The article is right about the

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LimLS
2022-10-08

The article is right about the job report had cemented the 0.75% hike for Nov. Fed only cares about the job market and inflation. With the job market so strong, Fed now only need to focus on bringing the inflation down. So 0.75% hike is almost a sure thing now. Additionally, many Fed officials had make their speech this week. All spoke of the same thing. Hike is still needed and high rates are here to stay until end of 2023. Market downturn will not forced Fed to pivot. In fact, Powell already warned us a few times that pain is going to be expected. What do all this means to the market? My opinion is, for the next 6 months, it should still be a downtrend. There may be some relief rally in between but nothing can reverse the general downwards trend. The main news that will reverse the downward trend is for Fed to pivot. But until unemployment rate hits 5-6%, there is no reason for Fed to stop the hikes. Pivot is still far away... Take care and be cautious.

US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Sharply Lower As Jobs Report Cements Rate Hike Regime

U.S. unemployment rate falls to 3.5%Technology leads sector declines on S&P 500AMD leads chipmakers

US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Sharply Lower As Jobs Report Cements Rate Hike Regime

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jonbeloved
·2022-10-08
Good analysis. When people are employed, Fed see it that people got $ to spend hence inflation will not go down. Hope that an equilibrium can be achieved soon but recession may be unavoidable.
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IAS
·2022-10-08
Yes totally agree
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YBK
·2022-10-09
[smile]
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suresh11
·2022-10-08
ok
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May Gett
·2022-10-08
K
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pandajojo
·2022-10-08
like
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Boo2020
·2022-10-08
k
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Llim
·2022-10-08
K
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May Gett
·2022-10-08
K
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Boo2020
·2022-10-08
k
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kcdc86
·2022-10-08
Ok
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PeterLim
·2022-10-08
Ok
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ZStarWyvernZ
·2022-10-08
cool
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iamjingxian
·2022-10-08
Ok
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YingDa
·2022-10-08
ok
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Market downturn will not forced Fed to pivot. In fact, Powell already warned us a few times that pain is going to be expected. What do all this means to the market? My opinion is, for the next 6 months, it should still be a downtrend. There may be some relief rally in between but nothing can reverse the general downwards trend. The main news that will reverse the downward trend is for Fed to pivot. But until unemployment rate hits 5-6%, there is no reason for Fed to stop the hikes. Pivot is still far away... Take care and be cautious.</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>The article is right about the job report had cemented the 0.75% hike for Nov. Fed only cares about the job market and inflation. With the job market so strong, Fed now only need to focus on bringing the inflation down. So 0.75% hike is almost a sure thing now. Additionally, many Fed officials had make their speech this week. All spoke of the same thing. Hike is still needed and high rates are here to stay until end of 2023. Market downturn will not forced Fed to pivot. In fact, Powell already warned us a few times that pain is going to be expected. What do all this means to the market? My opinion is, for the next 6 months, it should still be a downtrend. There may be some relief rally in between but nothing can reverse the general downwards trend. The main news that will reverse the downward trend is for Fed to pivot. But until unemployment rate hits 5-6%, there is no reason for Fed to stop the hikes. Pivot is still far away... Take care and be cautious.</body></html>","text":"The article is right about the job report had cemented the 0.75% hike for Nov. Fed only cares about the job market and inflation. With the job market so strong, Fed now only need to focus on bringing the inflation down. So 0.75% hike is almost a sure thing now. Additionally, many Fed officials had make their speech this week. All spoke of the same thing. Hike is still needed and high rates are here to stay until end of 2023. Market downturn will not forced Fed to pivot. In fact, Powell already warned us a few times that pain is going to be expected. What do all this means to the market? My opinion is, for the next 6 months, it should still be a downtrend. There may be some relief rally in between but nothing can reverse the general downwards trend. The main news that will reverse the downward trend is for Fed to pivot. But until unemployment rate hits 5-6%, there is no reason for Fed to stop the hikes. Pivot is still far away... Take care and be cautious.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914153464","repostId":2273391757,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2273391757","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1665183845,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2273391757?