Assessing the trends of Chinese EV Stocks

Shyon
08-10

New data from a China Passenger Car Association report showed a record 50.7% of Chinese cars purchased in July were so-called new energy vehicles, or NEVs, meaning they were either electric vehicles or plug-in hybrids. The report provided several numbers demonstrating how China is expanding its global lead in EV adoption.


NIO

NIO's industry-leading battery swap technology is continuing to gain prowess as the Chinese EV company hits another milestone. This week, NIO hit 50 million cumulative battery swaps, providing evidence that the EV charging method is not only viable but also preferred by many drivers. 

Nio daily chart

Over 50% drop in NIO's share price since 2024. An obvious downtrend for this EV stock since 2021 from its peak at around 65 USD. As shown in the chart above (orange coloured downtrend line), even for mid term, Nio seems will continue to retrace towards 3.63 USD. And as predicted, Nio retraced to this support level and formed a double bottom now. I believe here is the bottom for Nio and a rebound is highly possible in the near term. Bullish vote for Nio $NIO Inc.(NIO)$  $NIO-SW(09866)$  ! 


XPENG 

Xpeng has reportedly overhauled its organizational structure, similar to local peers Nio and Li Auto, to increase its bet on end-to-end technology. Xpeng has reorganized its organizational structure in line with the changes in the smart driving technology route, with the new structure focusing on end-to-end AI large models.

Xpeng daily chart

For Xpeng, its movement was slightly stronger than NIO, at least it was still on a uptrend since early May 2024. However, thing might totally change for Xpeng soon, its share price seemed to fall below its uptrend line support. This is a critical level to monitor, if the share price is unable to stand back the uptrend line, we would see further drop in Xpeng $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$  $XPENG-W(09868)$  share price next week. 


LI

Chinese new energy vehicle company Li Auto announced Thursday it delivered a record number of cars in July, boosted by sales of its new, lower-cost Li L6 SUV. The new model and most of Li Auto's cars come with a fuel tank for extending the battery's driving range.

Li daily chart

Technical wise, as compared to Nio and Xpeng, Li experienced a much more stable share price movement since the end of May 2024. This week, a higher low pattern was formed in Li technical chart, as drawn in blue above. This might be a trend reversal indication for LI auto, which is definitely a great news for its investors. A bullish vote for LI $Li Auto(LI)$  but do be aware that the company share price is still well below its EMA 50 support level. 


Do you like to invest in US or China EV stocks? What are the reasons behind? Come and join the discussion with us.

@TigerStars  @MillionaireTiger  @Tiger_comments  @Daily_Discussion  @TigerGPT  @CaptainTiger  

Chinese ADRs
Tracking the US-listed Chinese companies.
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Comments

  • vippy
    08-10
    vippy

    I believe XPEV will make the sales number and cars sold. Just average down and enjoy the ride! Long term hold and 18-24 month target of $40.

    • Shyon
      Long waiting time for all Chinese EV, I also stuck at Nio. haha
  • TigerGPT
    08-10
    TigerGPT

    The Chinese EV market has been experiencing significant growth, with a record 50.7% of cars purchased in July being new energy vehicles (NEVs). This demonstrates China's expanding global lead in EV adoption.

    NIO, a Chinese EV company, has reached a milestone of 50 million cumulative battery swaps, showcasing the viability and preference for its battery swap technology. Despite a significant drop in NIO's share price since 2024, there are indications of a potential rebound. The stock has retraced to a support level and formed a double bottom, suggesting a possible trend reversal and a bullish outlook for NIO.

    XPeng, another Chinese EV company, has reportedly overhauled its production line, which may impact its share price. If the share price fails to hold above the uptrend line support, further drops could be expected.

    Li Auto, a Chinese new energy vehicle company, delivered a record number of cars in July, driven by sales of its new, lower-cost Li L6 SUV. The company's share price has shown more stability compared to NIO and XPeng. A higher low pattern has formed in Li's technical chart, indicating a potential trend reversal and a bullish outlook for the stock.

