Chinese EV Trio πŸš—πŸš—πŸš— - Technical Analysis

Shyon
05-18

The United States plan to levy tariffs on imports from China's emerging industries, including a potential 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles (EV). Experts argue that the US' protective measures reveal its defensive mindset and its struggles in competing with China's new energy industries. 


NIO

On Wednesday, 15 May, NIO launched the first vehicle in its new lower-priced brand Onvo which aims to compete there with Tesla's Model Y, the world’s best-selling EV. Nio unveiled the Onvo L60 SUV with a sticker price starting from 219,900 yuan, 12% below the price of Tesla's Model Y which starts at 249,900 yuan in China. Nio plans to start delivery of the Onvo L60 in September.

NIO daily chart

As we can observe from the chart above, the stock started well early of the week and erased all its gain towards the end of the week. Well, technical wise, everything seems to be still quite healthy for NIO. The share price stays well above the EMA50 and EMA25 trend line. Moreover, EMA25 is pretty close with EMA50 and I believe a golden cross should be expected to happen pretty soon. For such, I remain bullish with Nio $NIO Inc.(NIO)$  share price, with target price equals to 7 USD. 


XPENG

This week, Xpeng has officially announced its entry into Hong Kong, as the electric-vehicle maker doubles down on its expansion plans along with its domestic peers. Also CNBC reported that, Xpeng AeroHT, an affilaite of Xpeng, will aim to deliver its flying car to customers in 2026.

XPENG daily chart

For Xpeng, the chart is pretty similar as compared dto Nio. Currently, the stock is challenging it's EMA50 resistant line and try to break above it. For me, I believe next week earnings result will be the key decider of the share price direction. I vote bullish for Xpeng $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$  as the share price seems to form a high low at current price and I believe the share price is undervalued right now. 


LI AUTO

Li Auto is reportedly undergoing massive layoffs, with sales falling short of expectations. The company is in the midst of a new round of layoffs that could involve more than 18% of its workforce overall. The company delivered 25,787 vehicles in April, up 0.41 percent year-on-year but down 11.03 percent from March.

LI daily chart

Technical wise, as compared to Nio and Xpeng, Li Auto has the weakest chart for the moment. The share price stays well below all the EMA trend lines, as we can see from the chart above. Same as Xpeng, Li Auto will release its earnings next week and the results will be critical towards Li's share price. However, based on technical analysis, all indicators show a bearish sign for Li Auto $Li Auto(LI)$ 


Do you like to invest in US or China EV stocks? What are the reasons behind? Come and join the discussion with us.

@MillionaireTiger  @CaptainTiger  @TigerStars  @Tiger_comments  @Daily_Discussion  @TigerGPT  

Chinese ADRs
Tracking the US-listed Chinese companies.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • TigerGPT
    05-18
    TigerGPT

    Based on the technical analysis provided, here is a summary of the three Chinese EV stocks:

    NIO (NIO):  

    The stock started the week strong but erased its gains towards the end.  

    The share price is currently above the EMA50 and EMA25 trend lines.  

    A golden cross (EMA25 crossing above EMA50) is expected to happen soon.  

    The upcoming earnings result will be a key factor in determining the share price direction.  

    The analyst remains bullish on NIO.  

      XPeng (XPEV):  

      The share price of XPeng seems to have formed a higher low at the current price.  

      The analyst believes the share price is undervalued.  

      The upcoming earnings result will also play a crucial role in determining the share price direction.  

      The analyst votes bullish for XPeng.  

        Li Auto (LI):  

        Li Auto is reportedly undergoing layoffs due to sales falling short of expectations.  

        The share price is below all the EMA trend lines, indicating a bearish sign.  

        The upcoming earnings result will be critical for Li Auto's share price.  

        Based on technical analysis, all indicators show a bearish sign for Li Auto.  

        As for investing in US or China EV stocks, it ultimately depends on individual preferences and investment strategies. Here are some factors to consider:

        Investing in US EV stocks:

        The US EV market is highly competitive, with companies like Tesla leading the industry.  

        US EV companies have a strong presence in the global market and benefit from established infrastructure and consumer demand.  

        Regulatory policies and government support for EVs in the US can provide stability and growth opportunities for US EV stocks.  

        Investing in China EV stocks:

        China is the world's largest EV market, with a growing demand for electric vehicles.  

        Chinese EV companies have been rapidly expanding and gaining market share both domestically and internationally.  

        Government policies and incentives in China support the development and adoption of EVs, which can benefit Chinese EV stocks.  

        However, investing in Chinese stocks may involve additional risks, such as regulatory changes and geopolitical tensions.  

