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2023-02-13

My Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price Prediction for 2025

Tesla (TSLA) stock keeps climbing on hopes that the electric vehicle (EV) maker can continue to win

My Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price Prediction for 2025

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The market’s high pessimism for TSLA stock at the start of the year seems to have shifted into high optimism. Hopes are that this electric vehicle (EV) maker can continue to thrive despite current economic challenges. Even as other growth stocks pull back on recent macro news, investors are willing to keep bidding up TSLA.</p><p>With all this in mind, you may be wondering what lies ahead for the company from here. In the near term, due to several different factors, shares of this EV play could stay on an upward trajectory.</p><p>However, while TSLA may keep performing well in 2023, investment returns over a longer timeframe (like, say, two years) could end up being far less impressive than many fans of the stock currently expect.</p><p>Let’s dive into my Tesla price prediction for 2025.</p><h2>TSLA Stock Should Stay Elevated (For Now)</h2><p>I’ve expressed skepticism in recent coverage, but I’ll admit that there’s plenty in play that could potentially keep this top EV stock at elevated prices.</p><p>For instance, with Tesla’s much-awaited “Investor Day” just a few weeks away (March 1), more investors could continue to jump into TSLA stock, expecting that the event will include an unveiling of plans for its third-generation vehicle platform. This next vehicle platform could enable Tesla to further reduce manufacturing costs.</p><p>Besides boosting its chances of winning an emerging “EV price war,” production cost reductions may also enable Tesla to introduce lower-priced vehicle models for the mass market. And alongside that, two other things may help TSLA stock sustain (and possibly grow) its current valuation.</p><p>First, upcoming delivery numbers could indicate that Tesla’s recent vehicle price cuts are creating significant demand, which would suggest the company has a shot of hitting CEO Elon Musk’s deliveries stretch goal of 2 million vehicles this year. Second, if the next few quarterly reports indicate that price cuts are not having a big impact on margins — or that increased demand outweighs the impact — that could also bolster investor confidence.</p><h2>Challenges Ahead in 2024 and 2025</h2><p>So, TSLA stock may stay in the fast lane during 2023. However, next year may also be a different story as well as the year after that. Why? Although Tesla is perhaps successfully keeping the competition at bay today, that may not be the case in the years ahead.</p><p>With the aforementioned “EV price war” only in its early stages, it’s unclear how far automakers will go in order to capture a larger piece of the market. Traditional automakers are also tweaking their dealership-based sales models, which could also minimize the edge Tesla gains from its direct-to-consumer model.</p><p>As old school competitors play catch up over the next two years, Tesla could see a serious impact on its future growth, not to mention margins. The company could keep growing at a double-digit clip, but it’s possible said growth decelerates greatly in 2024 and 2025. In turn, this stands to have a big effect on TSLA stock’s future performance.</p><p>Right now, with rising confidence that Tesla will be able to get back to 50% annualized growth, shares have propelled back up to a very high valuation (50 times trailing earnings). If growth decelerates, this valuation will likely contract in a huge way.</p><h2>My Price Prediction for Tesla in 2025</h2><p>Don’t get me wrong. After years of trading at a tech stock valuation, I don’t think TSLA stock is headed toward a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio in line with traditional automakers (less than 10 times earnings).</p><p>However, it’s not far-fetched to believe that, as growth slows, Tesla’s valuation will contract to 20 or 30 times earnings. Per current forecasts, Tesla is expected to earn $6.68 per share by 2025. Apply a 30 times multiple and that yields a price of around $200 per share.</p><p>Sure, factors like the rollout of new vehicle models could outweigh negatives to growth like competition. Yet, looking at the Cybertruck delays as precedent, lower-priced models may be many years away from launch. Hitting consensus may be the best case scenario here.</p><p>With that in mind, I predict that TSLA stock in 2025 will (at best) trade at prices at or near current levels.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>My Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price Prediction for 2025</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMy Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price Prediction for 2025\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-13 21:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/02/my-tsla-stock-price-prediction-for-2025/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla (TSLA) stock keeps climbing on hopes that the electric vehicle (EV) maker can continue to win despite economic headwinds.TSLA stock could keep performing well this year, due to several factors....