The FED isn't the sole reason

18
15
Favorite

Vixenvixen
2022-09-21

The FED isn't the sole reason for markets diving.

Remember that the markets are forward looking, while FED's interest rates are lagging indicators.

There are several reasons for the market dives. Although there is no need for any reason for rallies orretreats in the stock market.

Now, we all witness the massive bounce from mid June to mid August. The markets then dived back close to its critical support area.

In my opinion, it's the series of events & news that spooked the markets.

Namely: FED Interest Rate Hike, FedEx, CPI Report, Russia Ukraine War, China USA tensions & etc,

However, when we take a closer look into history. We can see that everytime the FED raises interest rates, the probability of a positive return after 1 year is 100%.

To conclude, the upcoming CPI Report is a critical signal to peak inflation or inflation is still on the rise. I believe it's peaking based on commodities & consumer discretionary prices dropping.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment（15）

Top
Latest

CYberviRus
·2022-09-21
Thank you
Reply
Like
Report
3nn
·2022-09-21
K
Reply
Like
Report
Panda King
·2022-09-21
noted
Reply
Like
Report
Zlatan
·2022-09-21
k
Reply
Like
Report
jgaldon
·2022-09-21
thanks
Reply
Like
Report
新手多多指教谢谢
·2022-09-21
K
Reply
Like
Report
SUPERCHARGER
·2022-09-21
K
Reply
Like
Report
Svit
·2022-09-21
n
Reply
Like
Report
Botakk
·2022-09-21
Ok
Reply
Like
Report
ngchris
·2022-09-21
[Cool]
Reply
Like
Report
Happyfish
·2022-09-21
[Allin]
Reply
Like
Report
Icecream29
·2022-09-21
ok
Reply
Like
Report
Mikhamet
·2022-09-21
Ok
Reply
Like
Report
Jjsh
·2022-09-21
Ok
Reply
Like
Report
olilim
·2022-09-21
ok
Reply
Like
Report

Most Discussed

Terms and Conditions·Privacy Policy

Company: TTMF Limited. Tech supported by Xiangshang Yixin.

