Shyon
ShyonCertificated Individuals
Tiger Certification: ๐ŸŽ“ Mechanical Engineer ๐Ÿ“ฆ SCM Certification ๐Ÿ“Š Technical Analysis ๐ŸŒ Investor ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Tesla
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avatarShyon
08-21 18:05
I didnโ€™t attend the event myself, but I can already tell from this recap that it was a really fruitful and practical session. I especially liked the Property OTP analogy because it makes options much easier to understand and removes some of the fear around derivatives. The biggest takeaway for me is that options are not simply about predicting whether a stock goes up or down. Understanding Theta, IV, intrinsic and extrinsic value, and the different strategies is just as important. The IV Crush example around earnings was particularly useful because it shows how even getting the direction right doesnโ€™t guarantee a profit. Overall, this recap gave me a much clearer picture of how options can be used for different market conditions, from generating income to protecting a portfolio. I didnโ€™t
avatarShyon
08-21 18:03
What stood out to me most is that the late-July tech selloff wasnโ€™t simply about weak earnings. Big Tech delivered strong results, but the market was looking ahead at AI CapEx, rates and positioning. Strong earnings donโ€™t always mean higher stock prices. I also found the AI CapEx comparison across Big Tech very useful. Iโ€™m increasingly focused on whether massive AI spending can actually translate into revenue, margins and sustainable returns, rather than simply chasing companies with the biggest spending plans. My biggest takeaway is the importance of โ€œsituational awareness.โ€ Earnings, macro data, AI CapEx and market positioning can all interact at once. Understanding what the market has already priced in is just as important as understanding the fundamentals.
avatarShyon
08-21 15:17
When I first started investing, the hottest stock everyone seemed to be talking about was $GameStop(GME)$ . It was impossible to ignore the incredible volatility, the retail-investor frenzy, and the short squeeze that turned the stock market into a global conversation. GME really opened my eyes to how powerful market sentiment, momentum, and retail participation can be. It was also a reminder that the stock market isn't always about fundamentals in the short termโ€”emotion and crowd psychology can move prices dramatically. Looking back, GameStop was definitely one of the stocks that made my early investing journey memorable. ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ“ˆ $GameStop(GME) was my answer! ๐Ÿฏ
avatarShyon
08-20 18:47
I think the 25% residual-value guarantee is both the foundation and the biggest risk of the deal. It gives lenders confidence to finance massive GPU deployments, but the real question is whether these chips will still have meaningful value when the loans mature in 3โ€“5 years. Iโ€™m encouraged by the fact that older $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ GPUs like the A100 are still being used, while CUDA keeps extending the useful life of existing hardware. But unlike cars or aircraft, there isnโ€™t a mature secondary market for obsolete GPUs, so depreciation risk remains difficult to price. For me, the structure is bullish for AI infrastructure in the near term, but I wouldnโ€™t treat the
avatarShyon
08-20 18:43
Berkshire ending 14 straight quarters of net selling is definitely worth watching. It could be an early sign that the most cautious money in the market is starting to regain confidence. I donโ€™t see it as an all-out bullish signal, but capital is clearly rotating back into AI, semiconductors and infrastructure. CoreWeave, SMCI and Lumentum also show that investors are increasingly looking beyond quarterly revenue and focusing on backlogs, long-term contracts and future cash flows. The big question now isnโ€™t whether money is coming back โ€” itโ€™s which companies can actually turn that capital spending into sustainable profits. Valuations still matter, especially after the strong AI rally weโ€™ve already seen. For me, this is a reason to stay invested but remain selective, rather than chase every
avatarShyon
08-20 14:10
I think the market is moving early rather than simply getting it wrong. The $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ story has shifted from โ€œhow strong is AI demand?โ€ to โ€œwhere is the money funding that demand?โ€ That uncertainty naturally hits leveraged optical names like $COHERENT(COHR)$ and $Lumentum(LITE)$ first. I don't think AI demand is broken yet. Iโ€™m watching actual orders, cash flow and funding much more closely, especially for companies like $
avatarShyon
08-20 13:09
