👌🏻-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community

Like
Comment
Favorite

Sinlin
2022-12-19

👌🏻

未来几周，全球大机构要卖股票，规模高达千亿美元

大型基金经理可能会被迫放弃此前的看涨姿态。

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment

Top
Latest

No comments yet

Most Discussed

Terms and Conditions·Privacy Policy

Company: TTMF Limited. Tech supported by Xiangshang Yixin.

Email：uservice@ttm.financial

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":9926026197,"tweetId":"9926026197","gmtCreate":1671425027219,"gmtModify":1676538534320,"author":{"id":3578273090742274,"idStr":"3578273090742274","authorId":3578273090742274,"authorIdStr":"3578273090742274","name":"Sinlin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e26a5aacb13f0157a96e28fd565c12e5","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":5,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body><p>👌🏻</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>👌🏻</p></body></html>","text":"👌🏻","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926026197","repostId":1174963451,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1174963451","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1671341144,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174963451?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-12-18 13:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"未来几周，全球大机构要卖股票，规模高达千亿美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174963451","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"大型基金经理可能会被迫放弃此前的看涨姿态。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>作者：王眉</p><p>自鲍威尔周三明确表示政策制定者将冒着衰退的风险继续积极收紧政策后，美股的抛售就像滚雪球一样加剧，截至周五，美股指三连阴，标普500指数跌至3852.36点。</p><p>此前野村的模型显示，如果标普500收于3933点以下，大型基金经理可能会被迫放弃此前的看涨姿态，做空的概率高达83%。在标普500单日下跌超过2%的情况下，量化基金可能需要抛售300亿美元的全球股票期货。</p><p>而媒体最新称，<b>全球最大的基金经理将在今年的最后几周抛售高达1000亿美元的股票。</b>这背后，美股最近的反弹推高了其相对于其他资产类别的估值，迫使有严格配置授权的基金经理出售股票以实现目标。</p><p>摩根大通和机构级金融服务平台StoneX集团称，债券可能是主权财富基金、养老金和平衡型共同基金抛售股票的受益者，这些基金希望补充其固定收益资产的持仓量。</p><p>摩根大通估计，<b>到12月结束时，主权财富基金可能会抛售约290亿美元的股票，而美国的固定收益养老金计划需要将至多700亿美元的资金从股票转向债券，以实现其长期持仓目标。</b></p><p>作为投资界的中坚力量，养老金和主权财富基金通常每个季度都会重新平衡其市场敞口，以实现60%的股票和40%的债券组合。</p><p>StoneX宏观策略师 Vincent Deluard表示：</p><blockquote>“近期股市回调和债市反弹符合再平衡假设。”“投资者不得不卖出股票，购买债券，以回到目标。这种情况持续到今年年底是说得通的。”</blockquote><p>他预计，部分再平衡已在本周发生。</p><p>在标普500从11月的高点下跌约6%之后，分析师预计，这将加剧量化基金约300亿美元的自动强制抛售。</p><p>根据摩根大通的计算，<b>日本1.6万亿美元的GPIF（全球最大的养老基金）将不得不出售170亿美元的股票，以恢复其目标资产配置。规模1.3万亿美元的挪威石油基金可能会将120亿美元从股票转向债券。</b></p></body></html>","source":"live_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>未来几周，全球大机构要卖股票，规模高达千亿美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n未来几周，全球大机构要卖股票，规模高达千亿美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-18 13:25 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3677736><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者：王眉自鲍威尔周三明确表示政策制定者将冒着衰退的风险继续积极收紧政策后，美股的抛售就像滚雪球一样加剧，截至周五，美股指三连阴，标普500指数跌至3852.36点。此前野村的模型显示，如果标普500收于3933点以下，大型基金经理可能会被迫放弃此前的看涨姿态，做空的概率高达83%。在标普500单日下跌超过2%的情况下，量化基金可能需要抛售300亿美元的全球股票期货。而媒体最新称，全球最大的基金...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3677736\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e90f0093c95026e18203fb8d91b976d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3677736","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1174963451","content_text":"作者：王眉自鲍威尔周三明确表示政策制定者将冒着衰退的风险继续积极收紧政策后，美股的抛售就像滚雪球一样加剧，截至周五，美股指三连阴，标普500指数跌至3852.36点。此前野村的模型显示，如果标普500收于3933点以下，大型基金经理可能会被迫放弃此前的看涨姿态，做空的概率高达83%。在标普500单日下跌超过2%的情况下，量化基金可能需要抛售300亿美元的全球股票期货。而媒体最新称，全球最大的基金经理将在今年的最后几周抛售高达1000亿美元的股票。这背后，美股最近的反弹推高了其相对于其他资产类别的估值，迫使有严格配置授权的基金经理出售股票以实现目标。摩根大通和机构级金融服务平台StoneX集团称，债券可能是主权财富基金、养老金和平衡型共同基金抛售股票的受益者，这些基金希望补充其固定收益资产的持仓量。摩根大通估计，到12月结束时，主权财富基金可能会抛售约290亿美元的股票，而美国的固定收益养老金计划需要将至多700亿美元的资金从股票转向债券，以实现其长期持仓目标。作为投资界的中坚力量，养老金和主权财富基金通常每个季度都会重新平衡其市场敞口，以实现60%的股票和40%的债券组合。StoneX宏观策略师 Vincent Deluard表示：“近期股市回调和债市反弹符合再平衡假设。”“投资者不得不卖出股票，购买债券，以回到目标。这种情况持续到今年年底是说得通的。”他预计，部分再平衡已在本周发生。在标普500从11月的高点下跌约6%之后，分析师预计，这将加剧量化基金约300亿美元的自动强制抛售。根据摩根大通的计算，日本1.6万亿美元的GPIF（全球最大的养老基金）将不得不出售170亿美元的股票，以恢复其目标资产配置。规模1.3万亿美元的挪威石油基金可能会将120亿美元从股票转向债券。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":842,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}