    When considering investing in US or Chinese EV stocks, it is important to evaluate various factors such as market conditions, company fundamentals, growth potential, and regulatory environment. Both the US and China have significant EV markets, but each has its own unique characteristics and risks. It is advisable to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

    Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risks, and it is important to carefully consider your financial situation and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.

    • TigerGPTReplyShyon

      NIO, one of the leading Chinese EV manufacturers, has been performing well in the EV market. Here is an analysis of NIO's current status:

      Business and Industry: NIO is known for its high-performance electric vehicles and innovative battery swap technology. The company operates in the luxury EV segment and has a strong presence in the Chinese market.

        

      Earnings Analysis: NIO's latest earnings report for Q1 2024 showed an EPS of -2.57. The company's gross profit margin was 4.92%, and its net profit margin was -53.06%. It's important to note that NIO's earnings forecast for the future indicates a negative EPS, which suggests potential challenges in the short term.

        

      Capital Flow Analysis: The recent capital flow data for NIO shows mixed trends. There have been both inflows and outflows of capital in the past few days, indicating some volatility in investor sentiment.

        

      Trend Analysis: As of the latest available data, NIO's stock price is $3.76 (USD). It's important to monitor the stock's trend over time to assess its performance accurately.

        

      Analyst Viewpoints: Analysts have provided target price estimates for NIO. The mean target price is $54.24, with a low estimate of $33.00 and a high estimate of $122.00. It's worth noting that analysts have varying recommendations, with some recommending a buy and others suggesting a hold.

        

      Considering the above analysis, it's important to note that investing in stocks involves risks, and the performance of a company can be influenced by various factors. It's advisable to conduct thorough research and analysis and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

      Disclaimer: The above analysis and information should not be considered as investment advice. The stock market is subject to fluctuations, and investors should exercise caution and make independent decisions based on their own assessment of the market and individual stocks.

    • Shyon
      Thanks for the inform, who is the leader in Chinese EV market?
    • TigerGPTReplyShyon

      In the Chinese EV market, there are several key players who have established themselves as leaders. These companies include:

      NIO: NIO is one of the leading Chinese EV manufacturers and is known for its high-performance electric vehicles. The company has gained popularity for its innovative battery swap technology and has a strong presence in the luxury EV segment.

        

      BYD: BYD is a Chinese automaker that has made significant strides in the EV market. The company is known for its electric buses and has expanded its product lineup to include electric cars. BYD has a strong market share in China and has also made inroads in international markets.

        

      XPeng: XPeng is a rising star in the Chinese EV market. The company focuses on smart electric vehicles and has gained attention for its advanced autonomous driving technology. XPeng has been expanding its product portfolio and has seen rapid growth in recent years.

        

      Li Auto: Li Auto is known for its extended-range electric vehicles, which combine electric power with a small gasoline engine for extended driving range. The company has gained popularity for its innovative approach and has seen strong sales growth in the Chinese market.

        

      These companies are considered leaders in the Chinese EV market due to their market share, technological advancements, and brand recognition. However, it's important to note that the market is highly competitive, and new players continue to emerge. The landscape can change rapidly, so it's crucial to stay updated on the latest developments in the industry.

    • ShyonReplyTigerGPT
      Is NIO doing good now in the EV market?
  • wubbie
    08-10
    wubbie

    Looks like all the weak hands have gone now, just diamond hands shorties and gonks like retro and value_man etc left here. Go Nio.....

    • Shyon
      I am also supporter of Nio, but Nio share is doing badly for these 2 years
  • happygo
    08-10
    happygo

    One reason for nio going down. It is all selling..... and lack of buyer's for their shares at each price level they drop to, ... month after month after month.

    • Shyon
      Yeah, unfortunately and sadly
  • glowzi
    08-10
    glowzi

    XPEV will be under $4.00 soon like NIO. Even XPEV has least sales these days.

    • Shyon
      Yeah, now it seems like Nio is doing better than Xpeng.
  • wigglyz
    08-10
    wigglyz

    Nio it’s going to be a multi trillion dollar company so sit back relax and enjoy it. You are going to be a millionaire.

    • Shyon
      Hopefully! Haha but seems like it is hard for short term.
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