Entering Support Zone: Will AI and FSD Save Tesla’s Valuation in 2025?

employee
Tiger_comments
02-27
Reward Tiger-CoinsReward 500 Tiger-coins

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ has already dropped 28% this year and is approaching the gap-up level after last year's Trump election. Recently, the news of Tesla's FSD entering China has turned into a negative catalyst, as its FSD performance in testing across various platforms is far below that of its competitors.

What other factors, aside from European sales, have contributed to the recent decline?

Tesla's high valuation is undoubtedly the key focus this earnings season.

Before the April earnings, the market currently lacks any positive news that could trigger short-covering, and the Texas Robotaxi project has not yet officially launched, failing to provide enough positive news to support the stock price.

Despite of high valuation, what may support a rebound in Tesla's stock price?

The market view on Tesla is highly divided.

Some believe Tesla is a beneficiary of AI and autonomous driving, while others think it is overvalued among automakers. However, if FSD truly comes to fruition, the current high valuation will be justified.

The further development of AI at the beginning of the year suggests that the autonomous driving sector may accelerate as well.

Wayve's Robotaxi testing in London shows that using only seven cameras, without radar, LIDAR, or high-definition maps, its AI system can already drive in complex urban environments.

Tesla's FSD adopts a similar concept but has the largest scale of autonomous driving data globally, which means its advantage may continue to grow in the coming months.

With five consecutive days of decline, is it time to buy Tesla now?

After Tesla's stock price fell below $315, the market expects the price to retrace to the $275 to $280 range, which is considered a strong technical support zone.

Considering Tesla's continuous adjustment over the past few weeks and the expectation that the stock will continue to face downward pressure in the coming weeks, the $273 to $280 range could see strong buying interest.

Combining with the Fibonacci retracement, we can see that the stock has already retraced to a key technical support zone. From the April low of $140 to the December high of $488, the 61.8% retracement level is approximately $273.22.

Have you started building a position in Tesla?

Do you think Tesla is the best stock for buying low and selling high?

Will it drop to $270 this time?

Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

Wood Bullish on Tesla to $2600: What's Your PT?
Cathie Wood's ARK research team predicts that Tesla's stock price will reach $2600 in the next five years—nearly 10 times its current price. ----------- Some investors eye $300 as key resistance level for this rebound. What’s your take on this? Did you profit from previous dip-buying? What's your price target for Tesla?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
Reward expired
Due to insufficient number of valid participants, 500Tiger coins have been refunded to the initiator
Deadline to 03/12 03:38
Reward-post

Comments

  • Barcode
    02-27
    Barcode

    $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ 

    🚀 Tesla ($TSLA): The Fibonacci Freefall, Will $273 to $280 Hold or Is $250 Next? 🚀

    Tesla ($TSLA) has been sliding downhill faster than a Cybertruck on ice, now trading at $286.50 as of 28Feb25 🇳🇿, just $12 away from the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement ($274.44), or the “Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone.” After a 28 percent YTD drop and five consecutive red sessions, traders are debating,

    📍 Is this a golden Fibonacci buy-the-dip opportunity, or will $TSLA plunge straight into the $250 abyss before reversing?

    📊 With FSD’s struggles in China, Robotaxi delays, and Tesla’s sky-high 118x P/E, bears are driving this EV straight off a cliff.

    Let’s break it down with technical precision, deep fundamental analysis, and a few well-timed trading puns!

    📉 Why Has Tesla Dropped? More Than Just European Sales

    Tesla’s selloff is not just about Europe, it is a perfect storm of valuation, competition, and macro pressures,

    📈 Shrinking Margins, Tesla’s price cuts to outpace BYD’s $10K Seagull have crushed gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent, higher sales, lower profitability, a classic volume trap

    📈 FSD’s Great Wall Woes, China is not sold on Tesla’s camera-only approach. Baidu’s Apollo and XPeng’s LiDAR-heavy systems are ahead, and regulators remain skeptical. Bloomberg (Feb25) reports Tesla’s city-street FSD rollout is stalling, and NHTSA is probing Tesla’s FSD crash data in the U.S., call it a “Regulatory Roadblock.”

    📈 High Interest Rates, Low Demand, Higher borrowing costs are slamming EV affordability, making Tesla’s premium lineup a tougher sell. Without hybrid models, Tesla is more exposed than legacy automakers.

    📈 Robotaxi Delays, Musk’s Texas Robotaxi (Oct24) reveal hyped up the AI bulls, but without regulatory approval, it remains a PowerPoint promise, not revenue reality.

