Semiconductor Sector Rally Boosts Leveraged ETFs Amid Market Fluctuations

The semiconductor sector experienced a significant rally driven by strong earnings and a notable Intel-Tesla deal. This surge led to a 7% rise in the SOXL ETF and a 39% jump in TXNU, while the inverse semiconductor ETF SOXS plunged 5.67%. The broader market saw declines with the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite all slipping. The event highlights the impact of semiconductor sector performance on leveraged ETFs and market sentiment.

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- Rainy777Rainy777
  ·04-25
  Why would anyone buy INTC at a forward PE over 100 when TSM is on a forward PE of 26? Pure bubble behavior where you are gambling instead of investing.
  Semiconductor Stocks Are on a Historic 32-Year Run. Here's What Usually Happens After a Rally Like This
  Semiconductor stocks are doing something they've never done before.The PHLX Semiconductor Index and the Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SOXQ), which tracks that index, have gone up for 17...
  Semiconductor Stocks Are on a Historic 32-Year Run. Here's What Usually Happens After a Rally Like This
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- Rainy777Rainy777
  ·04-25
  Why would anyone buy INTC at a forward PE over 100 when TSM is on a forward PE of 26? Pure bubble behavior where you are gambling instead of investing.
  Semiconductor Stocks Are on a Historic 32-Year Run. Here's What Usually Happens After a Rally Like This
  Semiconductor stocks are doing something they've never done before.The PHLX Semiconductor Index and the Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SOXQ), which tracks that index, have gone up for 17...
  Semiconductor Stocks Are on a Historic 32-Year Run. Here's What Usually Happens After a Rally Like This
  143 Comment
  2
  Share
  Report

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Pure bubble behavior where you are gambling instead of investing.&nbsp;","listText":"Why would anyone buy INTC at a forward PE over 100 when TSM is on a forward PE of 26? Pure bubble behavior where you are gambling instead of investing.&nbsp;","text":"Why would anyone buy INTC at a forward PE over 100 when TSM is on a forward PE of 26? Pure bubble behavior where you are gambling instead of investing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/557158187275264","repostId":"1198084407","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198084407","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1777011147,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198084407?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-04-24 14:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Semiconductor Stocks Are on a Historic 32-Year Run. Here's What Usually Happens After a Rally Like This","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198084407","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Semiconductor stocks are doing something they've never done before.The PHLX Semiconductor Index and the Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SOXQ), which tracks that index, have gone up for 17...","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Semiconductor stocks are doing something they&#39;ve never done before.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The <strong>PHLX Semiconductor Index</strong> and the <strong>Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF</strong> (NASDAQ: SOXQ), which tracks that index, have gone up for 17 consecutive trading days. That streak, which dates from March 31 to April 23, is the longest string of up days in the index&#39;s 32-year history.</p><p>To put that in context, the SOX index has posted:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>a nine-plus day streak just nine times.</p></li><li><p>a 10-plus day streak just five times.</p></li><li><p>only one streak longer than 11 days (a 15-day streak in 2014).</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It&#39;s not just the length of the streak that&#39;s historically impressive. It&#39;s also the strength of it. Longer streaks over the past three decades have typically resulted in gains of around 8% to 10%. This one? More than 40%!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2f29b613048aa3302c4ce24c92dc6c15\" tg-width=\"575\" tg-height=\"656\"/></p><p>It&#39;s not a stretch to say that we&#39;ve never seen anything like this in semiconductor stocks.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It&#39;d be easy to assume that after such a strong and quick rally, the sector may have run too far, too fast. That the gains have already been gotten. This rally could almost certainly use a breather to digest the recent gains. But if we use history as a guide, this rally might be less of a point of exhaustion and more of a momentum-building moment.</p><h2 id=\"id_537084944\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Long winning streaks have historically led to further gains</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">I&#39;ve identified any historical streaks of at least nine straight up days. From the end date of the streak, I calculated forward-looking returns over the next one-, three, six-, and 12-month periods. This is to get a sense of whether there&#39;s a short-term pullback after the streak ends and if there&#39;s still longer-term potential after such significant uptrends.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It turns out there is. Each instance, not surprisingly, has its own path of returns, but collectively, we can infer a couple of conclusions.