【Thursday Special】Summer Rally or Market Correction? Predicting Market Trends in June

MillionaireTiger
2023-06-01
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Welcome to this week's Thursday Special! 

During seasonal turning points like June, investors often pay attention to the possibility of a summer rally or market correction.

r/wallstreetbets - exciting journey as a bear in 2023r/wallstreetbets - exciting journey as a bear in 2023

So, today’s topic is “Summer Rally or Market Correction? Predicting Market Trends in June?”

  • A summer rally refers to a phenomenon where the stock market exhibits a strong upward trend during the summer season. This phenomenon is typically associated with the sentiments of market participants and seasonal factors. Some investors and analysts believe that summer is a peak period for tourism and leisure activities, which may stimulate consumer spending and market activity, thereby driving the stock market higher. They argue that the upward momentum in the market stems from economic recovery, corporate profit growth, and positive market sentiment.

  • However, others hold the viewpoint of a market correction. They believe that summer is a period of relatively low trading activity, which can result in reduced market liquidity and lower trading volume, thereby increasing market uncertainty and volatility. Additionally, factors such as increased global economic and political risks, as well as potential interest rate changes, may trigger a market correction.

To predict market trends in June, you may find some key factors that may influence the market:

  1. Economic data: such as employment figures, economic growth rates, inflation data, etc., to assess the health of the economy and potential market impacts.

  2. Corporate earnings reports: especially the performance of key industries and leading companies, to gather insights into the economy and market trends.

  3. Global events: global politics, geopolitics, and trade events, as these events can significantly impact market sentiment and risk preferences.

  4. Central bank policies: Monitor monetary policy decisions and interest rate changes by central banks worldwide, as these can influence market liquidity and investor sentiment.

  5. Technical analysis: Use technical charts and indicators to analyze market trends and patterns, to determine potential buying or selling opportunities.

…

Please share your opinions with reasons in the comments.

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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Comments