    💡 Bottom Line: Tesla’s 118x P/E is stretched tighter than a Tesla coil, without a catalyst, it is a short seller’s dream.

    🔄 What Could Spark a Tesla Rebound?

    Tesla is not out of moves yet, here is what could send it higher,

    📈 FSD’s AI Moat, Tesla’s 1.3 billion-plus real-world miles (ARK Invest, Oct24) create an autonomous driving data monopoly. If FSD V13 significantly improves, confidence could return fast.

    📈 Robotaxi Clarity, If Trump-era policies accelerate U.S. approvals, Tesla could fast-track unsupervised FSD rides. A confirmed regulatory green light would ignite a short squeeze.

    📈 Megapack & Energy Growth, Tesla’s energy storage segment (13.5 GWh H1 24, 50 percent-plus YoY growth) is flying under the radar. Morgan Stanley values this alone at $50 per share, yet it is not priced in.

    📈 Technical Bounce Setup, Tesla is approaching key support at $273 to $280, aligning with historical volume and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement.

    🚨 Without execution, these remain potential, not immediate, bullish drivers.

    📈 Tesla’s Technical Setup, Will $273 Hold, or Is $250 Next?

    Tesla’s chart screams caution, but Fibonacci suggests a potential bounce,

    📍 Current Price, $286.50, just $12 above the 61.8 percent retracement ($274.44).

    📍 Key Fibonacci Levels

       •   0.5 Retracement ($315.55), broken, bearish continuation confirmed.

       •   0.618 Retracement ($274.44), Tesla’s last major technical lifeline. If this holds, expect a bounce toward $315 to $350.

       •   Break Below, Next stop $250, aligning with historical volume clusters.

    📍 Elliott Wave Setup

       •   Tesla’s impulse wave remains intact, but this correction is testing the final support before a Wave 5 rally toward $600-plus.

    📍 RSI & Volume

       •   RSI is near 30 (oversold), historically, Tesla bounces from these conditions.

       •   No volume spike yet, watch for a surge on 28Feb25 or early next week at $273 to $280, if it does not show, expect further downside.

    💡 Tesla needs confirmation before calling this a bottom.

    💰 Options & Capital Flow, What Is Smart Money Doing?

    📊 Put Options Dominate, Traders are loading $270 & $250 puts, betting on further downside.

    📊 Call Interest, Low institutional appetite for calls signals uncertainty in a quick rebound.

    📊 Dark Pool Data, Institutions have not started accumulating, watch for buying volume near $280 to confirm smart money’s entry.

    💡 Options flow suggests caution, wait for confirmation.

    🤔 Should You Buy Tesla Now?

    ✅ For Traders

       •   Wait for a bullish signal at $273 to $280 (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI bounce, or volume spike) before jumping in.

       •   If $270 fails, expect $250 next, better risk-reward setup.

    📊 For Long-Term Investors

       •   If you believe in Tesla’s AI & Energy moat, $280 (or lower) is a solid long-term entry.

       •   But without Robotaxi revenue, Tesla’s 118x P/E remains a valuation risk.

    📉 Will Tesla Drop to $270? What Is Next?

    🚨 Probability, HIGH

       •   Momentum is bearish, and Tesla is only $13 from critical support.

       •   If $274.44 fails, expect a flush to $270, aligning with the lower end of the $273 to $280 zone, before potentially testing $250.

       •   Bounce Trigger, A close above $300 with high volume would confirm a reversal.

    📢 Final Verdict, Rebound or More Pain?

    📈 Short term, $273 to $280 is Tesla’s last major support zone, hold it, and we could see $350-plus. Break it, and $250 is next.

    📈 Long term, Tesla remains a dominant AI & energy player, but traders must manage risk tightly, this dip may not be the last.

    💡 Will Tesla hold $273 or crash to $250? Drop your take below!

    @TigerGPT:What Confirmation Signals Would Mark the End of Tesla’s Correction?

    📊 Bullish signals to watch for

    ✅ RSI crossing above 50, signals momentum shift.

    ✅ Volume surge near $280, shows smart money stepping in.

    ✅ Bullish engulfing candle, classic reversal pattern.

    📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow me for sharp setups, stock trends, and actionable insights! 🚀📈 Let’s trade smarter and grow together! 🍀🍀🍀

    Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀

    • breAkdaWn
      250 next? more like 520 soon! come on  President EM the king!!?
    • CatherineGunter
      With all these factors at play, it’s definitely a precarious situation for Tesla.
    • TigerGPT

      Based on the analysis of Tesla Motors (TSLA):

      Company OverviewTesla Motors is a global electric vehicle and clean energy company, specializing in the design, manufacturing, and sale of electric vehicles, energy storage products, and solar energy products. Tesla has been a pioneer in the electric vehicle industry and has achieved significant growth in recent years.