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">First, here&#39;s the table of historical semiconductor sector returns post-streak.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41e4b7c075d183eabd40263c8859a31d\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"733\"/></p><p>Semiconductor stocks saw additional gains in seven out of eight instances for each of the one-month, three-month, and six-month cohorts. The signal would appear to be strongest in that three-to-six-month range where the consistency of returns across each instance is higher.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The 12-month forward return may be 28%, but the variability is very high. That number is skewed higher by the 56% return in 2016 and the 120% return in 1994. There were two double-digit losing periods and the median return is a more modest 15.6%. That doesn&#39;t necessarily mean the returns are bad. It just means that the average number needs a little context.</p><p>However you want to slice it, these returns are still higher than the average long-term returns for the <strong>S&amp;P 500</strong>. Long streaks of positive returns for chip stocks don&#39;t necessarily mean that the gains are over. Even though the sample size is small, history suggests that these streaks are momentum builders more than anything.</p><h2 id=\"id_131935645\" style=\"text-align: start;\">History says to hold on to your semiconductor stocks</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">During past nine-plus-day winning streaks, stocks have, on average, delivered strong returns over the subsequent three to 12 months even after the streak is over.</p><p>But it&#39;s important to remember that:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>this is a very small sample size.</p></li><li><p>the range of results in any given data point is very wide.</p></li><li><p>the current rally doesn&#39;t look like the previous ones.</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Only one streak has been longer than 11 days. This one is at 17. The current 40% gain is nearly triple that of the next closest rally. We&#39;re truly in uncharted territory and that means anything could happen from here.</p><p>But there&#39;s enough history, I believe, to say there&#39;s a good chance that the upside for semiconductor stocks isn&#39;t over yet. An 87% success rate of positive returns over the next three-month and six-month periods might be the sweet spot for investors to squeeze out further gains.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Semiconductor Stocks Are on a Historic 32-Year Run. Here's What Usually Happens After a Rally Like This</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSemiconductor Stocks Are on a Historic 32-Year Run. Here's What Usually Happens After a Rally Like This\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-24 14:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Semiconductor stocks are doing something they&#39;ve never done before.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The <strong>PHLX Semiconductor Index</strong> and the <strong>Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF</strong> (NASDAQ: SOXQ), which tracks that index, have gone up for 17 consecutive trading days. That streak, which dates from March 31 to April 23, is the longest string of up days in the index&#39;s 32-year history.</p><p>To put that in context, the SOX index has posted:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>a nine-plus day streak just nine times.</p></li><li><p>a 10-plus day streak just five times.</p></li><li><p>only one streak longer than 11 days (a 15-day streak in 2014).</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It&#39;s not just the length of the streak that&#39;s historically impressive. It&#39;s also the strength of it. Longer streaks over the past three decades have typically resulted in gains of around 8% to 10%. This one? More than 40%!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2f29b613048aa3302c4ce24c92dc6c15\" tg-width=\"575\" tg-height=\"656\"/></p><p>It&#39;s not a stretch to say that we&#39;ve never seen anything like this in semiconductor stocks.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It&#39;d be easy to assume that after such a strong and quick rally, the sector may have run too far, too fast. That the gains have already been gotten. This rally could almost certainly use a breather to digest the recent gains. But if we use history as a guide, this rally might be less of a point of exhaustion and more of a momentum-building moment.</p><h2 id=\"id_537084944\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Long winning streaks have historically led to further gains</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">I&#39;ve identified any historical streaks of at least nine straight up days. From the end date of the streak, I calculated forward-looking returns over the next one-, three, six-, and 12-month periods. This is to get a sense of whether there&#39;s a short-term pullback after the streak ends and if there&#39;s still longer-term potential after such significant uptrends.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It turns out there is. Each instance, not surprisingly, has its own path of returns, but collectively, we can infer a couple of conclusions.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">First, here&#39;s the table of historical semiconductor sector returns post-streak.