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2023-02-16

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Palantir, My Top Stock For 2023, Is Just Getting Started

Palantir's stock experienced one of the most spectacular declines ever seen in a dominant, growing,

Palantir, My Top Stock For 2023, Is Just Getting Started

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Nevertheless, Palantir&#39;s stock went through a remarkable decline of approximately 87% from peak to trough. Moreover, despite the recent rebound, Palantir&#39;s stock is still about 80% below the company&#39;s post-IPO high of around $45. The good news is that the stock is on the verge of a significant breakout and may soon move up to the $12-$15 range.</p><p>Also, the wild price action in Palantir&#39;s stock has troubled some investors since going public. However, the stock had severe dilution, hype, FOMO, and overvaluation issues around its top and subsequent highs. Now the stock is in a much different, more stable place, and Palantir is a more mature public company. Moreover, Palantir has enormous growth and profitability potential. The company provided a glimpse into its future potential during its most recent earnings announcement.</p><h2>Palantir - Not Your Ordinary Company</h2><p>Palantir is different from your ordinary company, and the company comes out with exciting results in unexpected instances. We can see this phenomenon in Palantir&#39;s recent earnings report. While many companies missed their estimates and reported excessive losses, Palantir beat on top and bottom line estimates.</p><p><b>Q4 Highlights</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/938f7c1742c5340f04f4adb173259e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Highlights (static.seekingalpha.com)</p><p>Palantir achieved quarterly GAAP profitability for the first time, illustrating that the company has the potential to become increasingly profitable as it advances. Revenue (Q4) was <i>$509 million</i>, outpacing last year&#39;s number by 18%. The company also posted a very healthy 22% adjusted operating margin in Q4. Additionally, Palantir provided solid outlooks for future years. Yet, the company&#39;s stance may be modest, giving Palantir a higher probability of surpassing future earnings reports. Therefore, there are many positive takeaways from Palantir&#39;s recent earnings report, and the full-year numbers look just as strong, if not better.</p><p><b>FY 2022 Highlights</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83725d7b19b099337c084e7d9e57496f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FY highlights (static.seekingalpha.com)</p><p>Palantir&#39;s U.S. business experienced massive growth, increasing revenues by 32% to <i>$1.2</i> <i>billion in</i> 2022. Moreover, Palantir&#39;s commercial side of the business boomed, delivering 67% revenue growth YoY. Additionally, the customer count increased by 55% YoY, closed deals climbed by 61%, and Palantir maintained its healthy 22% adjusted operating margin throughout last year. I see excellent numbers and a relatively small enterprise transitioning into a solid, profitable public company. Palantir&#39;s robust, stable, and increasing profitability trend should persist, enabling the company&#39;s stock price to move much higher in the coming years.</p><h2>Palantir - Not That Expensive Anymore</h2><p>It&#39;s true. Now that Palantir is around $9, it&#39;s substantially more expensive than when the price was at $6. However, the short-term distortion of its price may be short-lived. First, I want to underline that Palantir has returned below its IPO price days. Moreover, Palantir is trading at only around seven times forward sales estimates and has the potential to become increasingly more profitable in future years.</p><p><b>EPS Estimates May Be Too Conservative</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0662ecabe43b248f9ddceb6f7baa4be5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"179\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>EPS estimates (seekingalpha.com)</p><p>Most analysts believe Palantir will deliver $0.20-$0.30 EPS this year and the next. However, we&#39;re seeing Palantir illustrate higher profitability than projected, and this trend of outperforming the estimates could continue. Moreover, if Palantir can surpass estimates and produce unexpected profitability when the economy is in a &#34;challenging&#34; phase, think of what Palantir will do when the economy gets hot again. Palantir&#39;s commercial business could increase significantly and much more than expected. Therefore, the company&#39;s stock price will benefit considerably in the coming years. I suspect Palantir could be close to $20 by year&#39;s end. Provided the stock was at around $6 at the start of the year, a potential 233% gain is significant, making Palantir a top stock-to-own contender for 2023.</p><p><b>Here&#39;s where Palantir&#39;s stock price could be in future years:</b></p><table><tbody><tr><td><b>Year</b></td><td><b>2023</b></td><td><b>2024</b></td><td><b>2025</b></td><td><b>2026</b></td><td><b>2027</b></td><td><b>2028</b></td><td><b>2029</b></td></tr><tr><td><b>Revenue Bs</b></td><td>$2.25</td><td>$2.85</td><td>$3.65</td><td>$4.67</td><td>$5.98</td><td>$7.59</td><td>$9.48</td></tr><tr><td><b>Revenue growth</b></td><td>18%</td><td>26%</td><td>27%</td><td>28%</td><td>28%</td><td>27%</td><td>25%</td></tr><tr><td><b>EPS</b></td><td>$.20</td><td>$.29</td><td>$.44</td><td>$.65</td><td>$.94</td><td>$1.31</td><td>1.77</td></tr><tr><td><b>EPS growth</b></td><td>300%</td><td>45%</td><td>50%</td><td>47%</td><td>45%</td><td>40%</td><td>35%</td></tr><tr><td><b>Forward P/E</b></td><td>31</td><td>32</td><td>33</td><td>35</td><td>34</td><td>33</td><td>30</td></tr><tr><td><b>Stock price</b></td><td>$9</td><td>$14</td><td>$21</td><td>$33</td><td>$52</td><td>$59</td><td>$70</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: The Financial Prophet</p><h2>Risks to Palantir</h2><p>Despite my bullish outlook for Palantir, market participants should consider several potential risks associated with this investment. The company&#39;s earnings are minimal and may not increase as much as I envision. Moreover, if the company&#39;s growth picture were to turn less bullish, the stock could head lower. Also, if Palantir lost favor with the government or had a data breach, the stock could experience a notable decline. So, please think about these and other risks carefully before investing in Palantir.