光大環境候低收集

光大環境(257,市值205億元)上月24日發盈警,當日至今,股價並未因此而下跌,仍升1.8%(恆指同期跌3.5%),候低收集。

1)光環盈警指,2022財年(12月年結)盈利料跌30%至35%,以跌幅中間落墨計,賺45.9億港元(EPS 0.75元)。業績倒退原因,是建造業務大減,及為旗下波蘭附屬公司商譽撥備5.9億元。 今年預測PE 3.4倍

2)2023財年,僅估計不必再為波蘭公司撥備,光環盈利已可回增13%。光環今年盈利預測55億元(EPS 0.99元),回增20%,預測PE 3.4倍,較6年平均7.1倍折逾一半。

3)光環2023財年預測PB 0.34倍,較6年平均0.98倍折讓6成半。

4)2021財年每股派息0.34元,2022財年預測派0.28元,股息率仍達8.4釐,較6年平均6釐高出2.4釐。

5)2022年6月底,光環淨借貸高達848億元,淨借貸 / 股東資金總額高達128%,有集資壓力,估計在適當時候(例如股價並非極殘時)。對上一次集資,在2018年,27股供10股,供6元,集資100億元;當年供股前,淨借貸比率72%,現時比率較當年更高。光環現價3.33元,候3.1元收集,目標3.9元。大摩(3月)睇3.98元,中信證券(3月)睇4.2元。

$光大環境(00257)$

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# HKEX Stocks Opportunities

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