      Earnings ForecastAccording to the earnings forecast, for the fiscal year ending in 2025, analysts expect Tesla to have an estimated earnings per share (EPS) of $2.80, gross income of $111.31 billion, and forecasting EBIT of $9.91 billion. For the fiscal year ending in 2026, the estimated EPS is $3.73, gross income is $132.26 billion, and forecasting EBIT is $14.06 billion. These forecasts indicate potential growth for the company in the coming years.

      Analyst RecommendationsThere are a total of 45 analysts covering Tesla stock. Among them, 16 analysts recommend buying, 17 analysts recommend holding, 9 analysts recommend underperforming, and 4 analysts recommend selling. The analyst target price ranges from $24.86 to $550.0, with a mean estimate of $338.84.

      Capital Flow DataThe capital flow data over the past five days shows a net outflow of funds from Tesla. However, it's important to note that capital flow data can be volatile and should be taken into consideration along with other factors when making investment decisions.

      Support and Resistance PriceAs of February 26, 2025, the support price for Tesla is $289.04, and the resistance price is $420.04. These levels indicate potential price levels where buying or selling pressure may be stronger.

      Earnings ResultsThe latest earnings report for Tesla, for the fourth quarter of 2024, shows an EPS of $0.72, a return on equity (ROE) of 12.96%, and a gross profit margin of 16.26%. Other financial indicators, such as the quick ratio, current ratio, and net profit margin, can also provide insights into the company's financial performance.

      Stock PriceAs of February 28, 2025, the stock price of Tesla is $289.275.

      Please note that the above analysis is based on available information and should not be considered as investment advice. The stock market is subject to risks, and it is important to conduct thorough research and consider multiple factors before making any investment decisions.

      Risk Disclaimer: The information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in the stock market involves risks, including the loss of principal. Always perform your own research and consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.

    • TigerGPT

      Based on the available news and viewpoints, here are some key points regarding the movement of Tesla (TSLA) stock:

      Tesla's slide in stock price is attributed to concerns about global demand and the continued scrutiny of CEO Elon Musk's actions.

      Source: Do Nvidia earnings signal a bottom in 'Magnificent 7' stocks?  

        

      Tesla stock has experienced a significant decline, losing nearly all of its post-election gains.

      Source: Tesla Stock (TSLA) Has Now Lost Nearly All of Its Post-Election Gains  

        

      There are signs of a bottom forming for Tesla, with short targets becoming more unified and concentrated around $250. However, bearish sentiment has been hyped up in the market, with the emergence of extremely out-of-the-money put options.

      Source: Institutions Want to Use Nvidia's Earnings to Shake Out Retail Investors? Not a Chance!  

        

      Please note that these news articles provide insights into the factors influencing Tesla's stock movement. However, it's essential to conduct a comprehensive analysis, considering both technical and fundamental factors, before making any investment decisions.

      Risk Disclaimer: The information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. It is always prudent to consult with a financial advisor or do thorough research before making any investment decisions.

  • Queengirlypops
    02-27
    Queengirlypops
    //@Barcode:

    $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ 

    🚀 Tesla ($TSLA): The Fibonacci Freefall, Will $273 to $280 Hold or Is $250 Next? 🚀

    Tesla ($TSLA) has been sliding downhill faster than a Cybertruck on ice, now trading at $286.50 as of 28Feb25 🇳🇿, just $12 away from the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement ($274.44), or the “Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone.” After a 28 percent YTD drop and five consecutive red sessions, traders are debating,

    📍 Is this a golden Fibonacci buy-the-dip opportunity, or will $TSLA plunge straight into the $250 abyss before reversing?

    📊 With FSD’s struggles in China, Robotaxi delays, and Tesla’s sky-high 118x P/E, bears are driving this EV straight off a cliff.

    Let’s break it down with technical precision, deep fundamental analysis, and a few well-timed trading puns!

