To The Moon

I am going to explore a potential trade in $MongoDB Inc.(MDB)$ MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) before the company announces its earnings report after the market closes today.

Market Outlook

Let's start by taking a look at the current market conditions. The Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, has announced that interest rates are likely to rise more than previously expected due to inflation remaining stubbornly above the central bank's 2% target. This news is not good for the market in the near term, but we'll see how it affects MDB.

Perfect Buy formed on 2nd Feb

Call Option near Support Level

MDB is a company that develops and sells database software. The stock has beaten earnings expectations for the past four quarters, indicating that the company is performing well. Additionally, the Tom Demark TD9 indicator has formed a perfect buy on 2nd February, which is a bullish signal (see green arrow on chart above). Based on this information, I am looking to buy a call option at around 207 $MDB%2020230317%20207.5%20CALL$ $MDB 20230317 207.5 CALL$  , based on its daily chart support level (see chart below), anticipating the uptrend to continue. Although this call option is priced quite high now at US$27.25, I believed there should be some earning potential (if purchased when the stock goes below 220 today) given the negative market outlook might offset any positive earnings results or guidance. Recap on TD9 and perfect buy is appended at the end of the article.

Near term Support Level

Company Business and Prospects

Looking at the company's financials, we can see that MDB has been performing well. In its most recent earnings report, the company announced that it had exceeded expectations for revenue and earnings per share. This is great news for investors and suggests that the company is on a positive trajectory.

But what about competition? MDB's competitors include companies like Oracle, Amazon, and Microsoft. While these companies have larger market caps, MDB has been able to carve out a niche in the database software market by focusing on NoSQL databases which have more flexible structures to accommodate their data-types(see pictorial above). In fact, Satori, a data access and management company, recently expanded its support to NoSQL databases like MongoDB. This is a positive sign for the future of the company and suggests that there is still room for growth in the market.

Another potential area for growth for MDB is the incorporation of AI. The company has already begun using machine learning algorithms to improve its database software, and this could be a significant driver of growth in the future. With the increasing importance of data in businesses, companies that can provide advanced data management solutions will be in high demand.

Summary 

In summary, based on the information available, I am considering buying a call option for MDB at around 207, based on its daily chart resistance level, in anticipation of an uptrend continuing. The company has been performing well and has beaten earnings expectations for the past four quarters. Additionally, it has shown resistance against macro headwinds and is well-positioned in the NoSQL database market. With the potential for growth through the incorporation of AI, MDB could be a strong investment opportunity for the future. But, as always, trading stocks involves risk, and you should always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any trades.

Recap on The Tom Demark TD9 Perfect Buy

The Tom Demark TD9 Perfect Buy is a technical analysis indicator that helps traders and investors identify potential buying opportunities in the financial markets. Developed by Tom Demark, a renowned technical analyst and founder of Market Studies, LLC, the TD9 Perfect Buy is a trend reversal indicator that is designed to identify when a security is oversold and due for a bounce.

The indicator is based on a series of nine consecutive bars on a candlestick chart. When the ninth bar is completed, it signals a potential buying opportunity, as the pattern suggests that a trend reversal may be imminent. However, it is important to note that the TD9 Perfect Buy should not be used in isolation, and traders may want to use other technical or fundamental analysis tools to confirm the signal before making a trading decision.

Overall, the Tom Demark TD9 Perfect Buy is a powerful technical indicator that can help traders and investors make more informed trading decisions and potentially improve their performance in the markets. By combining the TD9 Perfect Buy with other analysis tools, traders can potentially identify buying opportunities with greater accuracy and confidence.

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