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2022-06-14

The S&P 500 Just Confirmed a Bear Market: What Investors Need to Know

Close below 3,837.25 confirms the end of the pandemic bull marketThe bear is back.The S&P 500 on Mon

The S&P 500 Just Confirmed a Bear Market: What Investors Need to Know

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Much of the weakness was attributed to the Friday reading of the May consumer-price index, which surged to 8.6% year-over-year -- a 40-year high. Investors fear the Federal Reserve will have to raise rates even more aggressively than already expected, risking recession in their effort to tame inflation.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500  fell 151.23 points, or 3.9%, to end at 3,749.63, down 21.8% from its Jan. 3 record close and surpassing the 20% pullback threshold  traditionally used to define a bear market.</p><p>Need to Know: The S&amp;P 500 is clinging to a key support level after Friday&#39;s meltdown, here&#39;s what happens if that fails</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 briefly traded below the bear-market threshold in May, but didn&#39;t close below it. Stocks subsequently bounced, but the rebound has since given way as recession fears have increased.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average  finished with a loss of 876.05 points, or 2.8%, to finish at 30,516.74, after dropping more than 1,000 points at its session low. A close below 29,439.72 would put the blue-chip gauge into a bear market. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , which slumped into a bear market earlier this year, dropped 4.7% on Monday, leaving it nearly 33% below its Nov. 19, 2021, record close.</p><p>To be sure, many investors and analysts see a 20% pullback as an overly formal if not outdated metric, arguing that stocks have long been behaving in bearlike fashion.</p><p>Note that the S&amp;P 500&#39;s finish on Monday means the start of the bear market is backdated the Jan. 3 peak. A bear market is declared over once the S&amp;P 500 has risen 20% from a low.</p><p>How have stocks behaved once a bear market has been confirmed? History shows that usually more pain was in store.</p><p>There have been 17 bear -- or near-bear-- markets since World War II, said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, in a May note. Generally speaking, the S&amp;P 500 has fallen further once a bear market begins. And, he said, bear markets have, on average, lasted about a year, producing an average peak-to-trough decline of just shy of 30%. (see table below).</p><p>Beyond the averages, there&#39;s a lot of variability in the length and depth of past bear markets. The steepest fall, a peak-to-trough decline of nearly 57%, occurred in the 17 months that marked the 17-month bear market that accompanied the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The longest was a 48.2% drop that ran for nearly 21 months in 1973-74. The shortest was the nearly 34% drop that took place over just 23 trading sessions as the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic sparked a global rout that bottomed out on March 23, 2020, and marked the start of the current bull market.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Just Confirmed a Bear Market: What Investors Need to Know</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Just Confirmed a Bear Market: What Investors Need to Know\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-14 10:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h2>Close below 3,837.25 confirms the end of the pandemic bull market</h2><p>The bear is back.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 on Monday confirmed what many investors have been saying for months: The large-cap benchmark is in the grips of a bear market.</p><p>Stocks suffered sharp losses Monday after major benchmarks saw their worst week since January. Much of the weakness was attributed to the Friday reading of the May consumer-price index, which surged to 8.6% year-over-year -- a 40-year high. Investors fear the Federal Reserve will have to raise rates even more aggressively than already expected, risking recession in their effort to tame inflation.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500  fell 151.23 points, or 3.9%, to end at 3,749.63, down 21.8% from its Jan. 3 record close and surpassing the 20% pullback threshold  traditionally used to define a bear market.</p><p>Need to Know: The S&amp;P 500 is clinging to a key support level after Friday&#39;s meltdown, here&#39;s what happens if that fails</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 briefly traded below the bear-market threshold in May, but didn&#39;t close below it. Stocks subsequently bounced, but the rebound has since given way as recession fears have increased.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average  finished with a loss of 876.05 points, or 2.8%, to finish at 30,516.74, after dropping more than 1,000 points at its session low. A close below 29,439.72 would put the blue-chip gauge into a bear market. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , which slumped into a bear market earlier this year, dropped 4.7% on Monday, leaving it nearly 33% below its Nov. 19, 2021, record close.</p><p>To be sure, many investors and analysts see a 20% pullback as an overly formal if not outdated metric, arguing that stocks have long been behaving in bearlike fashion.