    📉 Why Has Tesla Dropped? More Than Just European Sales

    Tesla’s selloff is not just about Europe, it is a perfect storm of valuation, competition, and macro pressures,

    📈 Shrinking Margins, Tesla’s price cuts to outpace BYD’s $10K Seagull have crushed gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent, higher sales, lower profitability, a classic volume trap

    📈 FSD’s Great Wall Woes, China is not sold on Tesla’s camera-only approach. Baidu’s Apollo and XPeng’s LiDAR-heavy systems are ahead, and regulators remain skeptical. Bloomberg (Feb25) reports Tesla’s city-street FSD rollout is stalling, and NHTSA is probing Tesla’s FSD crash data in the U.S., call it a “Regulatory Roadblock.”

    📈 High Interest Rates, Low Demand, Higher borrowing costs are slamming EV affordability, making Tesla’s premium lineup a tougher sell. Without hybrid models, Tesla is more exposed than legacy automakers.

    📈 Robotaxi Delays, Musk’s Texas Robotaxi (Oct24) reveal hyped up the AI bulls, but without regulatory approval, it remains a PowerPoint promise, not revenue reality.

    💡 Bottom Line: Tesla’s 118x P/E is stretched tighter than a Tesla coil, without a catalyst, it is a short seller’s dream.

    🔄 What Could Spark a Tesla Rebound?

    Tesla is not out of moves yet, here is what could send it higher,

    📈 FSD’s AI Moat, Tesla’s 1.3 billion-plus real-world miles (ARK Invest, Oct24) create an autonomous driving data monopoly. If FSD V13 significantly improves, confidence could return fast.

    📈 Robotaxi Clarity, If Trump-era policies accelerate U.S. approvals, Tesla could fast-track unsupervised FSD rides. A confirmed regulatory green light would ignite a short squeeze.

    📈 Megapack & Energy Growth, Tesla’s energy storage segment (13.5 GWh H1 24, 50 percent-plus YoY growth) is flying under the radar. Morgan Stanley values this alone at $50 per share, yet it is not priced in.

    📈 Technical Bounce Setup, Tesla is approaching key support at $273 to $280, aligning with historical volume and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement.

    🚨 Without execution, these remain potential, not immediate, bullish drivers.

    📈 Tesla’s Technical Setup, Will $273 Hold, or Is $250 Next?

    Tesla’s chart screams caution, but Fibonacci suggests a potential bounce,

    📍 Current Price, $286.50, just $12 above the 61.8 percent retracement ($274.44).

    📍 Key Fibonacci Levels

       •   0.5 Retracement ($315.55), broken, bearish continuation confirmed.

       •   0.618 Retracement ($274.44), Tesla’s last major technical lifeline. If this holds, expect a bounce toward $315 to $350.

       •   Break Below, Next stop $250, aligning with historical volume clusters.

    📍 Elliott Wave Setup

       •   Tesla’s impulse wave remains intact, but this correction is testing the final support before a Wave 5 rally toward $600-plus.

    📍 RSI & Volume

       •   RSI is near 30 (oversold), historically, Tesla bounces from these conditions.

       •   No volume spike yet, watch for a surge on 28Feb25 or early next week at $273 to $280, if it does not show, expect further downside.

    💡 Tesla needs confirmation before calling this a bottom.

    💰 Options & Capital Flow, What Is Smart Money Doing?

    📊 Put Options Dominate, Traders are loading $270 & $250 puts, betting on further downside.

    📊 Call Interest, Low institutional appetite for calls signals uncertainty in a quick rebound.

    📊 Dark Pool Data, Institutions have not started accumulating, watch for buying volume near $280 to confirm smart money’s entry.

    💡 Options flow suggests caution, wait for confirmation.

    🤔 Should You Buy Tesla Now?

    ✅ For Traders

       •   Wait for a bullish signal at $273 to $280 (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI bounce, or volume spike) before jumping in.

       •   If $270 fails, expect $250 next, better risk-reward setup.

    📊 For Long-Term Investors

       •   If you believe in Tesla’s AI & Energy moat, $280 (or lower) is a solid long-term entry.

       •   But without Robotaxi revenue, Tesla’s 118x P/E remains a valuation risk.

    📉 Will Tesla Drop to $270? What Is Next?

    🚨 Probability, HIGH

       •   Momentum is bearish, and Tesla is only $13 from critical support.

       •   If $274.44 fails, expect a flush to $270, aligning with the lower end of the $273 to $280 zone, before potentially testing $250.

       •   Bounce Trigger, A close above $300 with high volume would confirm a reversal.

    📢 Final Verdict, Rebound or More Pain?

    📈 Short term, $273 to $280 is Tesla’s last major support zone, hold it, and we could see $350-plus. Break it, and $250 is next.

