nearly the length of the current episode -- and saw an average return of -28.9%. Taken together, the average bear market lasted an average of 16 month and produced a -35.1% return.</p><p>Other major indexes are also set to log historic first-half declines. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was down 14.8% in the year to date through Tuesday, which would be its biggest first-half fall since 2008.</p><p>As the table below shows, the second-half performance for the blue-chip gauge after first-half declines of 10% or more are variable. The most recent incident, in 2008 during the worst of the financial crisis, saw the Dow drop another 22.68% in the second half of the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a201b68c690ea36110bd9080287089b9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"915\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In the 15 instances, the Dow rallied in the second half two-thirds of the time, producing an average second-half rise of 4.45% and a median gain just shy of 7%.</p><p>The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite  was down 28.5% year-to-date through Tuesday&#39;s finish, but there was little to go on when Dow Jones Market Data looked back at first-half drops of at least 20% for the gauge.</p><p>There were only two instances -- 2002 and 1973 -- and both saw the Nasdaq keep sliding over the remainder of the year, falling around 8.7% over the second half in both instances.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What's Next for the Stock Market after the Worst 1st Half since 1970? Here's the History</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat's Next for the Stock Market after the Worst 1st Half since 1970? Here's the History\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-29 19:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>A bear market that began shortly after the calendar flipped over to 2022 has the S&amp;P 500 on track for its worst first half in 52 years. Investors looking ahead to the end of the year might have some reason for hope, though history is only a rough guide.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500  was down 19.8% year-to-date through Tuesday&#39;s close, which would be its worst first half since 1970, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The large-cap benchmark is down 20.3% from its record finish on Jan. 3. The index earlier this month ended more than 20% below that early January record, confirming that the pandemic bull market -- as widely defined -- had ended on Jan. 3, marking the start of a bear.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 has bounced around 4% off its 2022 low close of 3,666.77 set on June 16.</p><p>Data compiled by Dow Jones Market Data shows that the S&amp;P 500 has bounced back after past first-half falls of 15% or more. The sample size, however, is small, with only five instances going back to 1932 (see table below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35eaa5fc92d1e15ba08af1ec94393bc4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"445\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 did rise in each of those instances, with an average rise of 23.66% and a median rise of 15.25%.</p><p>Investors, however, may also want to pay attention to metrics around bear markets, particularly with the will-it-or-won&#39;t-it speculation around whether the Federal Reserve&#39;s aggressive tightening agenda will sink the economy into recession.</p><p>Indeed, an analysis by Wells Fargo Investment Institute found that recessions accompanied by a recession, on average, lasted 20 months and produced a negative 37.8% return. Bear markets outside a recession lasted 6 months on average -- nearly the length of the current episode -- and saw an average return of -28.9%. Taken together, the average bear market lasted an average of 16 month and produced a -35.1% return.</p><p>Other major indexes are also set to log historic first-half declines. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was down 14.8% in the year to date through Tuesday, which would be its biggest first-half fall since 2008.</p><p>As the table below shows, the second-half performance for the blue-chip gauge after first-half declines of 10% or more are variable. The most recent incident, in 2008 during the worst of the financial crisis, saw the Dow drop another 22.68% in the second half of the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a201b68c690ea36110bd9080287089b9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"915\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In the 15 instances, the Dow rallied in the second half two-thirds of the time, producing an average second-half rise of 4.45% and a median gain just shy of 7%.</p><p>The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite  was down 28.5% year-to-date through Tuesday&#39;s finish, but there was little to go on when Dow Jones Market Data looked back at first-half drops of at least 20% for the gauge.</p><p>There were only two instances -- 2002 and 1973 -- and both saw the Nasdaq keep sliding over the remainder of the year, falling around 8.7% over the second half in both instances.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2247574012","content_text":"A bear market that began shortly after the calendar flipped over to 2022 has the S&P 500 on track for its worst first half in 52 years. Investors looking ahead to the end of the year might have some reason for hope, though history is only a rough guide.The S&P 500  was down 19.8% year-to-date through Tuesday's close, which would be its worst first half since 1970, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The large-cap benchmark is down 20.3% from its record finish on Jan. 3. The index earlier this month ended more than 20% below that early January record, confirming that the pandemic bull market -- as widely defined -- had ended on Jan. 3, marking the start of a bear.The S&P 500 has bounced around 4% off its 2022 low close of 3,666.77 set on June 16.Data compiled by Dow Jones Market Data shows that the S&P 500 has bounced back after past first-half falls of 15% or more. The sample size, however, is small, with only five instances going back to 1932 (see table below).The S&P 500 did rise in each of those instances, with an average rise of 23.66% and a median rise of 15.25%.Investors, however, may also want to pay attention to metrics around bear markets, particularly with the will-it-or-won't-it speculation around whether the Federal Reserve's aggressive tightening agenda will sink the economy into recession.Indeed, an analysis by Wells Fargo Investment Institute found that recessions accompanied by a recession, on average, lasted 20 months and produced a negative 37.8% return. Bear markets outside a recession lasted 6 months on average -- nearly the length of the current episode -- and saw an average return of -28.9%. Taken together, the average bear market lasted an average of 16 month and produced a -35.1% return.Other major indexes are also set to log historic first-half declines. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was down 14.8% in the year to date through Tuesday, which would be its biggest first-half fall since 2008.As the table below shows, the second-half performance for the blue-chip gauge after first-half declines of 10% or more are variable. The most recent incident, in 2008 during the worst of the financial crisis, saw the Dow drop another 22.68% in the second half of the year.In the 15 instances, the Dow rallied in the second half two-thirds of the time, producing an average second-half rise of 4.45% and a median gain just shy of 7%.The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite  was down 28.5% year-to-date through Tuesday's finish, but there was little to go on when Dow Jones Market Data looked back at first-half drops of at least 20% for the gauge.There were only two instances -- 2002 and 1973 -- and both saw the Nasdaq keep sliding over the remainder of the year, falling around 8.7% over the second half in both instances.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":325,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":14,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}