Investing in Energy Stocks (ExxonMobil, ConocoPhillips) When Oil Prices Soar
As we have seen for the past few days or past week, the U.S equities market have been on the downside. Many factors have contribute to this downward trend.
Mainly due to China economy recovery slowdown, U.S. Fed rate hike decision, U.S. banks credit ratings risk.
I have been monitoring how the oil prices have been trading and also how have the energy stocks been doing. It seems like we can find some opportunities.
There is no doubt of an increase in the energy demand and one of the primary sources of energy, crude oil, has been used by the global economies as pivot for decades.
As oil prices experience periods of volatility, there are opportunities to be found to generate substantial returns by strategically investing in energy stocks.
When oil prices are up, the energy sector tends to flourish, making it an appealing prospect for those seeking potentially lucrative investments.
Energy was the only S&P sector gainer on 17 Aug (Thursday), as U.S. crude oil futures move up back above $80 per barrel.
This follows a three-session skid that was encouraged by data showing U.S. oil production is climbing toward record highs even though Saudi Arabia and Russia have been cutting output.
In this article I would like to share what I have found from understanding the relationship between oil prices and energy stocks.
I will be sharing some energy stocks that we can look at.
Understanding the Dynamics
The relationship between oil prices and energy stocks is deeply intertwined. When oil prices rise, energy companies that engage in exploration, production, refining, and distribution tend to see increased profitability. Higher oil prices lead to higher revenues for these companies, which can ultimately result in improved financial performance and higher stock prices.
Diversification of Energy Sources
Investing in energy stocks when oil prices are up doesn't solely mean investing in traditional oil and gas companies. The current energy landscape is evolving rapidly, with a growing emphasis on renewable and sustainable energy sources such as solar, wind, and electric utilities. When oil prices surge, governments and industries tend to allocate more resources towards developing alternative energy solutions, thereby benefitting renewable energy companies and electric vehicle manufacturers. As such, a diversified energy stock portfolio can include both conventional and renewable energy companies.
Factors to Consider
Market Analysis: Before investing, it's crucial to conduct thorough market analysis. Study trends in oil prices and assess whether the current price surge is due to short-term fluctuations or fundamental shifts in supply and demand.
Company Fundamentals: Evaluate the financial health, management track record, and growth prospects of energy companies you're considering. Look at their production capabilities, cost structures, and exploration activities to gauge their potential to benefit from high oil prices.
Geopolitical Factors: Geopolitical events can significantly impact oil prices. Keep an eye on global conflicts, supply disruptions, and diplomatic tensions that could affect oil supply chains.
Sustainability: As concerns about climate change grow, investing in companies with sustainable practices can offer long-term value. Consider companies that are actively transitioning towards cleaner energy sources.
Government Policies: Government policies, subsidies, and incentives can influence the energy sector's profitability. Research the regulatory environment in the regions where your chosen companies operate.
Potential Benefits
Profit Potential: When oil prices are up, energy companies' profitability tends to increase, potentially leading to higher stock prices and dividend payouts.
Diversification: Investing in energy stocks provides diversification benefits, as the energy sector's performance is not solely reliant on oil prices. Renewable energy companies can add stability to your portfolio.
Cyclical Nature: Energy stocks, like oil prices, often follow cyclical patterns. By timing your investments during a price surge, you position yourself to benefit from an upswing in the sector.
Risks and Considerations
Volatility: While rising oil prices can lead to profitability, they can also lead to increased market volatility. Be prepared for price fluctuations and potential downturns.
Global Trends: The world is gradually shifting towards sustainable energy sources. Failing to adapt to this transition could leave conventional energy companies vulnerable in the long term.
Regulatory Changes: Changing government policies and regulations can impact the energy sector's profitability. Stay informed about potential shifts that could affect your investments.
Energy Stocks You Can Look At :
$Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ Assess Using Parabolic SAR
XOM has a bullish reversal near end of July so the recent oil price surge does contribute to its recent price upside.
But XOM should have a pretty strong price fundamental and I foresee that its bullish upside should continue with more U.S. production of oils increases.
$ConocoPhillips(COP)$ Assess Using Parabolic SAR
COP has a recent bullish reversal and this is due to price target raised to $135 from $127 at Mizuho. With the oil price going up, I believe the bullish upside should continue.
I foresee COP to have a better gain in the coming weeks.
Summary
Investing in energy stocks when oil prices are up can be a rewarding endeavor, provided we approached it with a solid understanding of market dynamics, thorough research, and a long-term perspective.
The energy sector's complexity requires investors to carefully assess each company's fundamentals, diversify their portfolio, and remain adaptable to changing market conditions.
Like the 2 energy stocks I shared, there are lot more fundamental and technical data you need to find out in order to prepare your trade.
What I have show you is by using only a single technical indicators (Parabolic SAR). It is always important to take note that with the world's increasing demand for energy.
And the ongoing transition to sustainable solutions would also contribute to greater demand, we should plan strategic investments in the energy sector in our diversified and well-rounded investment strategy.
This should give us substantial returns in the long run.
Appreciate if you could share your thoughts in the comment section whether you would consider these 2 energy stocks since market volatility might remains for quite some time.
@TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @TigerWire appreciate if you could feature this article so that fellow tiger would benefit from my investing and trading thoughts.
Disclaimer: The analysis and result presented does not recommend or suggest any investing in the said stock. This is purely for Analysis.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
Single tick transfer at 3:54ET took volume from 10,232,000 shares to 10,880,000 shares for a 648,000 share transfer at the bargain price of $108.12 ($70.0 million investment in XOM on behalf of shareholders). We're seeing a small volume uptick today. Have a great weekend everyone.
Would very much like to see $108.50+ with volume returning to the upside... $109+ finish would be ideal.
I hope we see an uptick. I have no plans to ride this down again. If we head up I will add to my position. The continued crude draw will have an affect on pricing soon. You simply cannot ignore reality forever.
Tried a few puts when it crossed 110. $埃克森美孚(XOM)$
The longer it is suppressed the more forcefully it will break upwards when the time comes. But I think it may take another couple of months.
Oil companies brace for shock from student loan repayments: XOM and CVX among stocks with most exposure to student loan borrowers.
XOM stock to the $80s or so over the next 12 months.
No matter the good news, here all other oil companies get more upside push which is apalling.
Springing back hard . I must have missed the news. What happened??
Insiders selling huge amounts of 19th Century XOM stock!