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41e4b7c075d183eabd40263c8859a31d\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"733\"/></p><p>Semiconductor stocks saw additional gains in seven out of eight instances for each of the one-month, three-month, and six-month cohorts. The signal would appear to be strongest in that three-to-six-month range where the consistency of returns across each instance is higher.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The 12-month forward return may be 28%, but the variability is very high. That number is skewed higher by the 56% return in 2016 and the 120% return in 1994. There were two double-digit losing periods and the median return is a more modest 15.6%. That doesn&#39;t necessarily mean the returns are bad. It just means that the average number needs a little context.</p><p>However you want to slice it, these returns are still higher than the average long-term returns for the <strong>S&amp;P 500</strong>. Long streaks of positive returns for chip stocks don&#39;t necessarily mean that the gains are over. Even though the sample size is small, history suggests that these streaks are momentum builders more than anything.</p><h2 id=\"id_131935645\" style=\"text-align: start;\">History says to hold on to your semiconductor stocks</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">During past nine-plus-day winning streaks, stocks have, on average, delivered strong returns over the subsequent three to 12 months even after the streak is over.</p><p>But it&#39;s important to remember that:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>this is a very small sample size.</p></li><li><p>the range of results in any given data point is very wide.</p></li><li><p>the current rally doesn&#39;t look like the previous ones.</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Only one streak has been longer than 11 days. This one is at 17. The current 40% gain is nearly triple that of the next closest rally. We&#39;re truly in uncharted territory and that means anything could happen from here.</p><p>But there&#39;s enough history, I believe, to say there&#39;s a good chance that the upside for semiconductor stocks isn&#39;t over yet. An 87% success rate of positive returns over the next three-month and six-month periods might be the sweet spot for investors to squeeze out further gains.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOX":"费城半导体指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198084407","content_text":"Semiconductor stocks are doing something they've never done before.The PHLX Semiconductor Index and the Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SOXQ), which tracks that index, have gone up for 17 consecutive trading days. That streak, which dates from March 31 to April 23, is the longest string of up days in the index's 32-year history.To put that in context, the SOX index has posted:a nine-plus day streak just nine times.a 10-plus day streak just five times.only one streak longer than 11 days (a 15-day streak in 2014).It's not just the length of the streak that's historically impressive. It's also the strength of it. Longer streaks over the past three decades have typically resulted in gains of around 8% to 10%. This one? More than 40%!It's not a stretch to say that we've never seen anything like this in semiconductor stocks.It'd be easy to assume that after such a strong and quick rally, the sector may have run too far, too fast. That the gains have already been gotten. This rally could almost certainly use a breather to digest the recent gains. But if we use history as a guide, this rally might be less of a point of exhaustion and more of a momentum-building moment.Long winning streaks have historically led to further gainsI've identified any historical streaks of at least nine straight up days. From the end date of the streak, I calculated forward-looking returns over the next one-, three, six-, and 12-month periods. This is to get a sense of whether there's a short-term pullback after the streak ends and if there's still longer-term potential after such significant uptrends.It turns out there is. Each instance, not surprisingly, has its own path of returns, but collectively, we can infer a couple of conclusions.First, here's the table of historical semiconductor sector returns post-streak.Semiconductor stocks saw additional gains in seven out of eight instances for each of the one-month, three-month, and six-month cohorts. The signal would appear to be strongest in that three-to-six-month range where the consistency of returns across each instance is higher.The 12-month forward return may be 28%, but the variability is very high. That number is skewed higher by the 56% return in 2016 and the 120% return in 1994. There were two double-digit losing periods and the median return is a more modest 15.6%. That doesn't necessarily mean the returns are bad. It just means that the average number needs a little context.However you want to slice it, these returns are still higher than the average long-term returns for the S&P 500. Long streaks of positive returns for chip stocks don't necessarily mean that the gains are over. Even though the sample size is small, history suggests that these streaks are momentum builders more than anything.History says to hold on to your semiconductor stocksDuring past nine-plus-day winning streaks, stocks have, on average, delivered strong returns over the subsequent three to 12 months even after the streak is over.But it's important to remember that:this is a very small sample size.the range of results in any given data point is very wide.the current rally doesn't look like the previous ones.Only one streak has been longer than 11 days. This one is at 17. The current 40% gain is nearly triple that of the next closest rally. We're truly in uncharted territory and that means anything could happen from here.But there's enough history, I believe, to say there's a good chance that the upside for semiconductor stocks isn't over yet. An 87% success rate of positive returns over the next three-month and six-month periods might be the sweet spot for investors to squeeze out further gains.