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/02/my-tsla-stock-price-prediction-for-2025/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/02/my-tsla-stock-price-prediction-for-2025/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2310962775","content_text":"Tesla (TSLA) stock keeps climbing on hopes that the electric vehicle (EV) maker can continue to win despite economic headwinds.TSLA stock could keep performing well this year, due to several factors.Returns may be far less impressive in 2024 and 2025 as Tesla tries to keep the competition at bay.Source: ShutterstockAfter doubling off its 52-week lows, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock continues to climb. The market’s high pessimism for TSLA stock at the start of the year seems to have shifted into high optimism. Hopes are that this electric vehicle (EV) maker can continue to thrive despite current economic challenges. Even as other growth stocks pull back on recent macro news, investors are willing to keep bidding up TSLA.With all this in mind, you may be wondering what lies ahead for the company from here. In the near term, due to several different factors, shares of this EV play could stay on an upward trajectory.However, while TSLA may keep performing well in 2023, investment returns over a longer timeframe (like, say, two years) could end up being far less impressive than many fans of the stock currently expect.Let’s dive into my Tesla price prediction for 2025.TSLA Stock Should Stay Elevated (For Now)I’ve expressed skepticism in recent coverage, but I’ll admit that there’s plenty in play that could potentially keep this top EV stock at elevated prices.For instance, with Tesla’s much-awaited “Investor Day” just a few weeks away (March 1), more investors could continue to jump into TSLA stock, expecting that the event will include an unveiling of plans for its third-generation vehicle platform. This next vehicle platform could enable Tesla to further reduce manufacturing costs.Besides boosting its chances of winning an emerging “EV price war,” production cost reductions may also enable Tesla to introduce lower-priced vehicle models for the mass market. And alongside that, two other things may help TSLA stock sustain (and possibly grow) its current valuation.First, upcoming delivery numbers could indicate that Tesla’s recent vehicle price cuts are creating significant demand, which would suggest the company has a shot of hitting CEO Elon Musk’s deliveries stretch goal of 2 million vehicles this year. Second, if the next few quarterly reports indicate that price cuts are not having a big impact on margins — or that increased demand outweighs the impact — that could also bolster investor confidence.Challenges Ahead in 2024 and 2025So, TSLA stock may stay in the fast lane during 2023. However, next year may also be a different story as well as the year after that. Why? Although Tesla is perhaps successfully keeping the competition at bay today, that may not be the case in the years ahead.With the aforementioned “EV price war” only in its early stages, it’s unclear how far automakers will go in order to capture a larger piece of the market. Traditional automakers are also tweaking their dealership-based sales models, which could also minimize the edge Tesla gains from its direct-to-consumer model.As old school competitors play catch up over the next two years, Tesla could see a serious impact on its future growth, not to mention margins. The company could keep growing at a double-digit clip, but it’s possible said growth decelerates greatly in 2024 and 2025. In turn, this stands to have a big effect on TSLA stock’s future performance.Right now, with rising confidence that Tesla will be able to get back to 50% annualized growth, shares have propelled back up to a very high valuation (50 times trailing earnings). If growth decelerates, this valuation will likely contract in a huge way.My Price Prediction for Tesla in 2025Don’t get me wrong. After years of trading at a tech stock valuation, I don’t think TSLA stock is headed toward a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio in line with traditional automakers (less than 10 times earnings).However, it’s not far-fetched to believe that, as growth slows, Tesla’s valuation will contract to 20 or 30 times earnings. Per current forecasts, Tesla is expected to earn $6.68 per share by 2025. Apply a 30 times multiple and that yields a price of around $200 per share.Sure, factors like the rollout of new vehicle models could outweigh negatives to growth like competition. Yet, looking at the Cybertruck delays as precedent, lower-priced models may be many years away from launch. Hitting consensus may be the best case scenario here.With that in mind, I predict that TSLA stock in 2025 will (at best) trade at prices at or near current levels.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":397,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}