🐯Auto-Invest(4):DCA Profit-Loss Analysis During A 🐻 Market💵/💸

Hello fellow 🐯🐯🐯 @TigerEvents asked us to share what we’ve learnt in Q1 2023 & the best lesson I’ve learnt in this quarter is about the effectiveness of Dollar-Cost-Averaging (DCA), how to best harness the power of DCA through the 🐯Auto-Invest feature, & knowledge of how I should Auto-Invest in a 🐻 market. Hope this sharing will benefit you in your investing journey🥰

This is part 4 of my 🐯Auto-Invest series, so if you haven’t read my earlier posts, do click on the Snoopy Icon to reach my homepage to read:

(1) My introduction on DCA where I debunked a common misconception that ❌DCA = Averaging Down❌ & compared the pros & cons of DCA 🆚 Averaging Down 🆚 1-Time Purchase.

(2) Real Life Example In Action🎬: My purchase price 🆚 🐯Auto-Invest price

(3) Does DCA-ing Daily/Weekly/Monthly Matter🕵🏻‍♀️🕵🏻‍♂️❓

🔎Background:

Despite fully understanding what DCA is & how effective it can be, my creative🧠 didn’t fully agree with what I’ve read on the internet😬 For me to believe in DCA, I would need to test it for myself & this whole series on 🐯Auto-Invest posts are the results of the tests I’ve done so far.

We’ve all read numerous articles like the above about the:

(1) ⭐️ AMAZING benefits of DCA-ing ⭐️

(2) ⭐️ S&P 500 index funds⭐️ being the best choice for DCA & that stocks are less suitable. Seeing enticing articles like this make us want to follow blindly🙈🐒🐒 However, do these claims hold true in the current 🐻market❓

🔎 My research questions are:

(1) Is DCA-ing into the S&P 500 index funds the most effective strategy in a 🐻 market ❓

(2) Which type of investments give the greatest profits💵💵💵 or create the most losses💸💸💸 using the DCA strategy during a 🐻 market❓

👩🏻‍🔬Method For Research Questions: Refer to bottom of post if you’re interested to find out.

*Disclaimer: The stocks in this post are not recommendations for DCA/🐯Auto-Invest. I chose these stocks for experimental & educational purposes only*

🕵🏻👩🏻‍💻What Have I Learnt In Q1 2023 From My Research Results:

⭐️ Among the chosen stocks for research, daily DCA-ing into NVDA, META, NFLX, QQQ, MSFT, & AAPL from 3/1/22-13/4/22 would have given us profits about 5%-33%💵💵💵

⭐️ Among the chosen stocks for research, daily DCA-ing into BAC would have created the most loss at about 33%, followed by DVN (24%), TSLA (20%), AMZN (16%), BRK-B/PLTR (10%)💸💸💸

⭐️ Our famous Buffett’s ETF BRK-B didn’t give better DCA results than the controversial tech stock PLTR😅

⭐️ Contrary to popular articles & advice online, Index-based ETFs (QQQ, SPY, VOO) didn’t give better DCA results than single stocks like NVDA, META, or NFLX😱

⭐️ Contrary to popular articles & advice online, defensive stocks like BAC & KO are not that defensive after all. Even if we exclude the 🏦 crisis, KO would have at best just broken even😨

⭐️ Not all investors’ favourite MAANG stocks performed equally well via daily DCA in a 🐻 market so our stock pick matters, & not just the sector.