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-08 07:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Sharply Lower As Jobs Report Cements Rate Hike Regime","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273391757","media":"Reuters","summary":"U.S. unemployment rate falls to 3.5%Technology leads sector declines on S&P 500AMD leads chipmakers ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>U.S. unemployment rate falls to 3.5%</li><li>Technology leads sector declines on S&amp;P 500</li><li>AMD leads chipmakers lower after revenue warning</li><li>FedEx drops on report of plans to reduce volume forecasts</li><li>Indexes fall: Dow down 2.1%, S&amp;P 500 2.8%, Nasdaq 3.8%</li></ul>Oct 7 (Reuters) - Wall Street fell sharply on Friday following a solid jobs report for September that increased the likelihood the Federal Reserve will barrel ahead with an interest rate hiking campaign many investors fear will push the U.S. economy into a recession.The Labor Department reported the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, lower than expectations of 3.7%, in an economy that continues to show resilience despite the Fed&#39;s efforts to bring down high inflation by weakening growth.Nonfarm payrolls rose by 263,000 jobs, more than the 250,000 figure economists polled by Reuters had forecast. Money markets raised to 92% the probability of a fourth straight 75 basis-point rate hike when Fed policymakers meet on Nov. 1-2, up from 83.4% before the data.The job gains, lower unemployment rate and continued healthy wage growth point to a labor market Fed officials will likely still see as keeping inflation too high.In the latest of a steady stream of hawkish messages by policymakers, New York Fed President John Williams said more rate hikes were needed to tackle inflation in a process that will likely increase the number of people without jobs.The data cemented another jumbo-sized, 75 basis-point rate hike in November as &#34;the labor market is still way too hot for the Fed&#39;s comfort zone,&#34; said Bill Sterling, global strategist at GW&amp;K Investment Management.&#34;This was a classic case of good news is bad news,&#34; he said. &#34;The market took the good news of the robust labor market report and turned it into an ever-more vigilant Fed and therefore potentially higher risks of a recession next year.&#34;One economist said the Fed should not be reassured by the tight labor market because when the unemployment rate begins to rise, it does so quickly and is a leading indicator of a recession.&#34;We haven&#39;t felt the full effects of the tightening,&#34; said Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at SMBC Nikko Securities. &#34;They&#39;re going to keep going until eventually this thing turns over, and when it turns over you won&#39;t be able to slow the momentum.&#34;Next week&#39;s consumer price index will provide a key snapshot of where inflation stands.Despite Friday&#39;s nosedive, a hefty two-day rally earlier in the week pushed the S&amp;P 500, the Dow and the Nasdaq to post their first week of gains after three straight weeks of losses.The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 630.15 points, or 2.11%, at 29,296.79, the S&amp;P 500 lost 104.86 points, or 2.80%, to 3,639.66 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 420.91 points, or 3.8%, to 10,652.41.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.15 billion shares, compared with the 11.73 billion average for the full session over the past 20 trading days.For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 1.51%,the Dow added 1.99% and the Nasdaq gained 0.73%.All 11 major S&amp;P 500 sectors declined, with technology falling the most, down 4.14%.The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index fell 6.06% after a revenue warning from Advanced Micro Devices signaled a chip slump could be worse than expected. 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Money markets raised to 92% the probability of a fourth straight 75 basis-point rate hike when Fed policymakers meet on Nov. 1-2, up from 83.4% before the data.The job gains, lower unemployment rate and continued healthy wage growth point to a labor market Fed officials will likely still see as keeping inflation too high.In the latest of a steady stream of hawkish messages by policymakers, New York Fed President John Williams said more rate hikes were needed to tackle inflation in a process that will likely increase the number of people without jobs.The data cemented another jumbo-sized, 75 basis-point rate hike in November as &#34;the labor market is still way too hot for the Fed&#39;s comfort zone,&#34; said Bill Sterling, global strategist at GW&amp;K Investment Management.&#34;This was a classic case of good news is bad news,&#34; he said. &#34;The market took the good news of the robust labor market report and turned it into an ever-more vigilant Fed and therefore potentially higher risks of a recession next year.&#34;One economist said the Fed should not be reassured by the tight labor market because when the unemployment rate begins to rise, it does so quickly and is a leading indicator of a recession.&#34;We haven&#39;t felt the full effects of the tightening,&#34; said Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at SMBC Nikko Securities. &#34;They&#39;re going to keep going until eventually this thing turns over, and when it turns over you won&#39;t be able to slow the momentum.&#34;Next week&#39;s consumer price index will provide a key snapshot of where inflation stands.Despite Friday&#39;s nosedive, a hefty two-day rally earlier in the week pushed the S&amp;P 500, the Dow and the Nasdaq to post their first week of gains after three straight weeks of losses.The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 630.15 points, or 2.11%, at 29,296.79, the S&amp;P 500 lost 104.86 points, or 2.80%, to 3,639.66 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 420.91 points, or 3.8%, to 10,652.41.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.15 billion shares, compared with the 11.73 billion average for the full session over the past 20 trading days.For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 1.51%,the Dow added 1.99% and the Nasdaq gained 0.73%.All 11 major S&amp;P 500 sectors declined, with technology falling the most, down 4.14%.The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index fell 6.06% after a revenue warning from Advanced Micro Devices signaled a chip slump could be worse than expected. The index posted its biggest single-day percentage decline in more than three weeks.AMD shares fell 13.9% as the company&#39;s third-quarter revenue estimates were about $1 billion lower than previously forecast. It was the largest declining stock on the Nasdaq 100.FedEx Corp slid 0.5% after an internal memo seen by Reuters showed the division that handles most e-commerce deliveries expects to lower volume forecasts as its customers plan to ship fewer holiday packages.