  • LMSunshine
    2023-06-01
    LMSunshine
    Join Thursday Special❣️ @LesterTan @IAS @HSTew @Kerrisdale @PhilipChow @alylady @moliya @maricel @Sonoma @LuckyPiggie @Doge2theMoon @equitygenius @StayHome @SGboy @Sandyboy @Stayclose @DMTrader @BettyT @Bunta @tigjun21 @JohnL @jace0777 @DoreamonGo @TTrade @VonCat @boonk @Trevelyan @jgaldon @fxaw @Kok @Agxm @Dodonan @BubTigger @Decromer @OddEyeCircle @StarAce @zerolih @WuDi @Asphen @MasterStonker @MoneyCub @MiniAce @StayCalm @ee244c @Huangyulee @tarotsgirl @Lord_Kuberan @ShengSoon @jllwang @Shiella @cristine @Gunawanh @WLing @Zash @Snoopymint @GrumpyDino @YTGIRL @VivianChua @MSJYJ @YJ13 @Bons @bernardtayet @Kindryl @angyenyen @KBWSG @JazzyTizzy @icycrystal @Alupigus @tigernoob @MojoStellar @BillionaireN @aiyoh79 @Moolele @mster @intheloop @drandy @eeth @Zack44 @Cyberguard @kaite @BlueDragon @Tonyoh @AlfonsoDex @InvisibleTig @AlanTiger @kwk @InvisibleP @miaomiao007 @TigerHulk @HappyRat @Zacv @Alconies @justforcoins @cubinvestor @我i168 @ZeroG @JennyChiang @MGOH
    • GoodLife99ReplyLMSunshine: 
      sometimes can receive sometimes cannot only
    • LMSunshineReplyGoodLife99: 
      😱😭 So ive been wasting my time tagging the last 1-2 months?
    • GoodLife99: 
      yes, didn't receive too
      tag not working well lately
    • ShyonReplyicycrystal: 
      Didn't receive your tags for quite some time as well, hope this bug can be solved soon.
    • icycrystalReplyLMSunshine: 
      sure, will let you know if am able to receive your tags again. I think you are also not receiving my tags.
  • LMSunshine
    2023-06-01
    LMSunshine
    I think it will be market correction because of the following reasons (1) Stubborn inflation isn’t going down so further rate hikes is needed (2) 🤖🫧 is showing signs of bursting.THX Loads @MillionaireTiger for Thu Specials🥳 Join @SR050321 @CYKuan @HelenJanet @rL @Universe宇宙 @Jadenkho @melson @Mrzorro @GoodLife99 @SPOT_ON @Kaixiang @BenjiFuji @RDPD富爸穷爸 @SirBahamut @b1uesky @MHh @PJoo @Pepermintpat @RiciaYang @jat @Omega88 @爱上投资学 @Zeniv @Elon2 @Yonhuat @Joker_Smile @grizzlylee @FrankieRed @spkek @snoopy123 @psk @pekss @amroui @Ericdao @StickyRice @StarLuck @Shyon @Success88 @kungpao @CL Wong @Derrick 1234 @MeowKitty @Thonyaunn @紫南 @Zarkness @Ah_Meng @Ratt @Tigress02 @Viv22 @aunteenat @Cory2 @airui @0QH @Cris0 @Brocco @AhGong @deal2deal @nickname168 @Ccl2 @Lcc73 @HLPA @WanEH @markele @pipiso @hlw8888 @Huiz84 @Kingcat @Jo_Tan @RedpillBluep @Furore @breAkdaWn @boardy @Soyabean89 @ngph @KYHBKO @Lionel8383 @Downton @SanWangtikup @Setia100 @th0mastan
  • Shyon
    2023-06-01
    Shyon
    I guess it would be another way, as most of the investors feel market will having a correction in June. The 80 20 principle always true, when 80% people feel the market is going to have correction, usually it won't as every investor is in a cautious move. I believe the technical indicator that the recent breakout will be a sign of short to midterm bull.
    • ShyonReplyColinThorndike: 
      Diamond hand in AI stocks is the strategy for at least incoming one year.
    • ShyonReplyfrostiix: 
      Totally agree with you! This year second half will be better definitely
    • ShyonReplyjingli: 
      Let's cheer for the new bull after few years!
    • jingli: 
      The bulls are really going to start in June, and the total number of positions in the market According to various data, it has proved that the market sentiment is improving, and the market expectations are good, various controls have been relaxed, the economy has indeed recovered, and the Fed’s interest rate hike is almost the same. This is the start of the bull market in June. Base.
    • frostiix: 
      We must realize that we are now in a period of great change, just like when Empress Dowager Cixi saw cars.
  • Bons
    2023-06-02
    Bons
    it's quite hard since the data mix in a confusing ways that it can be vaguely attributed into both a market correction and upward trend.
    as for me myself, I'll take a bet that it's just a temporary uptrend in June since we have the news that Fed will pause the rate hike in June. however, since the same news hint a probable rate hike after June then the market might weaken again after the rate hike.
    how's your opinions @Viv22 @LMSunshine @KYHBKO @Tigress02 @Universe宇宙 @kungpao @wine18 @cindyft @Xian789 @Mtok
    • mizzmo: 
      The market is a bit confusing right now, but I believe it's just a blip in June.
    • snappyz: 
      It's tough to decipher the data, but I think it's a short-lived uptrend.
  • airui
    2023-06-02
    airui
    some traders in western countries go for long summer holidays, low volume may translate to bearish market. so a correction would be more likely
    • twiddly: 
      Well, at least we can all enjoy some sun and fun while the market takes a breather
    • gleezy: 
      Hmm, I wonder if the same thing happens during winter holidays too?
  • icycrystal
    2023-06-01
    icycrystal
    with fed trying to combat inflation, with recent banks episodes, uncertainty in the economy, etc. I think the market is going in the direction of the market correction. [smile] [smile] [smile]
    • riffy: 
      It's understandable to feel uncertain with everything going on. How are you personally handling it?
    • twiddly: 
      Yeah, it's definitely a tough time for the market right now. Do you think it'll recover soon
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