🤔💭: Is DCA-ing into the S&P 500 index funds the most effective strategy in a 🐻market❓

🥁🥁🥁Conclusion: Surprisingly, DCA-ing into the S&P 500 index funds isn’t the most effective strategy in a 🐻 market. In fact, a $3000 investment into the SPY & VOO would have yielded a 2.94% loss & 2.49% loss⁉️ Are you shocked😱 to know that whatever the internet said is wrong❓

🤔💭: Which type of investments give the greatest profits💵💵💵 or create the most losses💸💸💸 using the DCA strategy during a 🐻 market❓

🥁🥁🥁Conclusion: There’s NO specific type of investment (ETFs 🆚 Stocks or Growth 🆚 Defensive or FAANG🆚 Oil) that will benefit in 🐻 market. We’ll have to assess the existing investing climate & market conditions to see which sectors/stocks/ETFs will benefit the most to give us the greatest profits💵💵💵 & avoid sectors/stocks/ETFs that’ll create the most losses💸💸💸 Within A Given ⏰ Period. For example, due to the AI🤖 hype in Nov 2022, DCA-ing into QQQ, NVDA, MSFT, & META in Dec 2022 would have been a profitable decision😉 whereas DCA-ing into SPY/VOO/Oil stocks at another period would have been profitable.

🤔💭: What Is My DCA Profit-Loss Analysis During A 🐻 Market💵/💸❓

🌟 DCA is an effective & ⏰-saving strategy in making profits in a 🐻 market❣️

🌟 Both Index-based ETFs & stocks can give the great profits💵💵💵 using the DCA strategy during a 🐻 markets.

🌟 If tech stocks are oversold during a 🐻 market & a rebound is expected, investing in QQQ would give us more profits💵💵💵 than SPY/VOO❣️

🌟 Defensive stocks are not always the best DCA investments in a 🐻 market. See losses for BAC💸💸💸 & KO as example😅

🌟🌟🌟 To maximise our profits💵💵💵, we can utilise the DCA strategy but we’ll need to assess the existing market conditions & investing climate to choose the correct ETFs/stocks to invest in🕵🏻‍♀️🕵🏻‍♂️

(1) Instead of DCA-ing into the same stock over a long period of time, we can have a list of stocks where we DCA into at different periods of ⏰

(2) We might have better outcomes if we split our regular investing capital to DCA daily into several ETFs & stocks, than to DCA into only 1 S&P 500 index fund e.g. $10 into 5 different stocks/ETFs daily rather than $10 daily into 1 ETF.

(3) A $10 daily DCA plan (just $220 a month) is an affordable investing plan which could give us fairly decent profits when I choose the correct stocks/ETFs even in a 🐻 market🥳🥳🥳

🚨 Contrary to the popular belief, DCA-ing into the S&P 500 index funds isn’t the most effective strategy in a 🐻 market‼️ However, if you’re not concerned about maximising profits & intend to invest over long periods of multiple 🐂 & 🐻 markets, they might still give you profits in the future, provided that they continually grow upwards & not hit a peak like SPDR Straits Times Index ETF did, moving up & down within its range.

❣️Being successful in investing isn’t as simple as what the media portrays it to be-winning some & losing some might not give us the retirement sum we need. Therefore, I would like to encourage fellow 🐯🐯🐯 to:

(1) Question & test what we read instead of following blindly🕵🏻‍♀️🕵🏻‍♂️

(2) Keep track of our capital sum & our total gains & losses till date📊 so that we can be sure that our wins are more than our losses & that our investing strategies are indeed profit-making😉

Keep a lookout for my next post on: Auto-Invest Toolkit🛠-Everything You Need To Know To Start Auto-Investing Today😉

Do follow me if you enjoy reading analytical stock research🔍 presented in a fun & easily understandable way😉 & for the Latest Stock & 🗞🗞🗞 Updates🕵🏻‍♀️❣️

Please help to click on the “Like” & “Share/Repost” buttons at the Bottom Right corner so that more 🐯🐯🐯 can access this information, many thanks🤗🥰 You will Greatly Encourage Me❣️

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Bullish$Bank of America(BAC)$ Bullish$Netflix(NFLX)$ Bullish$Coca-Cola(KO)$ Bullish$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Bearish

👩🏻‍🔬Method For Research Questions:

(1) I extracted the daily high, low, & average trading prices for the current 🐻bear market (3/1/22-14/3/23) for the list onto an excel sheet.