</p><p>Note that the S&amp;P 500&#39;s finish on Monday means the start of the bear market is backdated the Jan. 3 peak. A bear market is declared over once the S&amp;P 500 has risen 20% from a low.</p><p>How have stocks behaved once a bear market has been confirmed? History shows that usually more pain was in store.</p><p>There have been 17 bear -- or near-bear-- markets since World War II, said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, in a May note. Generally speaking, the S&amp;P 500 has fallen further once a bear market begins. And, he said, bear markets have, on average, lasted about a year, producing an average peak-to-trough decline of just shy of 30%. (see table below).</p><p>Beyond the averages, there&#39;s a lot of variability in the length and depth of past bear markets. The steepest fall, a peak-to-trough decline of nearly 57%, occurred in the 17 months that marked the 17-month bear market that accompanied the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The longest was a 48.2% drop that ran for nearly 21 months in 1973-74. The shortest was the nearly 34% drop that took place over just 23 trading sessions as the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic sparked a global rout that bottomed out on March 23, 2020, and marked the start of the current bull market.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","OEX":"标普100","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243690068","content_text":"Close below 3,837.25 confirms the end of the pandemic bull marketThe bear is back.The S&P 500 on Monday confirmed what many investors have been saying for months: The large-cap benchmark is in the grips of a bear market.Stocks suffered sharp losses Monday after major benchmarks saw their worst week since January. Much of the weakness was attributed to the Friday reading of the May consumer-price index, which surged to 8.6% year-over-year -- a 40-year high. Investors fear the Federal Reserve will have to raise rates even more aggressively than already expected, risking recession in their effort to tame inflation.The S&P 500  fell 151.23 points, or 3.9%, to end at 3,749.63, down 21.8% from its Jan. 3 record close and surpassing the 20% pullback threshold  traditionally used to define a bear market.Need to Know: The S&P 500 is clinging to a key support level after Friday's meltdown, here's what happens if that failsThe S&P 500 briefly traded below the bear-market threshold in May, but didn't close below it. Stocks subsequently bounced, but the rebound has since given way as recession fears have increased.The Dow Jones Industrial Average  finished with a loss of 876.05 points, or 2.8%, to finish at 30,516.74, after dropping more than 1,000 points at its session low. A close below 29,439.72 would put the blue-chip gauge into a bear market. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , which slumped into a bear market earlier this year, dropped 4.7% on Monday, leaving it nearly 33% below its Nov. 19, 2021, record close.To be sure, many investors and analysts see a 20% pullback as an overly formal if not outdated metric, arguing that stocks have long been behaving in bearlike fashion.Note that the S&P 500's finish on Monday means the start of the bear market is backdated the Jan. 3 peak. A bear market is declared over once the S&P 500 has risen 20% from a low.How have stocks behaved once a bear market has been confirmed? History shows that usually more pain was in store.There have been 17 bear -- or near-bear-- markets since World War II, said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, in a May note. Generally speaking, the S&P 500 has fallen further once a bear market begins. And, he said, bear markets have, on average, lasted about a year, producing an average peak-to-trough decline of just shy of 30%. (see table below).Beyond the averages, there's a lot of variability in the length and depth of past bear markets. The steepest fall, a peak-to-trough decline of nearly 57%, occurred in the 17 months that marked the 17-month bear market that accompanied the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The longest was a 48.2% drop that ran for nearly 21 months in 1973-74. The shortest was the nearly 34% drop that took place over just 23 trading sessions as the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic sparked a global rout that bottomed out on March 23, 2020, and marked the start of the current bull market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":764,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":102322266,"commentId":"102322266","gmtCreate":1655178564974,"gmtModify":1663251813026,"authorId":3575505100092231,"author":{"id":3575505100092231,"idStr":"3575505100092231","authorId":3575505100092231,"name":"Wafu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fa81128865bb0701d14c8c5b8570921","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-2","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Senior Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 1000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.11.02","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9052280754,"objectIdStr":"9052280754","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Ok","text":"Ok","html":"Ok","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0}],"hasMoreComment":true,"orderType":2}