        It is important to conduct thorough research, analyze the financial health and growth prospects of individual companies, and consider the overall market conditions before making any investment decisions.

        Note: The information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risks, and it is recommended to consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

    • TigerGPTReplyShyon:Β 

      The launch of NIO's new brand, Onvo, is generally seen as positive for the company. Analysts believe that the introduction of the Onvo brand and its first model, the L60 electric SUV, could lead to a surge in sales for NIO. The Onvo L60 is aimed at competing with Tesla's Model Y and is expected to be a more affordable option, with a price starting at around $30,000. Deutsche Bank analyst Wang Bin's team stated that NIO's expectation of monthly deliveries exceeding 20,000 units is achievable with the boost from Onvo. The Onvo L60 is attracting attention and is considered a true rival to the Model Y.

      Here are some articles that provide more information about NIO's Onvo brand and the L60 model:

      NIO’s new low-cost Onvo L60 EV could boost sales to +20,000 per month  

      BRIEF-Nio Inc Second Brand Onvo And Its First Model L60 Unveiled  

      NIO Inc. Launches New Brand ONVO and SUV L60  

      Nio (NYSE:NIO) unveils Onvo, its first lower-priced EV brand  

      Please note that the sentiment towards the Onvo launch is generally bullish, indicating a positive outlook for NIO. However, it is important to conduct further research and analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

    • ShyonReplyTigerGPT:Β 
      Onvo launch is positive or negative for NIO?
    • TigerGPTReplyShyon:Β 

      NIO has recently launched a new brand called Onvo. Onvo is a smart electric vehicle brand focused on family life. The first model introduced under the Onvo brand is the L60, which is a family-oriented smart electric mid-size SUV. The L60 is aimed at competing with Tesla's best-selling Model Y. It is expected to be a more affordable option, with a price of around $30,000. The launch of the Onvo brand and the L60 model is expected to boost NIO's sales, with projections of over 20,000 units sold per month.

      In addition to the L60, NIO has plans to launch a larger electric SUV under the Onvo brand in 2025. Furthermore, NIO is also planning to introduce four new models under the NIO brand next year, including the ET9 Sedan, ES8 SUV, and ES7 SUV, all based on its new NT 2.0 platform.

      You can find more information about NIO's new Onvo brand and the L60 model in the following articles:

      NIO’s new low-cost Onvo L60 EV could boost sales to +20,000 per month  

      BRIEF-Nio Inc Second Brand Onvo And Its First Model L60 Unveiled  

      NIO Inc. Launches New Brand ONVO and SUV L60  

      China's Nio Launches Onvo Brand to Challenge Tesla's Best-Selling Model  

      NIO could challenge Tesla and Toyota with new Onvo brand  

      Please note that the information provided is based on available sources and it is recommended to conduct further research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

    • ShyonReplyTigerGPT:Β 
      What is NIO new launch brand?
    • TigerGPTReplyShyon:Β 

      Based on the analysis, here is a summary of the short-term movement and investment outlook for NIO:

      Short-term Movement: The technical analysis indicates that the stock price of NIO is currently above the EMA50 and EMA25 trend lines. A golden cross (EMA25 crossing above EMA50) is expected to happen soon. The support price is around $5.25, and the resistance price is around $5.39. The recent capital flow data shows mixed inflows and outflows.

        

      Investment Outlook: The analyst target price for NIO is $9.18625, with a low estimate of $4.0 and a high estimate of $21.8. The analyst recommendation is 4 recommend, 10 buy, 13 hold, and 1 underperform. It is important to note that short-term valuations are more likely to be affected by the stock's trend, capital flow, and sentiment of recent news.

        

      Considering the information provided, it is important to conduct further research and analysis, taking into account both the short-term and long-term factors, before making any investment decisions. It is recommended to consult with a financial advisor for personalized investment advice.

      Disclaimer: The above analysis and information should not be considered as investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risks, and it is important to make decisions based on individual risk tolerance and investment goals.

  • Ummi Jee
    05-20
    Ummi Jee
    So should buy NIO or not ?
    • Shyon:Β 
      Not for short term, if to buy, you need to wait for the industry to burst, but Nio is a high risk trade compared to other EV makers
  • icycrystal
    05-18
    icycrystal
    thanks for sharing
    • Shyon:Β 
      Thanks for support, happy weekend! πŸ˜€πŸ˜€πŸ˜€
  • LiverpoolRed
    05-20
    LiverpoolRed
    thanks for sharing
    • Shyon:Β 
      Thanks for your like and support πŸ₯³
  • MortimerDodd
    05-20
    MortimerDodd
    πŸ‘πŸΌ
    • Shyon:Β 
      Thanks for your like and support
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