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 5.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.56-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 71 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 337 new lows.</body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273391757","content_text":"U.S. unemployment rate falls to 3.5%Technology leads sector declines on S&P 500AMD leads chipmakers lower after revenue warningFedEx drops on report of plans to reduce volume forecastsIndexes fall: Dow down 2.1%, S&P 500 2.8%, Nasdaq 3.8%Oct 7 (Reuters) - Wall Street fell sharply on Friday following a solid jobs report for September that increased the likelihood the Federal Reserve will barrel ahead with an interest rate hiking campaign many investors fear will push the U.S. economy into a recession.The Labor Department reported the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, lower than expectations of 3.7%, in an economy that continues to show resilience despite the Fed's efforts to bring down high inflation by weakening growth.Nonfarm payrolls rose by 263,000 jobs, more than the 250,000 figure economists polled by Reuters had forecast. Money markets raised to 92% the probability of a fourth straight 75 basis-point rate hike when Fed policymakers meet on Nov. 1-2, up from 83.4% before the data.The job gains, lower unemployment rate and continued healthy wage growth point to a labor market Fed officials will likely still see as keeping inflation too high.In the latest of a steady stream of hawkish messages by policymakers, New York Fed President John Williams said more rate hikes were needed to tackle inflation in a process that will likely increase the number of people without jobs.The data cemented another jumbo-sized, 75 basis-point rate hike in November as \"the labor market is still way too hot for the Fed's comfort zone,\" said Bill Sterling, global strategist at GW&K Investment Management.\"This was a classic case of good news is bad news,\" he said. \"The market took the good news of the robust labor market report and turned it into an ever-more vigilant Fed and therefore potentially higher risks of a recession next year.\"One economist said the Fed should not be reassured by the tight labor market because when the unemployment rate begins to rise, it does so quickly and is a leading indicator of a recession.\"We haven't felt the full effects of the tightening,\" said Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at SMBC Nikko Securities. \"They're going to keep going until eventually this thing turns over, and when it turns over you won't be able to slow the momentum.\"Next week's consumer price index will provide a key snapshot of where inflation stands.Despite Friday's nosedive, a hefty two-day rally earlier in the week pushed the S&P 500, the Dow and the Nasdaq to post their first week of gains after three straight weeks of losses.The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 630.15 points, or 2.11%, at 29,296.79, the S&P 500 lost 104.86 points, or 2.80%, to 3,639.66 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 420.91 points, or 3.8%, to 10,652.41.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.15 billion shares, compared with the 11.73 billion average for the full session over the past 20 trading days.For the week, the S&P 500 rose 1.51%,the Dow added 1.99% and the Nasdaq gained 0.73%.All 11 major S&P 500 sectors declined, with technology falling the most, down 4.14%.The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index fell 6.06% after a revenue warning from Advanced Micro Devices signaled a chip slump could be worse than expected. The index posted its biggest single-day percentage decline in more than three weeks.AMD shares fell 13.9% as the company's third-quarter revenue estimates were about $1 billion lower than previously forecast. It was the largest declining stock on the Nasdaq 100.FedEx Corp slid 0.5% after an internal memo seen by Reuters showed the division that handles most e-commerce deliveries expects to lower volume forecasts as its customers plan to ship fewer holiday packages.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 5.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.56-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 71 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 337 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":690,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":787,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":104265470,"gmtCreate":1665209439711,"gmtModify":1665211641466,"authorId":3560138341869725,"author":{"id":3560138341869725,"authorId":3560138341869725,"name":"jonbeloved","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1312ffb19627a11a2ad03b49693f53dd","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-2","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Senior Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 1000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.05.08","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9914153464,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Good analysis. When people are employed, Fed see it that people got $ to spend hence inflation will not go down. Hope that an equilibrium can be achieved soon but recession may be unavoidable.","text":"Good analysis. When people are employed, Fed see it that people got $ to spend hence inflation will not go down. Hope that an equilibrium can be achieved soon but recession may be unavoidable.","html":"Good analysis. When people are employed, Fed see it that people got $ to spend hence inflation will not go down. 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