To The Moon

International tourist arrivals to Singapore rose in January to a new post-pandemic high, with over 930,000 visitors. The Singapore Tourism Board expects the nation to receive up to 14 million international visitors this year, more than double the 6.3 million recorded in 2022. Tourism receipts are also expected to grow from around S$14 billion in 2022 to as high as S$21 billion this year.

This may bode well for domestic consumer, leisure and hospitality-related sectors. Listed in Singapore are seven S-Reits that have significant exposure to Singapore-based retail properties.

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT) $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ for its FY2022 reported 25% and 22.5% year-on-year (yoy) growths in shopper traffic and tenant sales, respectively.

Downtown malls saw higher growth, with over 30% increases in both shopper traffic and tenant sales. CICT noted that operating metrics in its retail portfolio surpassed pre-pandemic figures on the back of healthy market demand. Retail portfolio occupancy improved to 98.3% as at Dec 31, 2022 (vs 96.8% as at Sep 30, 2022) and positive rent reversion was recorded.

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust$Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr(N2IU.SI)$ ’s VivoCity Mall reported that its Q3 FY22/23 sales continued to exceed pre-pandemic levels, with shopper traffic and tenant sales growing 50.5% and 38.5% yoy, respectively. VivoCity recorded positive rent reversion at 7.9%.

Suntec Reit$SUNTEC REAL ESTATE INV TRUST(T82U.SI)$ reported 27.3% and 38.8% yoy growth in gross revenue and net property income, respectively, for its retail portfolio in H2 FY22. Growth was driven by higher occupancy, rent and advertising revenue at its Suntec City Mall. Overall retail portfolio committed occupancy improved to 98.1% as at Dec 31, 2022 and the Reit recorded positive rent reversion at 4.4% in FY2022.

Frasers Centrepoint Trust$FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST(J69U.SI)$ reported that shopper traffic and tenant sales in Q1 FY23 remained robust and grew 38.3% and 13.4% yoy, respectively. Retail portfolio committed occupancy improved to 98.4% as at Dec 31, 2022 on healthy leasing demand.

Paragon Reit$SPH REIT(SK6U.SI)$ ’s Paragon Mall saw sales recover to above pre-Covid levels as tenant sales for the January to December 2022 period increased 45% yoy. Footfall was around 80% of pre-Covid levels. The Clementi Mall remained resilient as tenant sales increased 12% across the same period, with footfall gradually trending upwards post relaxation of pandemic restrictions.

Lendlease Global Commercial Reit$Lendlease Global Commercial REIT(JYEU.SI)$ ’s retail portfolio maintained a portfolio occupancy rate of 99.5% as at Dec 31, 2022, with positive rent reversion of around 2%. The Reit noted that tenant sales and visitation in H1 FY23 surpassed pre-Covid levels and was five times and 2.8 times, respectively, what it was in H1 FY22.

Starhill Global Reit$STARHILL GLOBAL REIT(P40U.SI)$ ’s Wisma Atria saw tenant sales and shopper traffic improve in H1 FY23 by 32.6% and 30%, respectively, yoy. Overall portfolio occupancy rate of the Reit was at 97.1% as at Dec 31, 2022.

In February, S-Reits posted negative 2% in total returns (based on the iEdge S-Reit Index). Retail investors net bought the sector, totalling S$89 million in net inflows; while institutional investors net sold the sector, at S$42 million in net outflows.

https://www.sgx.com/research-education/market-updates/20230306-reit-watch-retail-s-reits-metrics-surpass-pre-covid