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SOX":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"essenList":[{"id":557158187275264,"gmtCreate":1777056781510,"gmtModify":1777056785275,"author":{"id":"4181780932310392","authorId":"4181780932310392","name":"Rainy777","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4181780932310392","authorIdStr":"4181780932310392"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Why would anyone buy INTC at a forward PE over 100 when TSM is on a forward PE of 26? Pure bubble behavior where you are gambling instead of investing.&nbsp;","listText":"Why would anyone buy INTC at a forward PE over 100 when TSM is on a forward PE of 26? Pure bubble behavior where you are gambling instead of investing.&nbsp;","text":"Why would anyone buy INTC at a forward PE over 100 when TSM is on a forward PE of 26? Pure bubble behavior where you are gambling instead of investing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/557158187275264","repostId":"1198084407","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198084407","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1777011147,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198084407?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-04-24 14:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Semiconductor Stocks Are on a Historic 32-Year Run. Here's What Usually Happens After a Rally Like This","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198084407","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Semiconductor stocks are doing something they've never done before.The PHLX Semiconductor Index and the Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SOXQ), which tracks that index, have gone up for 17...","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Semiconductor stocks are doing something they&#39;ve never done before.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The <strong>PHLX Semiconductor Index</strong> and the <strong>Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF</strong> (NASDAQ: SOXQ), which tracks that index, have gone up for 17 consecutive trading days. That streak, which dates from March 31 to April 23, is the longest string of up days in the index&#39;s 32-year history.</p><p>To put that in context, the SOX index has posted:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>a nine-plus day streak just nine times.</p></li><li><p>a 10-plus day streak just five times.</p></li><li><p>only one streak longer than 11 days (a 15-day streak in 2014).</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It&#39;s not just the length of the streak that&#39;s historically impressive. It&#39;s also the strength of it. Longer streaks over the past three decades have typically resulted in gains of around 8% to 10%. This one? More than 40%!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2f29b613048aa3302c4ce24c92dc6c15\" tg-width=\"575\" tg-height=\"656\"/></p><p>It&#39;s not a stretch to say that we&#39;ve never seen anything like this in semiconductor stocks.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It&#39;d be easy to assume that after such a strong and quick rally, the sector may have run too far, too fast. That the gains have already been gotten. This rally could almost certainly use a breather to digest the recent gains. But if we use history as a guide, this rally might be less of a point of exhaustion and more of a momentum-building moment.</p><h2 id=\"id_537084944\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Long winning streaks have historically led to further gains</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">I&#39;ve identified any historical streaks of at least nine straight up days. From the end date of the streak, I calculated forward-looking returns over the next one-, three, six-, and 12-month periods. This is to get a sense of whether there&#39;s a short-term pullback after the streak ends and if there&#39;s still longer-term potential after such significant uptrends.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It turns out there is. Each instance, not surprisingly, has its own path of returns, but collectively, we can infer a couple of conclusions.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">First, here&#39;s the table of historical semiconductor sector returns post-streak.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41e4b7c075d183eabd40263c8859a31d\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"733\"/></p><p>Semiconductor stocks saw additional gains in seven out of eight instances for each of the one-month, three-month, and six-month cohorts. The signal would appear to be strongest in that three-to-six-month range where the consistency of returns across each instance is higher.