AI / semiconductor stocks back to rally?

Shyon
04-27

After over 2 weeks of correction and pullback, AI and semiconductor theme related stocks began to rebound and rally again. 

NVIDIA 

Nvidia shares rallied back from last week's selloff as some of the chip giant's biggest clients are doubling down on artificial intelligence investments. Nvidia jumped 15% this week and posting its best weekly performance since last May. The surge comes after firms like Meta, Alphabet and Microsoft pledged billions in AI investments.

Nvidia daily chart

Looking at NVIDIA technically, the share price broke out from the downtrend resistance line last night. The downtrend pattern lasts for over 1 month and is represented by orange line in the chart above. The breakout like this usually signifies a trend reversal and I expect more rally in the share price $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  next week. 

AMD

AMD is set to report its first-quarter results on April 30 after the market closes. The company is expected to report earnings of 61 cents per share and quarterly revenue of $5.46 billion. Last week, AMD announced its new AMD Ryzen PRO 8040 Series with x86 processors and the AMD Ryzen PRO 8000 Series desktop processor, the first AI-enabled desktop processor for business users constructed with the advanced 4nm technology.

AMD daily chart

As compared to the leader Nvidia, AMD share price seems to be much weaker and still on a downtrend mode. A critical level that I will monitor will be on the blue coloured neckline resistance at 161.37 USD. I remain bearish $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  view on the company unless it breaks above the mentioned resistance. Earnings will be early next week, this might be a chance for the company to rebound if the result is great.

PLTR

Palantir stock is in the news after the big data company announced a new contract with Parexel to enhance its healthcare AI work. This new agreement will see Parexel adopt Palantir's Foundry and AI Platform for use with its clinical data platform. This will allow customers to more easily manage clinical trial data and help increase the speed and effectiveness of setting studies up.

PLTR daily chart

For PLTR, a great sign to see the share price broke up from its recent downtrend resistance line. Another neckline resistance at 21.88 was overcame as well. Double breakouts! The rebound is pretty confirmed and we could expect more rally $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$  for the stock in incoming weeks.

C3.AI

Also known as an AI company, C3 has a totally different destiny as compared to other leading AI companies. The share price pulled back near to 50% and hit 2024 new low, despite the rally after its great earnings in early March. As for this moment, there's no any clear indication of the share movement. Those who are interested may wait for the share price to break above 23.59 USD major resistance, then only to revisit this stock. Otherwise, I will remain $C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$  for the company.

C3 daily chart

SOXL

Last but not least, let'sook at the overall semiconductor index SOXL, mainly represented by semiconductor and AI related stocks.

SOXL

Great prediction last week, the share price has a strong technical rebound after touching EMA200 trend line support (as drawn in dark black circle). The rebound is very strong and hit a big gain over 5 days. Technical analysis is amazing, the share price plummeted after broke below the EMA50 3 weeks ago and found its support at the famous EMA 200 line, it was so so so accurate. For next week, I believe the momentum $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$  will continue following the great earnings from the tech giants this week. 

Hope you guys learn some basic things through my weekly technical charts sharing and let's grow together 😀 

@TigerStars  @CaptainTiger  @MillionaireTiger  @Tiger_comments  @TigerGPT  

Target Price for AMD & SMCI After Earnings?
AMD's first-quarter performance exceeded expectations, with a significant surge in data center revenue. However, the company's revenue guidance is weak. While SMCI raised its full-year profit forecast, its stock performance was extremely volatile. Initially, it rose by over 10% on optimistic expectations, but then rapidly dropped by nearly 12% due to market concerns. Such drastic fluctuations may reflect investors' worries about the sustainability of profits. ------------------------ What's your target price for AMD & SMCI?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • TigerGPT
    04-27
    TigerGPT

    NVIDIA Corp (NVDA)

    Business and Industry: NVIDIA is a leading technology company that specializes in designing graphics processing units (GPUs) for gaming, professional visualization, data centers, and automotive markets. The company is at the forefront of AI and machine learning technologies, providing solutions for various industries.

      

    Latest Earnings: In the latest earnings report for Q4 2024, NVIDIA reported an EPS of $4.98, with a gross profit margin of 75.97%. The company has shown strong profitability and growth.

      

    Earnings Forecast: Analysts forecast that NVIDIA's EPS will reach $34.82 in 2027FY, with a forecasted gross income of $159.94 billion and forecasting EBIT of $92.49 billion. The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory.

      

    Capital Flow Analysis: The capital flow data for NVIDIA shows mixed trends over the past five days. On some days, there were inflows, while on others, there were outflows. This indicates that there is some uncertainty in investor sentiment.

      

    Trend Analysis: The current stock price of NVIDIA is $877.35. The stock recently broke out from a downtrend resistance line, indicating a potential trend reversal. The support price is $785.07, and the resistance price is $871.07.

      

    Valuation Analysis: Analysts have a mean target price of $1006.78 for NVIDIA, with a low estimate of $478.4 and a high estimate of $2762.12. The majority of analysts recommend buying or holding the stock.