I would choose $Alphabet(GOOG)$ . Google Cloudโ€™s strong growth, expanding margins and huge backlog show that its massive AI spending is starting to translate into real revenue. I also like the TPU story because it gives Alphabet another potential AI infrastructure advantage beyond relying entirely on Nvidia. For the downgrades, I can understand the argument on PLTR and CRWD. I still think both are excellent businesses, but when valuations become extremely demanding, even strong execution may not be enough to drive further upside. Iโ€™d rather wait for a meaningful pullback than chase them after such strong runs. Overall, my strategy is buy quality growth at a reasonable valuation, not quality at any price. GOOG looks more attractive to me today, wh
avatarShyon
08-20 13:03
If I had to choose between Target and Estรฉe Lauder after earnings, Iโ€™d lean toward $Estee Lauder(EL)$ . The 16% jump is significant, but the results suggest its turnaround may finally be gaining traction. Improving China demand and strong fragrance growth from Tom Ford and Le Labo give me more confidence in its recovery. I also like $Target(TGT)$ setup, with stronger traffic, digital sales growth and a raised full-year outlook. However, part of the EPS strength came from tariff refunds, so Iโ€™d like to see more evidence that earnings can continue improving without one-off benefits. For me, EL has more upside potential, while
avatarShyon
08-20 09:39
Iโ€™m staying cautious on long-duration bonds for now. A 30-year yield above 5.3% is attractive, but oil prices, inflation concerns, weaker foreign demand and heavy Treasury supply could keep long-term yields elevated. Iโ€™d rather wait for more clarity from the Fed minutes and the Iran situation before locking in rates. For my portfolio, higher yields also mean pressure on high-duration growth and AI stocks because future earnings are discounted at a higher rate. However, I donโ€™t see this as a reason to abandon AI or semiconductors. Iโ€™d continue DCA selectively and keep some cash ready for further pullbacks. For now, I prefer short-duration bonds or cash, while watching for signs that yields have peaked. If the 30-year moves significantly higher but inflation starts cooling, Iโ€™d be more comf
avatarShyon
08-20 01:10
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ I'm still averaging up my position in $SOXL$ despite the recent pullback and correction because I see it as a reset within the broader semiconductor uptrend, rather than a reason to abandon my thesis. The recent weakness has brought down some of the overheated sentiment around AI and semiconductors, but the underlying demand story remains strong. AI infrastructure, data centers, high-performance computing and memory continue to require enormous amounts of semiconductor capacity, and I believe the long-term cycle still has plenty of room to run. The correction is actually one of the reasons I'm more comfortable adding gradually. After the strong rally earlier, valuations and expectations had
avatarShyon
08-20 01:05
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ I continue to average up my position in $Palantir(PLTR)$ because I'm investing in the long-term AI story, not simply chasing the recent price momentum. Palantir has built a strong position at the intersection of AI, data analytics and enterprise software, with its platforms becoming increasingly important for companies and governments looking to turn AI into real-world applications. For me, the key is that Palantir is not just an AI "story" โ€” it has an established business, recurring customers and a platform that can potentially scale significantly as AI adoption accelerates. Another reason I'm comfortable averaging up is the company's execution. Palantir continues to demonstrate strong demand for its AI cap
avatarShyon
08-19 23:10
Iโ€™d pick A โ€” a company I like thatโ€™s down 30% from its high. Iโ€™d rather take advantage of a meaningful pullback in a company whose fundamentals and long-term story remain intact than chase a stock simply because itโ€™s making new highs. For me, names like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $Micron Technology(MU)$ can become especially interesting after a correction. A 30% drawdown doesnโ€™t automatically mean the thesis is broken; sometimes it creates a much better risk/reward entry point,
avatarShyon
08-19 23:02
Iโ€™m still constructive on Singapore banks, especially $DBS(D05.SI)$ . The continued hiring in wealth management, AI, data and technology tells me DBS is positioning for long-term growth rather than simply expanding headcount. Singaporeโ€™s growing wealth-management ecosystem should continue creating opportunities for the banking sector. I also like the bigger picture: more capital flowing into Singapore โ†’ more assets under management โ†’ stronger wealth and fee income โ†’ greater investment in talent and technology. With net interest margins facing pressure, I think wealth management and non-interest income will become increasingly important for DBS and its peers. Overall, I remain bullish on Singaporeโ€™s financial sector, although I wouldnโ€™t chase bl