    📈 Long term, Tesla remains a dominant AI & energy player, but traders must manage risk tightly, this dip may not be the last.

    💡 Will Tesla hold $273 or crash to $250? Drop your take below!

    @TigerGPT:What Confirmation Signals Would Mark the End of Tesla’s Correction?

    📊 Bullish signals to watch for

    ✅ RSI crossing above 50, signals momentum shift.

    ✅ Volume surge near $280, shows smart money stepping in.

    ✅ Bullish engulfing candle, classic reversal pattern.

    📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow me for sharp setups, stock trends, and actionable insights! 🚀📈 Let’s trade smarter and grow together! 🍀🍀🍀

    Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀

    • TigerGPT

      Based on the information provided, Tesla ($TSLA) has been experiencing a significant decline in its stock price. The stock is currently trading at $286.50 (as of 28Feb25), just $12 away from the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement level at $274.44. This level is often considered a "Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone," where investors may see it as an opportunity to buy the stock at a lower price.

      The recent drop in Tesla's stock price can be attributed to several factors:

      Valuation concerns: Tesla's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is sky-high at 118x, which means the stock is trading at a premium compared to its earnings. This has led some investors to question its valuation and potentially sell off their positions.  

      Competitive pressure: Tesla is facing increased competition in the electric vehicle market from other manufacturers such as BYD. Tesla's price cuts, aimed at staying competitive, have impacted its gross margins, which have decreased from 25 percent to 17 percent.  

      Macro pressures: Macroeconomic factors, such as changing consumer preferences and regulatory changes, can also influence Tesla's stock price.  

      It's important to note that the decline in Tesla's stock price is not solely driven by European sales but rather a combination of various factors. Therefore, it is crucial to analyze these factors comprehensively when evaluating the stock's performance.

      In terms of technical analysis, the stock has retraced to a key technical support zone. From the April low of $140 to the December high of $488, the 61.8% retracement level is approximately $273.22. This range, along with the $275 to $280 range, is considered a strong technical support zone. Combining this with the Fibonacci retracement, it suggests that there may be strong buying interest in this range.

      However, it's important to consider the risks associated with investing in Tesla. The stock's price has been volatile in recent months, and there are concerns about the company's profitability and competition in the EV market. Investors should carefully assess these factors before making any investment decisions.

      In conclusion, the recent decline in Tesla's stock price presents both a buying opportunity and associated risks. It is essential to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. As always, it's recommended to consult with a financial advisor for personalized advice.

      (Note: The information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risks, and it's important to carefully consider your financial situation and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.)

    • TigerGPT

      Based on the information provided, let's analyze the current situation and outlook for Tesla ($TSLA).

      Current Price: Tesla is currently trading at $286.50 as of February 28, 2025. It is just $12 away from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $274.44, which is considered the "Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone."

        

      Recent Performance: Tesla has experienced a 28% Year-to-Date drop and five consecutive red sessions, indicating a downward trend in its stock price.

        

      Factors Influencing the Drop:

      a. FSD's Struggles in China: Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) feature has faced challenges in China, which might have contributed to the stock's decline.

      b. Robotaxi Delays: Delays in the development and launch of Tesla's Robotaxi service could have negatively impacted investor sentiment.

      c. Valuation Risk: Tesla's price cuts and higher sales have resulted in shrinking margins, with the gross margin dropping from 25% to 17%. Additionally, Tesla's P/E ratio of 118x remains high, presenting a valuation risk.

        

      Key Support Levels and Potential Scenario:

      a. Critical Support: The $273 to $280 range is Tesla's last major support zone. If this range holds, we could see a rebound towards $350 or higher.

      b. Bearish Scenario: If the $274.44 support level fails, Tesla may further decline towards $270 before potentially testing the $250 level.

        

      Confirmation Signals for Reversal:

      a. RSI Crossing Above 50: A bullish signal to watch for is the Relative Strength Index (RSI) crossing above 50, which indicates a shift in momentum.

      b. Volume Surge near $280: A significant increase in trading volume near the $280 level would suggest that smart money is stepping in, potentially indicating a reversal.

      c. Bullish Engulfing Candle: A bullish engulfing candlestick pattern, characterized by a strong bullish candle completely engulfing the previous bearish candle, is a classic reversal pattern to watch for.

        

      In conclusion, the current price level for Tesla ($TSLA) is approaching a critical support zone. If the $273 to $280 range holds, we could see a rebound towards $350 or higher. However, if the support level fails, the stock may decline further towards $270 and potentially even test the $250 level. Traders should monitor confirmation signals such as the RSI, volume surge, and candlestick patterns to assess the likelihood of a reversal.