Email：uservice@ttm.financial

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":9919899724,"tweetId":"9919899724","gmtCreate":1663767568268,"gmtModify":1676537332236,"author":{"id":3568367118998895,"idStr":"3568367118998895","authorId":3568367118998895,"authorIdStr":"3568367118998895","name":"Vixenvixen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60f88efb788302b568c3e5f4bfedc927","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"29815c1501c442c58b708482689df577-1","templateUuid":"29815c1501c442c58b708482689df577","name":"Emerging Contributor","description":"Contributors who received Editor's Pick for the 1st time","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ce9180a952c61a51c39f70d533b81a7","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f98cf16cf4b858114f7ab9a779f9e6f1","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://ttm.financial/TW/9000980585","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.04.25","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":20,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body>The FED isn't the sole&nbsp;reason for markets diving.Remember that the markets are forward looking, while FED's interest rates are lagging indicators.There are several reasons for the market dives. Although there is no need for any reason for rallies orretreats&nbsp;in the&nbsp;stock market.Now, we all witness the massive bounce from mid June to mid August. The markets then dived back close to its critical&nbsp;support area.In my opinion, it's the series of events &amp; news that spooked the markets.Namely: FED Interest Rate Hike, FedEx, CPI Report, Russia Ukraine War, China USA tensions &amp; etc,&nbsp;However, when we take a closer look into history. We can see that everytime the FED raises interest rates, the probability of a&nbsp;positive return&nbsp;after 1 year is 100%.To conclude, the upcoming&nbsp;CPI Report is a critical signal to peak inflation or inflation is&nbsp;still on the rise. I believe it's peaking based on commodities &amp; consumer discretionary prices dropping.&nbsp;</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>The FED isn't the sole&nbsp;reason for markets diving.Remember that the markets are forward looking, while FED's interest rates are lagging indicators.There are several reasons for the market dives. Although there is no need for any reason for rallies orretreats&nbsp;in the&nbsp;stock market.Now, we all witness the massive bounce from mid June to mid August. The markets then dived back close to its critical&nbsp;support area.In my opinion, it's the series of events &amp; news that spooked the markets.Namely: FED Interest Rate Hike, FedEx, CPI Report, Russia Ukraine War, China USA tensions &amp; etc,&nbsp;However, when we take a closer look into history. We can see that everytime the FED raises interest rates, the probability of a&nbsp;positive return&nbsp;after 1 year is 100%.To conclude, the upcoming&nbsp;CPI Report is a critical signal to peak inflation or inflation is&nbsp;still on the rise. I believe it's peaking based on commodities &amp; consumer discretionary prices dropping.&nbsp;</body></html>","text":"The FED isn't the sole reason for markets diving. Remember that the markets are forward looking, while FED's interest rates are lagging indicators. There are several reasons for the market dives. Although there is no need for any reason for rallies orretreats in the stock market. Now, we all witness the massive bounce from mid June to mid August. The markets then dived back close to its critical support area. In my opinion, it's the series of events & news that spooked the markets. Namely: FED Interest Rate Hike, FedEx, CPI Report, Russia Ukraine War, China USA tensions & etc, However, when we take a closer look into history. We can see that everytime the FED raises interest rates, the probability of a positive return after 1 year is 100%. To conclude, the upcoming CPI Report is a critical signal to peak inflation or inflation is still on the rise. I believe it's peaking based on commodities & consumer discretionary prices dropping.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919899724","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1215,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":785,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":104029868,"commentId":"104029868","gmtCreate":1663768294625,"gmtModify":1663768298101,"authorId":4099364351782360,"author":{"id":4099364351782360,"idStr":"4099364351782360","authorId":4099364351782360,"name":"CYberviRus","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/01a9dd052e60cc14e090e6a5b7323791","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.02.01","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Thank you","text":"Thank you","html":"Thank you","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029901,"commentId":"104029901","gmtCreate":1663768362692,"gmtModify":1663768366095,"authorId":3573976216768090,"author":{"id":3573976216768090,"idStr":"3573976216768090","authorId":3573976216768090,"name":"3nn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/303b8f037330070d95adf2f11d86d23a","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-2","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"Executive Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $300,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"80.05%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"K","text":"K","html":"K","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029896,"commentId":"104029896","gmtCreate":1663768353952,"gmtModify":1663768357529,"authorId":4102526065628400,"author":{"id":4102526065628400,"idStr":"4102526065628400","authorId":4102526065628400,"name":"Panda King","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/7df763e6d8e0046f61fa76fad1d5a9c9","vip":1,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"noted","text":"noted","html":"noted","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029872,"commentId":"104029872","gmtCreate":1663768305708,"gmtModify":1663768309152,"authorId":3586734124712023,"author":{"id":3586734124712023,"idStr":"3586734124712023","authorId":3586734124712023,"name":"Zlatan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/851e5397e61566365d8aa47e422075b4","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"k","text":"k","html":"k","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029871,"commentId":"104029871","gmtCreate":1663768305095,"gmtModify":1663768308712,"authorId":3585783151794537,"author":{"id":3585783151794537,"idStr":"3585783151794537","authorId":3585783151794537,"name":"jgaldon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ac1bf876c504881c7cc0ca4968b92bb","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a8758340a08196056f8bc1e54805193","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"thanks","text":"thanks","html":"thanks","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029870,"commentId":"104029870","gmtCreate":1663768304836,"gmtModify":1663768308161,"authorId":3576753612057805,"author":{"id":3576753612057805,"idStr":"3576753612057805","authorId":3576753612057805,"name":"新手多多指教谢谢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fecb7d1383713753ac321a6691d47ad2","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"K","text":"K","html":"K","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029864,"commentId":"104029864","gmtCreate":1663768286477,"gmtModify":1663768289663,"authorId":3561239881014940,"author":{"id":3561239881014940,"idStr":"3561239881014940","authorId":3561239881014940,"name":"SUPERCHARGER","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d8977ccd4cef3718d77de1198ec99b1","vip":1,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"K","text":"K","html":"K","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029861,"commentId":"104029861","gmtCreate":1663768283848,"gmtModify":1663768287081,"authorId":3579508038589532,"author":{"id":3579508038589532,"idStr":"3579508038589532","authorId":3579508038589532,"name":"Svit","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecc636ceb846bf300b867016b5d3bdf5","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"n","text":"n","html":"n","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029850,"commentId":"104029850","gmtCreate":1663768266727,"gmtModify":1663768279596,"authorId":3577956296550844,"author":{"id":3577956296550844,"idStr":"3577956296550844","authorId":3577956296550844,"name":"Botakk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/898e489e32e78e2b5602745dd583b2fa","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-2","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"Executive Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $300,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.10.25","exceedPercentage":"80.22%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Ok","text":"Ok","html":"Ok","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029854,"commentId":"104029854","gmtCreate":1663768273570,"gmtModify":1663768277023,"authorId":3572005609122539,"author":{"id":3572005609122539,"idStr":"3572005609122539","authorId":3572005609122539,"name":"ngchris","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76fa13deb76ef9b61305ed927b5c3290","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"[Cool]","text":"[Cool]","html":"[Cool]","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029853,"commentId":"104029853","gmtCreate":1663768268098,"gmtModify":1663768271575,"authorId":3561964707303823,"author":{"id":3561964707303823,"idStr":"3561964707303823","authorId":3561964707303823,"name":"Happyfish","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5083e727dd5928aedd9d371dffbfd8bc","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"[Allin]","text":"[Allin]","html":"[Allin]","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029848,"commentId":"104029848","gmtCreate":1663768259924,"gmtModify":1663768263079,"authorId":3581845207696926,"author":{"id":3581845207696926,"idStr":"3581845207696926","authorId":3581845207696926,"name":"Icecream29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6746e5ce0bf3204954f46e4cb8b1d034","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"ok","text":"ok","html":"ok","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029841,"commentId":"104029841","gmtCreate":1663768243991,"gmtModify":1663768247513,"authorId":3577429283113444,"author":{"id":3577429283113444,"idStr":"3577429283113444","authorId":3577429283113444,"name":"Mikhamet","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Ok","text":"Ok","html":"Ok","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029840,"commentId":"104029840","gmtCreate":1663768237292,"gmtModify":1663768240945,"authorId":4087548065759240,"author":{"id":4087548065759240,"idStr":"4087548065759240","authorId":4087548065759240,"name":"Jjsh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1087a2f1627012e61324912c9a8c0e6","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Ok","text":"Ok","html":"Ok","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104029839,"commentId":"104029839","gmtCreate":1663768234340,"gmtModify":1663768237938,"authorId":4110061129530632,"author":{"id":4110061129530632,"idStr":"4110061129530632","authorId":4110061129530632,"name":"olilim","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919899724,"objectIdStr":"9919899724","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"ok","text":"ok","html":"ok","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0}],"hasMoreComment":true,"orderType":2}