In the Presidential electoral victory speech, Trump emphasized his goal to increase U.S. oil and gas exports, referring to these resources as "liquid gold." This statement comes as Saudi Arabia reduces its own production, which could lead to a significant boost in U.S. oil and gas stocks. Oil prices dropped by $1 following his speech.
Meanwhile, the Republican Party has gained control of the U.S. Senate and is advancing in the race to retain the House of Representatives. Should Republicans secure the presidency, Senate, and House, Trump would have a clearer path to advancing his legislative agenda. Powell Industries stands to gain substantially from the Trump administration's policies.
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Powell Industries$Powell(POWL)$ , a domestic manufacturer specializing in switchgear and integrated solutions for sectors such as oil and gas refining, offshore production, and petrochemicals, is well-positioned to benefit from these trends. Overall, the outlook for U.S.-focused small cap stocks is very positive, especially as they stand to gain from a more favorable regulatory and tax landscape with minimal exposure to potential import tariffs.
Powell Industries reported notable financial growth, with a 253% increase in Net Income (Common) over the past year. Over three years, its average annual Net Income (Common) growth rate has been an impressive 588%, with five-year and ten-year growth rates at 93% and 11%, respectively. Recently, net income rose to $46.2 million, or $3.79 per diluted share, up from $18.5 million, or $1.52 per diluted share, in the previous period, and from $33.5 million, or $2.75 per diluted share, in Q2 of fiscal 2024.
Powell Industries has shown a solid commitment to rewarding shareholders, as evidenced by its consistent quarterly dividend payments and gradual increases. This steady growth in dividend payouts reflects the company’s strong cash flow and promising growth outlook. For instance, the dividend rose from $0.205 in early 2024 to $0.265 by November 2024, indicating an upward trend in returns for shareholders. The dividend yield has seen some fluctuation over the years, recently settling around a stable annualized return of 0.7% to 1.3%. This pattern underscores the company's dedication to delivering value to shareholders and highlights its strong financial health.
Powell Industries' capacity expansion efforts are progressing smoothly, with current projects designed to meet both existing and future demand. The Gulf Coast fabrication yard expansion is now fully operational, playing a vital role in supporting the execution of Powell’s substantial $1.3 billion backlog. The ongoing expansion at the Houston products facility is expected to be completed by mid-Fiscal 2025, bolstering capacity to drive future growth. These initiatives underscore Powell Industries' commitment to scaling up operations and meeting projected demand effectively.
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Taking into account the company's ongoing business growth, capacity expansions, and favorable political conditions that could boost revenue, I anticipate a conservative 60% EPS growth for FY2025. This would result in a projected EPS of $18.16 for FY2025. Applying P/E ratios of 25 and 30, the target price could range from $454 to $544.80.