⭐️ The list is a mix of index-based ETFs, Warren Buffett’s famous BRK-B, defensive stocks, popular tech stocks, & a controversial tech stock. I also added in other stocks that had the highest number of auto-invest plans in 🐯Brokers to assess the profit💵 or loss💸 of these different stocks & ETFs.

(2) As my 2nd post showed that 🐯Auto-Invest captured a price similar to the average price of the day, I used the daily average price as a guide to calculate an estimated DCA price.

(3) I used a daily DCA strategy as my 3rd post showed that daily DCA generally yielded better results. I used a $10 daily over 300 days plan (A Total of $3000 over 300 days for each stock) to calculate the number of shares we would have gotten, the average cost/share, & the profit & loss for each stock.

@TigerStars @TigerEvents @TigerTradingNotes 

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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  • hh488
    ·2023-04-01
    Hi Sunshine, can reveal how much US$ per stock you auto-invest each time, whether daily, weekly or monthly? Thanks!
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    • LMSunshine
      Do help to re-post my 4 auto-invest articles if you can so that more🐯🐯🐯 can benefit from my research.Click on the Snoopy icon and you’ll reach my homepage to see the other 3 posts
      2023-04-02
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    • LMSunshine
      If AMD pulls back,I will increase the daily amount so that while it is cheap, I can get more shares. Examples only, not recommending these stocks
      2023-04-02
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    • LMSunshine
      Depends on: (1) how much money you have (2) how much of a stock you want and how fast you want it (3) how many stocks you buying. For example I wanted more of BAC so I put $7 daily. Even though I want AMD, but I think price too high,so I put $1 daily.
      2023-04-02
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  • Ah_Meng
    ·2023-04-02
    Won't comment first... will read your other articles first.... having said that, great effort here! [Like] [Salute]
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    • Ah_MengReplying toLMSunshine
      Don't know... I follow my comments link
      2023-04-02
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    • LMSunshine
      Thanks buddy🥰 Why u start reading from part 4 and not part 1😂?
      2023-04-02
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  • bubblyx
    ·2023-04-07
    I'm not feeling confident about NFLX's upcoming ER. They're target EPS is $2.86 but last quarter their actual EPS was only $0.12.
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  • SR050321
    ·2023-03-31
    I believe in DCA but i will itchy hand to sell once the price is moving up, so i get lesser profit. 😅
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  • GoodLife99
    ·2023-04-01

    Sharing is caring! & Good thing must share!

    Great weekn ahead! [Happy] 

    AUTO - INVEST

    Part 4

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    • icycrystal
      thanks for sharing
      2023-04-02
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  • AdamDavis
    ·2023-03-31
    Q1 was nice but I have no confidence in the next few months? We may have big drop?
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  • WernerBilly
    ·2023-03-31
    Yeah, good to buy some ETFs and Buffett's ones. Can I ask what sectors you prefer?
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  • BillyWilliams
    ·2023-03-31
    You must have earned with these tech stocks in Q1~
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  • LMSunshine
    ·2023-05-11
    @Decromer Post 4, i love this post too❣️
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  • wigglyz
    ·2023-04-07
    NFLX is embarrassing shorts with this weak dip lol
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  • CET 789
    ·2023-03-31
    [Tongue] [Tongue] [Tongue]
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  • WonderElephant
    ·2023-04-02

    DCA for the long term!

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  • Mellysho
    ·2023-04-01
    which platform did u buy your s&p on?
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  • AricLo
    ·2023-04-02
    thanks for sharing
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  • vodkalime
    ·2023-04-01
    thanks for sharing
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  • icycrystal
    ·2023-03-31
    thanks for sharing
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  • sky老夫子
    ·2023-04-03
    加油
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  • Sunny868
    ·2023-04-02
    👍
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  • LEESIMON
    ·2023-04-02
    [Love]Nice
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  • HENRYCSC
    ·2023-04-02
    Like
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