      

    Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares (SOXL)

    Business and Industry: SOXL is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that seeks to provide daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the performance of the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index. It represents the semiconductor industry.

      

    Capital Flow Analysis: The capital flow data for SOXL shows mixed trends over the past five days, similar to NVIDIA. This indicates some uncertainty in investor sentiment.

      

    Trend Analysis: The current stock price of SOXL is $39.8. The stock recently rebounded strongly after touching the EMA200 trend line support. The support price is $31.21, and the resistance price is $37.41.

      

    Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

    Business and Industry: AMD is a semiconductor company that designs and develops computer processors and related technologies. The company's products are used in various applications, including gaming, data centers, and personal computers.

      

    Latest Earnings: In the latest earnings report for Q4 2023, AMD reported an EPS of $0.41, with a gross profit margin of 50.29%. The company has shown steady growth and profitability.

      

    Earnings Forecast: Analysts forecast that AMD's EPS will reach $5.54 in 2025FY, with a forecasted gross income of $32.68 billion and forecasting EBIT of $9.96 billion. The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory.

      

    Capital Flow Analysis: The capital flow data for AMD shows mixed trends over the past five days, similar to NVIDIA and SOXL. This indicates some uncertainty in investor sentiment.

      

    Trend Analysis: The current stock price of AMD is $157.4. The stock is currently trading near the support price of $152.39. The resistance price is $177.69.

      

    Valuation Analysis: Analysts have a mean target price of $192.20 for AMD, with a low estimate of $60.0 and a high estimate of $270.0. The majority of analysts recommend buying or holding the stock.

      

    Summary:

    NVIDIA has shown strong earnings and is expected to continue its growth trajectory. The stock recently broke out from a downtrend resistance line, indicating a potential trend reversal.  

    SOXL, representing the semiconductor industry, has rebounded strongly after touching the EMA200 trend line support. The stock is expected to continue its momentum.  

    AMD has shown steady growth and profitability. The stock is currently trading near the support price and has a positive earnings forecast.  

    Please note that the above analysis is based on historical data and trends, and it does not constitute investment advice. The stock market is subject to inherent risks, and stock prices can fluctuate. It is important to conduct thorough research and analysis before making investment decisions.

    • TigerGPTReplyShyon: 

      You're welcome! I'm glad you found my answer helpful. If you have any more questions or need further assistance, feel free to ask. Happy investing!

    • ShyonReplyTigerGPT: 
      I like your answer very much, thanks.
    • TigerGPTReplyShyon: 

      Both NVIDIA and AMD are leading technology companies in the semiconductor industry, but they have different strengths and focus areas. Here's a comparison of their technologies:

      Graphics Processing Units (GPUs):

      NVIDIA: NVIDIA is known for its powerful and efficient GPUs, particularly in the gaming and professional visualization markets. Their GPUs, such as the GeForce and Quadro series, are widely used in gaming, AI, data centers, and other high-performance computing applications.  

      AMD: AMD also offers GPUs, including the Radeon series, which are popular among gamers and content creators. While AMD's GPUs may not match NVIDIA's top-end performance, they provide competitive performance at a more affordable price point.  

        

      Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning:

      NVIDIA: NVIDIA has made significant advancements in AI and machine learning technologies. Their GPUs, especially the NVIDIA Tesla series, are widely used in AI training and inference applications. NVIDIA's CUDA platform and software libraries are also highly regarded in the AI community.  

      AMD: AMD has been investing in AI technologies and has introduced AI-enabled processors, such as the AMD Ryzen PRO 8000 Series. However, NVIDIA has a stronger presence and reputation in the AI space.  

        

      Gaming:

      NVIDIA: NVIDIA's GPUs, particularly the GeForce series, are highly regarded for gaming performance. They offer advanced features like real-time ray tracing and DLSS (Deep Learning Super Sampling), which enhance visual quality and performance in games.  

      AMD: AMD's Radeon GPUs also provide excellent gaming performance and are popular among gamers. AMD has been focusing on improving their GPUs' efficiency and affordability, making them a competitive choice for gamers on a budget.  

        

      Data Centers and Cloud Computing:

      NVIDIA: NVIDIA's GPUs, especially the NVIDIA A100, are widely used in data centers for AI training, inference, and high-performance computing workloads. Their CUDA platform and software ecosystem are well-established in the data center market.  

      AMD: AMD has been making efforts to expand its presence in the data center market with its EPYC processors. While they may not have the same market share as NVIDIA in this segment, AMD's processors offer competitive performance and value.  

        

      In summary, both NVIDIA and AMD have their strengths in different areas of technology. NVIDIA is known for its powerful GPUs and dominance in AI applications, while AMD offers competitive performance and affordability in gaming and data center markets. The choice between the two depends on specific requirements, budget, and use cases.

    • Shyon: 
      Nvidia or AMD is better in their technology?
  • Moontower by Kris Abdelmessih
    04-28
    Moontower by Kris Abdelmessih
    😄
    • Shyon: 
      [Cool] [Cool] [Cool] [Cool]
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