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The 12-month forward return may be 28%, but the variability is very high. That number is skewed higher by the 56% return in 2016 and the 120% return in 1994. There were two double-digit losing periods and the median return is a more modest 15.6%. That doesn&#39;t necessarily mean the returns are bad. It just means that the average number needs a little context.</p><p>However you want to slice it, these returns are still higher than the average long-term returns for the <strong>S&amp;P 500</strong>. Long streaks of positive returns for chip stocks don&#39;t necessarily mean that the gains are over. Even though the sample size is small, history suggests that these streaks are momentum builders more than anything.</p><h2 id=\"id_131935645\" style=\"text-align: start;\">History says to hold on to your semiconductor stocks</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">During past nine-plus-day winning streaks, stocks have, on average, delivered strong returns over the subsequent three to 12 months even after the streak is over.</p><p>But it&#39;s important to remember that:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>this is a very small sample size.</p></li><li><p>the range of results in any given data point is very wide.</p></li><li><p>the current rally doesn&#39;t look like the previous ones.</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Only one streak has been longer than 11 days. This one is at 17. The current 40% gain is nearly triple that of the next closest rally. We&#39;re truly in uncharted territory and that means anything could happen from here.</p><p>But there&#39;s enough history, I believe, to say there&#39;s a good chance that the upside for semiconductor stocks isn&#39;t over yet. An 87% success rate of positive returns over the next three-month and six-month periods might be the sweet spot for investors to squeeze out further gains.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Semiconductor Stocks Are on a Historic 32-Year Run. Here's What Usually Happens After a Rally Like This</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSemiconductor Stocks Are on a Historic 32-Year Run. Here's What Usually Happens After a Rally Like This\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-24 14:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Semiconductor stocks are doing something they&#39;ve never done before.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The <strong>PHLX Semiconductor Index</strong> and the <strong>Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF</strong> (NASDAQ: SOXQ), which tracks that index, have gone up for 17 consecutive trading days. That streak, which dates from March 31 to April 23, is the longest string of up days in the index&#39;s 32-year history.</p><p>To put that in context, the SOX index has posted:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>a nine-plus day streak just nine times.</p></li><li><p>a 10-plus day streak just five times.</p></li><li><p>only one streak longer than 11 days (a 15-day streak in 2014).</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It&#39;s not just the length of the streak that&#39;s historically impressive. It&#39;s also the strength of it. Longer streaks over the past three decades have typically resulted in gains of around 8% to 10%. This one? More than 40%!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2f29b613048aa3302c4ce24c92dc6c15\" tg-width=\"575\" tg-height=\"656\"/></p><p>It&#39;s not a stretch to say that we&#39;ve never seen anything like this in semiconductor stocks.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It&#39;d be easy to assume that after such a strong and quick rally, the sector may have run too far, too fast. That the gains have already been gotten. This rally could almost certainly use a breather to digest the recent gains. But if we use history as a guide, this rally might be less of a point of exhaustion and more of a momentum-building moment.</p><h2 id=\"id_537084944\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Long winning streaks have historically led to further gains</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">I&#39;ve identified any historical streaks of at least nine straight up days. From the end date of the streak, I calculated forward-looking returns over the next one-, three, six-, and 12-month periods. This is to get a sense of whether there&#39;s a short-term pullback after the streak ends and if there&#39;s still longer-term potential after such significant uptrends.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It turns out there is. Each instance, not surprisingly, has its own path of returns, but collectively, we can infer a couple of conclusions.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">First, here&#39;s the table of historical semiconductor sector returns post-streak.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/41e4b7c075d183eabd40263c8859a31d\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"733\"/></p><p>Semiconductor stocks saw additional gains in seven out of eight instances for each of the one-month, three-month, and six-month cohorts. The signal would appear to be strongest in that three-to-six-month range where the consistency of returns across each instance is higher.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The 12-month forward return may be 28%, but the variability is very high. That number is skewed higher by the 56% return in 2016 and the 120% return in 1994. There were two double-digit losing periods and the median return is a more modest 15.6%. That doesn&#39;t necessarily mean the returns are bad. It just means that the average number needs a little context.