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir, My Top Stock For 2023, Is Just Getting Started</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir, My Top Stock For 2023, Is Just Getting Started\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-16 13:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4578707-palantir-2023-buy-of-the-year><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir's stock experienced one of the most spectacular declines ever seen in a dominant, growing, market-leading company under no threat of financial danger or stress. Nevertheless, Palantir's stock...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4578707-palantir-2023-buy-of-the-year\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4578707-palantir-2023-buy-of-the-year","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2311746659","content_text":"Palantir's stock experienced one of the most spectacular declines ever seen in a dominant, growing, market-leading company under no threat of financial danger or stress. Nevertheless, Palantir's stock went through a remarkable decline of approximately 87% from peak to trough. Moreover, despite the recent rebound, Palantir's stock is still about 80% below the company's post-IPO high of around $45. The good news is that the stock is on the verge of a significant breakout and may soon move up to the $12-$15 range.Also, the wild price action in Palantir's stock has troubled some investors since going public. However, the stock had severe dilution, hype, FOMO, and overvaluation issues around its top and subsequent highs. Now the stock is in a much different, more stable place, and Palantir is a more mature public company. Moreover, Palantir has enormous growth and profitability potential. The company provided a glimpse into its future potential during its most recent earnings announcement.Palantir - Not Your Ordinary CompanyPalantir is different from your ordinary company, and the company comes out with exciting results in unexpected instances. We can see this phenomenon in Palantir's recent earnings report. While many companies missed their estimates and reported excessive losses, Palantir beat on top and bottom line estimates.Q4 HighlightsHighlights (static.seekingalpha.com)Palantir achieved quarterly GAAP profitability for the first time, illustrating that the company has the potential to become increasingly profitable as it advances. Revenue (Q4) was $509 million, outpacing last year's number by 18%. The company also posted a very healthy 22% adjusted operating margin in Q4. Additionally, Palantir provided solid outlooks for future years. Yet, the company's stance may be modest, giving Palantir a higher probability of surpassing future earnings reports. Therefore, there are many positive takeaways from Palantir's recent earnings report, and the full-year numbers look just as strong, if not better.FY 2022 HighlightsFY highlights (static.seekingalpha.com)Palantir's U.S. business experienced massive growth, increasing revenues by 32% to $1.2 billion in 2022. Moreover, Palantir's commercial side of the business boomed, delivering 67% revenue growth YoY. Additionally, the customer count increased by 55% YoY, closed deals climbed by 61%, and Palantir maintained its healthy 22% adjusted operating margin throughout last year. I see excellent numbers and a relatively small enterprise transitioning into a solid, profitable public company. Palantir's robust, stable, and increasing profitability trend should persist, enabling the company's stock price to move much higher in the coming years.Palantir - Not That Expensive AnymoreIt's true. Now that Palantir is around $9, it's substantially more expensive than when the price was at $6. However, the short-term distortion of its price may be short-lived. First, I want to underline that Palantir has returned below its IPO price days. Moreover, Palantir is trading at only around seven times forward sales estimates and has the potential to become increasingly more profitable in future years.EPS Estimates May Be Too ConservativeEPS estimates (seekingalpha.com)Most analysts believe Palantir will deliver $0.20-$0.30 EPS this year and the next. However, we're seeing Palantir illustrate higher profitability than projected, and this trend of outperforming the estimates could continue. Moreover, if Palantir can surpass estimates and produce unexpected profitability when the economy is in a \"challenging\" phase, think of what Palantir will do when the economy gets hot again. Palantir's commercial business could increase significantly and much more than expected. Therefore, the company's stock price will benefit considerably in the coming years. I suspect Palantir could be close to $20 by year's end. Provided the stock was at around $6 at the start of the year, a potential 233% gain is significant, making Palantir a top stock-to-own contender for 2023.Here's where Palantir's stock price could be in future years:Year2023202420252026202720282029Revenue Bs$2.25$2.85$3.65$4.67$5.98$7.59$9.48Revenue growth18%26%27%28%28%27%25%EPS$.20$.29$.44$.65$.94$1.311.77EPS growth300%45%50%47%45%40%35%Forward P/E31323335343330Stock price$9$14$21$33$52$59$70Source: The Financial ProphetRisks to PalantirDespite my bullish outlook for Palantir, market participants should consider several potential risks associated with this investment. The company's earnings are minimal and may not increase as much as I envision. Moreover, if the company's growth picture were to turn less bullish, the stock could head lower. Also, if Palantir lost favor with the government or had a data breach, the stock could experience a notable decline. So, please think about these and other risks carefully before investing in Palantir.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":122,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":30,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}