      Remember, this analysis is based on technical and fundamental factors and should not be considered as investment advice. It is essential to conduct further research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

  • Kiwi Tigress
    02-27
    Kiwi Tigress
    //@Barcode:

    $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ 

    🚀 Tesla ($TSLA): The Fibonacci Freefall, Will $273 to $280 Hold or Is $250 Next? 🚀

    Tesla ($TSLA) has been sliding downhill faster than a Cybertruck on ice, now trading at $286.50 as of 28Feb25 🇳🇿, just $12 away from the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement ($274.44), or the “Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone.” After a 28 percent YTD drop and five consecutive red sessions, traders are debating,

    📍 Is this a golden Fibonacci buy-the-dip opportunity, or will $TSLA plunge straight into the $250 abyss before reversing?

    📊 With FSD’s struggles in China, Robotaxi delays, and Tesla’s sky-high 118x P/E, bears are driving this EV straight off a cliff.

    Let’s break it down with technical precision, deep fundamental analysis, and a few well-timed trading puns!

    📉 Why Has Tesla Dropped? More Than Just European Sales

    Tesla’s selloff is not just about Europe, it is a perfect storm of valuation, competition, and macro pressures,

    📈 Shrinking Margins, Tesla’s price cuts to outpace BYD’s $10K Seagull have crushed gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent, higher sales, lower profitability, a classic volume trap

    📈 FSD’s Great Wall Woes, China is not sold on Tesla’s camera-only approach. Baidu’s Apollo and XPeng’s LiDAR-heavy systems are ahead, and regulators remain skeptical. Bloomberg (Feb25) reports Tesla’s city-street FSD rollout is stalling, and NHTSA is probing Tesla’s FSD crash data in the U.S., call it a “Regulatory Roadblock.”

    📈 High Interest Rates, Low Demand, Higher borrowing costs are slamming EV affordability, making Tesla’s premium lineup a tougher sell. Without hybrid models, Tesla is more exposed than legacy automakers.

    📈 Robotaxi Delays, Musk’s Texas Robotaxi (Oct24) reveal hyped up the AI bulls, but without regulatory approval, it remains a PowerPoint promise, not revenue reality.

    💡 Bottom Line: Tesla’s 118x P/E is stretched tighter than a Tesla coil, without a catalyst, it is a short seller’s dream.

    🔄 What Could Spark a Tesla Rebound?

    Tesla is not out of moves yet, here is what could send it higher,

    📈 FSD’s AI Moat, Tesla’s 1.3 billion-plus real-world miles (ARK Invest, Oct24) create an autonomous driving data monopoly. If FSD V13 significantly improves, confidence could return fast.

    📈 Robotaxi Clarity, If Trump-era policies accelerate U.S. approvals, Tesla could fast-track unsupervised FSD rides. A confirmed regulatory green light would ignite a short squeeze.

    📈 Megapack & Energy Growth, Tesla’s energy storage segment (13.5 GWh H1 24, 50 percent-plus YoY growth) is flying under the radar. Morgan Stanley values this alone at $50 per share, yet it is not priced in.

    📈 Technical Bounce Setup, Tesla is approaching key support at $273 to $280, aligning with historical volume and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement.

    🚨 Without execution, these remain potential, not immediate, bullish drivers.

    📈 Tesla’s Technical Setup, Will $273 Hold, or Is $250 Next?

    Tesla’s chart screams caution, but Fibonacci suggests a potential bounce,

    📍 Current Price, $286.50, just $12 above the 61.8 percent retracement ($274.44).

    📍 Key Fibonacci Levels

       •   0.5 Retracement ($315.55), broken, bearish continuation confirmed.

       •   0.618 Retracement ($274.44), Tesla’s last major technical lifeline. If this holds, expect a bounce toward $315 to $350.

       •   Break Below, Next stop $250, aligning with historical volume clusters.

    📍 Elliott Wave Setup

       •   Tesla’s impulse wave remains intact, but this correction is testing the final support before a Wave 5 rally toward $600-plus.

    📍 RSI & Volume

       •   RSI is near 30 (oversold), historically, Tesla bounces from these conditions.

       •   No volume spike yet, watch for a surge on 28Feb25 or early next week at $273 to $280, if it does not show, expect further downside.

    💡 Tesla needs confirmation before calling this a bottom.

    💰 Options & Capital Flow, What Is Smart Money Doing?

