To The Moon

Answer: When you see green.

I have observed how much people love predictions. There are many ways. Some "fortune tellers" will use graphs. Some may use "Hear-say". Others will just say this So and So (often a person of authority) has said it will be doomsday (recession, end of the world, market crash).

Stock Behaviour During Disasters

Have you ever stocks crash during an unprecedented disaster? While that may seem obvious, don't forget that many stocks, especially FAANG reached their highest peak during the COVID-19 pandemic. You may say that that was because of the government's stimulus. Well, I'll say that we would have not expected that as well right?

Loom Recession 

Right now, it seems we are headed for a recession. Does this mean there will be a market crash? Or that stocks will reach new lows? Wait, how do you know? Haven't we seen stocks rise during this time? Haven't some EV stocks like $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDY)$reached new peaks?

Going with what probably works 

As John Maynard said: "Stock markets can stay irrational longer than you can remain solvent." That being said, I think (I can't be sure) that the best way to stay profitable is to be prepared to stay long in the market. This means having enough savings to last the entire race. Scratch that, it is more of a marathon. 

So... My take is to have a disciplined investing plan for the long term. There is a higher probability that you will outlast all the recessions and wars. This means not only allocating money to buy the stock, but allocating time as well to hold on to the stock. When will you know when your plan works? 

Not when others say sell/buy.

Not when war or recession starts/ends.

But when your stock turns green. Or greener.Whatever your plan is.

Side note: I laughed when $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$turned green today with an increase of up to 18%. I didn't even expect it or know why.