</p><p>However you want to slice it, these returns are still higher than the average long-term returns for the <strong>S&amp;P 500</strong>. Long streaks of positive returns for chip stocks don&#39;t necessarily mean that the gains are over. Even though the sample size is small, history suggests that these streaks are momentum builders more than anything.</p><h2 id=\"id_131935645\" style=\"text-align: start;\">History says to hold on to your semiconductor stocks</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">During past nine-plus-day winning streaks, stocks have, on average, delivered strong returns over the subsequent three to 12 months even after the streak is over.</p><p>But it&#39;s important to remember that:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>this is a very small sample size.</p></li><li><p>the range of results in any given data point is very wide.</p></li><li><p>the current rally doesn&#39;t look like the previous ones.</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Only one streak has been longer than 11 days. This one is at 17. The current 40% gain is nearly triple that of the next closest rally. We&#39;re truly in uncharted territory and that means anything could happen from here.</p><p>But there&#39;s enough history, I believe, to say there&#39;s a good chance that the upside for semiconductor stocks isn&#39;t over yet. An 87% success rate of positive returns over the next three-month and six-month periods might be the sweet spot for investors to squeeze out further gains.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOX":"费城半导体指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198084407","content_text":"Semiconductor stocks are doing something they've never done before.The PHLX Semiconductor Index and the Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SOXQ), which tracks that index, have gone up for 17 consecutive trading days. That streak, which dates from March 31 to April 23, is the longest string of up days in the index's 32-year history.To put that in context, the SOX index has posted:a nine-plus day streak just nine times.a 10-plus day streak just five times.only one streak longer than 11 days (a 15-day streak in 2014).It's not just the length of the streak that's historically impressive. It's also the strength of it. Longer streaks over the past three decades have typically resulted in gains of around 8% to 10%. This one? More than 40%!It's not a stretch to say that we've never seen anything like this in semiconductor stocks.It'd be easy to assume that after such a strong and quick rally, the sector may have run too far, too fast. That the gains have already been gotten. This rally could almost certainly use a breather to digest the recent gains. But if we use history as a guide, this rally might be less of a point of exhaustion and more of a momentum-building moment.Long winning streaks have historically led to further gainsI've identified any historical streaks of at least nine straight up days. From the end date of the streak, I calculated forward-looking returns over the next one-, three, six-, and 12-month periods. This is to get a sense of whether there's a short-term pullback after the streak ends and if there's still longer-term potential after such significant uptrends.It turns out there is. Each instance, not surprisingly, has its own path of returns, but collectively, we can infer a couple of conclusions.First, here's the table of historical semiconductor sector returns post-streak.Semiconductor stocks saw additional gains in seven out of eight instances for each of the one-month, three-month, and six-month cohorts. The signal would appear to be strongest in that three-to-six-month range where the consistency of returns across each instance is higher.The 12-month forward return may be 28%, but the variability is very high. That number is skewed higher by the 56% return in 2016 and the 120% return in 1994. There were two double-digit losing periods and the median return is a more modest 15.6%. That doesn't necessarily mean the returns are bad. It just means that the average number needs a little context.However you want to slice it, these returns are still higher than the average long-term returns for the S&P 500. Long streaks of positive returns for chip stocks don't necessarily mean that the gains are over. Even though the sample size is small, history suggests that these streaks are momentum builders more than anything.History says to hold on to your semiconductor stocksDuring past nine-plus-day winning streaks, stocks have, on average, delivered strong returns over the subsequent three to 12 months even after the streak is over.But it's important to remember that:this is a very small sample size.the range of results in any given data point is very wide.the current rally doesn't look like the previous ones.Only one streak has been longer than 11 days. This one is at 17. The current 40% gain is nearly triple that of the next closest rally. We're truly in uncharted territory and that means anything could happen from here.But there's enough history, I believe, to say there's a good chance that the upside for semiconductor stocks isn't over yet. An 87% success rate of positive returns over the next three-month and six-month periods might be the sweet spot for investors to squeeze out further gains.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SOX":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"allBottom":false,"essenBottom":false,"topicSource":"Post"}