What You Need to Know About the US Presidential Election?

US betting sites currently show different forecasts:
  • Polymarket: Trump wins the presidency, Republicans win the Senate, Democrats win the House.

  • PredictIt: Harris wins the presidency, Republicans win the Senate, Democrats win the House.

 

Trump vs. Harris:
  • The US presidential election will be decided by the Electoral College.

  • Kamala Harris, 60, the Democratic nominee, or Donald Trump, 78, the Republican nominee, needs to win 270 electoral votes to secure the presidency.

 

Senate:
  • The U.S. Senate currently comprises 51 Democrats and 49 Republicans, with Democrats in control.

  • 34 out of 100 seats (one-third of the Senate) are up for election.

  • Of these, Democrats and allied Independents hold 23 seats, while Republicans hold 11.

  • Some analysts predict that Republicans are likely to win the Senate because more Democrats are up for re-election this year.

 

House:
  • All 435 seats in the House of Representatives are up for grabs.

  • Republicans currently hold 220 seats, while Democrats hold 213. To gain control of the House, either party needs 218 seat.

 

When Will We Know Who Won the Election?
  • It will likely take days before the outcome is known.

  • Given that the U.S. presidential race is expected to be extremely close and millions of mail-in ballots need to be counted, the results might not be known on election night.

  • In 2020, the Associated Press (AP) declared Joe Biden the winner four days after Election Day. AP has a strong track record for accuracy in election calls.

 

For insights into how the election outcome could affect US stocks, please refer to the article linked here. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$

# Trump Sweep! How Much Higher Can DJT Go?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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