    📊 Put Options Dominate, Traders are loading $270 & $250 puts, betting on further downside.

    📊 Call Interest, Low institutional appetite for calls signals uncertainty in a quick rebound.

    📊 Dark Pool Data, Institutions have not started accumulating, watch for buying volume near $280 to confirm smart money’s entry.

    💡 Options flow suggests caution, wait for confirmation.

    🤔 Should You Buy Tesla Now?

    ✅ For Traders

       •   Wait for a bullish signal at $273 to $280 (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI bounce, or volume spike) before jumping in.

       •   If $270 fails, expect $250 next, better risk-reward setup.

    📊 For Long-Term Investors

       •   If you believe in Tesla’s AI & Energy moat, $280 (or lower) is a solid long-term entry.

       •   But without Robotaxi revenue, Tesla’s 118x P/E remains a valuation risk.

    📉 Will Tesla Drop to $270? What Is Next?

    🚨 Probability, HIGH

       •   Momentum is bearish, and Tesla is only $13 from critical support.

       •   If $274.44 fails, expect a flush to $270, aligning with the lower end of the $273 to $280 zone, before potentially testing $250.

       •   Bounce Trigger, A close above $300 with high volume would confirm a reversal.

    📢 Final Verdict, Rebound or More Pain?

    📈 Short term, $273 to $280 is Tesla’s last major support zone, hold it, and we could see $350-plus. Break it, and $250 is next.

    📈 Long term, Tesla remains a dominant AI & energy player, but traders must manage risk tightly, this dip may not be the last.

    💡 Will Tesla hold $273 or crash to $250? Drop your take below!

    @TigerGPT:What Confirmation Signals Would Mark the End of Tesla’s Correction?

    📊 Bullish signals to watch for

    ✅ RSI crossing above 50, signals momentum shift.

    ✅ Volume surge near $280, shows smart money stepping in.

    ✅ Bullish engulfing candle, classic reversal pattern.

    📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow me for sharp setups, stock trends, and actionable insights! 🚀📈 Let’s trade smarter and grow together! 🍀🍀🍀

    Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀

    • TigerGPT

      Based on the provided information, Tesla ($TSLA) has experienced a significant decline, currently trading at $286.50 as of February 28, 2025. Traders and investors are debating whether this decline presents a "golden Fibonacci buy-the-dip opportunity" or if the stock will continue to drop towards the $250 level.

      There are several factors contributing to Tesla's decline, including concerns about Full Self-Driving (FSD) struggles in China, delays in Robotaxi implementation, and the stock's high P/E ratio of 118x. Additionally, Tesla's gross margins have been affected by price cuts and increased competition, which has led to a decrease from 25% to 17%.

      The probability of Tesla dropping to $270 is considered high. If the critical support level at $274.44 fails, a further decline to $270 is anticipated. However, if Tesla manages to rebound and close above $300 with high volume, it could indicate a reversal in trend.

      In the short term, the $273 to $280 range is considered Tesla's last major support zone. If this zone holds, a potential increase to $350 or higher could be seen. On the other hand, if the support zone is broken, the stock may continue to drop towards $250.

      It is important to note that while Tesla remains a dominant player in the AI and energy sectors, traders should manage their risks carefully, as this recent dip may not be the last.

      Confirmation signals to watch for the end of Tesla's correction include RSI crossing above 50, a volume surge near $280 indicating smart money entering the market, and a bullish engulfing candle, which is a classic reversal pattern.

      It is always advisable to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

    • TigerGPT

      The recent movement in Tesla ($TSLA) stock can be attributed to several factors:

      FSD's struggles in China: There have been reports suggesting the possibility of a price reduction for Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) feature in China. This has caused some controversy and disappointment among users.

        

      Shrinking Margins: Tesla's price cuts to outpace competitor BYD's $10K Seagull have resulted in a decline in gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent. This has raised concerns about profitability.

        

      Macro Pressures: Tesla's selloff is not solely related to Europe. It is a combination of valuation, competition, and macroeconomic pressures. These factors have contributed to the decline in stock price.

        

      It's important to note that no significant movement reason has been found at the moment. The stock's movement might be influenced by stock capital flow. The capital flow data for Tesla on February 28, 2025, shows a total inflow of $7.403 billion and a total outflow of $7.698 billion.

      The stock price of Tesla on February 28, 2025, was $287.135. The high for the day was $297.23, and the low was $280.88. The trading value for the day was $20.80 billion.

      It's recommended to consider these factors and conduct further analysis before making any investment decisions.

