Shyon
04-10

Oh no! Bad news. The consumer price index, a key inflation gage, rose 3.5% in March, higher than expectations and marking an acceleration for inflation. I believe the rate cut won't be so fast in 2024, probably towards the end of the year. 

Shelter and energy costs drove the increase on the all-items index. Energy rose 1.1% after increasing 2.3% in February, while shelter costs were higher by 0.4% on the month and up 5.7% from a year ago.

Following the report, traders pushed the first expected rate cut out to September.

A measure of underlying US inflation topped forecasts for a third straight month, heralding a fresh wave of price pressures that will likely delay any Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts until later in the year.

The so-called core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy costs, increased 0.4% from February, according to government data out Wednesday. From a year ago, it advanced 3.8%, holding steady from the prior month.

Wednesday's report adds to evidence that progress on taming inflation may be stalling, despite the Fed keeping interest rates at a two-decade high. With a strong labor market still powering household demand, officials have been adamant they'd like to see more evidence that price pressures are sustainably cooling before lowering borrowing costs.

Treasury yields and the dollar jumped while S&P 500 index futures tumbled. Swaps traders slashed the degree to which they see the Fed will cut rates this year. For such, I believe primary indexs will suffer correction in short term $DJIA(.DJI)$  $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$  

Policymakers have also been hesitant to cut interest rates given the strength of the labor market, especially after last week's jobs report showed robust hiring and the unemployment rate fell. 

@TigerStars  @Daily_Discussion  @TigerPM  @TigerEvents  @MillionaireTiger  @CaptainTiger  @Tiger_comments  

CPI 3.5%! Expect 2 or 3 Rate Cuts in 2024?
March headline CPI is 3.5%, higher than estimates of 3.4% and also the highest since September 2023. Core CPI is 3.8%, higher than estimates of 3.7%. Goldman Sachs expects only two rate cuts this year, with the first in July and the second in November. ------------- How do you expect rate cut in 2024? Will S&P start to pullback after hot inflation data? What's your target?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Mess0M
    04-11
    Mess0M
    I think you're right, this inflation data is concerning.
  • Aqa
    04-12
    Aqa
    Liked and shared.
Leave a comment
2
160