avatarShyon
08-19 19:24
I see Tuesdayโ€™s semiconductor selloff as normal profit-taking and valuation compression rather than a fundamental breakdown. Higher Treasury yields, oil above $90 and crowded AI trades created the perfect setup for a sharp pullback, especially after the strong recent rally in memory and optical stocks. For me, the key point is that AI demand, memory pricing and data-center CapEx remain intact. Iโ€™ll be watching the 50-day moving averages, particularly for $Micron Technology(MU)$ and $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ , to see whether the sector can stabilize and reclaim key levels. Personally, Iโ€™m leaning toward A + E: normal profit-taking and an opportunity to accumulate in stages. I wouldnโ€™t rush in after one red day
avatarShyon
08-19 19:17
If I had to pick one of the eight for the next 30 days, Iโ€™d go with $Adobe(ADBE)$ . After falling nearly 30% from its 52-week high, the valuation looks much more attractive, with a forward P/E around 10x. The core Creative Cloud business remains strong, while Firefly and its AI tools could become meaningful growth drivers if Adobe executes well. I prefer ๐Ÿ“‰ Comeback over ๐Ÿ”ฅ Momentum. $Amylyx Pharmaceuticals(AMLX)$ and
avatarShyon
08-19 09:12
Iโ€™m leaning bullish on Alibaba $Alibaba(BABA)$ $Alibaba(09988)$ going into earnings. The headline EPS and net income declines are expected, but I think the bigger story is whether heavy AI investment is finally translating into stronger Cloud growth and improving profitability. Alibaba Cloud growing over 40% would be a major positive signal, especially if AI-related demand continues to scale. Iโ€™ll also be watching whether Instant Commerce losses start narrowing, which could give China e-commerce margins some much-needed relief. My vote: Bullish but within flat range๐Ÿ“ˆ. If Alibaba delivers strong Cloud growth and gives investors confidence that AI spending can drive future profits, I think the market c
avatarShyon
08-19
$ARM Holdings(ARM)$ I'm continuing to DCA into $Arm Holdings (ARM)$ because I believe the long-term story remains intact despite the stock's strong rally and expensive valuation. ARM is no longer just a smartphone story โ€” its architecture is becoming increasingly important across cloud computing, AI infrastructure, automotive and edge devices. The biggest reason I remain bullish is AI. As AI workloads expand, data centers need more efficient CPUs alongside GPUs, and ARM's performance-per-watt advantage makes it increasingly attractive. ARM is also moving further up the value chain with its own CPU products, giving it the potential to capture more revenue from the growing AI ecosystem. Of course, valuation and volatility are risks, especially a
avatarShyon
08-18
Iโ€™m most bullish on $Micron Technology(MU)$ , $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ over the next 6 months, with MU standing out. HBM remains a critical AI bottleneck, while hyperscaler capex is still extremely strong. I believe memory suppliers can continue capturing a disproportionate share of AI spending as HBM demand stays elevated. NVDA remains a core holding thanks to CUDA, Blackwell and Rubin, while TSM benefits from virtually every leading-edge AI chip and advanced packaging demand. Iโ€™m also watching CRDO and ALAB as higher-growth AI connectivity pla
avatarShyon
08-18
Iโ€™m leaning toward A) U.S. Banks & Brokers. The earnings momentum looks more convincing to me than a purely valuation-driven rally, with NII, trading, investment banking and fee income all improving together. Among the group, $Bank of America(BAC)$ stands out to me as the one Iโ€™d be most willing to buy at todayโ€™s level. I also like $Charles Schwab(SCHW)$ for its strong asset growth, trading activity and expanding revenue base. That said, after such a strong run to fresh highs, I wouldnโ€™t chase aggressivelyโ€”Iโ€™d prefer to build a position gradually on any pullback while the earnings momentum remains intact. For the
avatarShyon
08-18
Iโ€™m watching $TJX Companies(TJX)$ most closely this week. With July retail sales falling 0.6%, I think the key question is whether consumers are cutting spending or simply becoming more selective and trading down. TJXโ€™s discount-focused model could benefit if shoppers still want apparel and home goods but become less willing to pay full price. What Iโ€™ll be watching is whether TJX can maintain strong traffic and merchandise margins without relying too heavily on promotions. If sales remain resilient while margins hold up, it would reinforce the idea that consumers are shifting towar

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