      Sources:

      News summary on Tesla's movement  

      News summary on Tesla's movement  

      News summary on Tesla's movement  

      News summary on Tesla and Nvidia  

      News summary on Tesla's entry into China  

      News summary: Nvidia earnings and 'Magnificent 7' stocks  

      News summary: Tesla's post-election gains  

      News summary: Institutional investors and Tesla  

      News summary: Tesla's valuation and AI  

      News summary: Tesla's stock decline  

      Risk disclaimer: This information is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.

  • Cool Cat Winston
    02-27
    Cool Cat Winston
    //@Barcode:

    $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ 

    🚀 Tesla ($TSLA): The Fibonacci Freefall, Will $273 to $280 Hold or Is $250 Next? 🚀

    Tesla ($TSLA) has been sliding downhill faster than a Cybertruck on ice, now trading at $286.50 as of 28Feb25 🇳🇿, just $12 away from the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement ($274.44), or the “Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone.” After a 28 percent YTD drop and five consecutive red sessions, traders are debating,

    📍 Is this a golden Fibonacci buy-the-dip opportunity, or will $TSLA plunge straight into the $250 abyss before reversing?

    📊 With FSD’s struggles in China, Robotaxi delays, and Tesla’s sky-high 118x P/E, bears are driving this EV straight off a cliff.

    Let’s break it down with technical precision, deep fundamental analysis, and a few well-timed trading puns!

    📉 Why Has Tesla Dropped? More Than Just European Sales

    Tesla’s selloff is not just about Europe, it is a perfect storm of valuation, competition, and macro pressures,

    📈 Shrinking Margins, Tesla’s price cuts to outpace BYD’s $10K Seagull have crushed gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent, higher sales, lower profitability, a classic volume trap

    📈 FSD’s Great Wall Woes, China is not sold on Tesla’s camera-only approach. Baidu’s Apollo and XPeng’s LiDAR-heavy systems are ahead, and regulators remain skeptical. Bloomberg (Feb25) reports Tesla’s city-street FSD rollout is stalling, and NHTSA is probing Tesla’s FSD crash data in the U.S., call it a “Regulatory Roadblock.”

    📈 High Interest Rates, Low Demand, Higher borrowing costs are slamming EV affordability, making Tesla’s premium lineup a tougher sell. Without hybrid models, Tesla is more exposed than legacy automakers.

    📈 Robotaxi Delays, Musk’s Texas Robotaxi (Oct24) reveal hyped up the AI bulls, but without regulatory approval, it remains a PowerPoint promise, not revenue reality.

    💡 Bottom Line: Tesla’s 118x P/E is stretched tighter than a Tesla coil, without a catalyst, it is a short seller’s dream.

    🔄 What Could Spark a Tesla Rebound?

    Tesla is not out of moves yet, here is what could send it higher,

    📈 FSD’s AI Moat, Tesla’s 1.3 billion-plus real-world miles (ARK Invest, Oct24) create an autonomous driving data monopoly. If FSD V13 significantly improves, confidence could return fast.

    📈 Robotaxi Clarity, If Trump-era policies accelerate U.S. approvals, Tesla could fast-track unsupervised FSD rides. A confirmed regulatory green light would ignite a short squeeze.

    📈 Megapack & Energy Growth, Tesla’s energy storage segment (13.5 GWh H1 24, 50 percent-plus YoY growth) is flying under the radar. Morgan Stanley values this alone at $50 per share, yet it is not priced in.

    📈 Technical Bounce Setup, Tesla is approaching key support at $273 to $280, aligning with historical volume and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement.

    🚨 Without execution, these remain potential, not immediate, bullish drivers.

    📈 Tesla’s Technical Setup, Will $273 Hold, or Is $250 Next?

    Tesla’s chart screams caution, but Fibonacci suggests a potential bounce,

    📍 Current Price, $286.50, just $12 above the 61.8 percent retracement ($274.44).

    📍 Key Fibonacci Levels

       •   0.5 Retracement ($315.55), broken, bearish continuation confirmed.

       •   0.618 Retracement ($274.44), Tesla’s last major technical lifeline. If this holds, expect a bounce toward $315 to $350.

       •   Break Below, Next stop $250, aligning with historical volume clusters.

    📍 Elliott Wave Setup

       •   Tesla’s impulse wave remains intact, but this correction is testing the final support before a Wave 5 rally toward $600-plus.

    📍 RSI & Volume

       •   RSI is near 30 (oversold), historically, Tesla bounces from these conditions.

       •   No volume spike yet, watch for a surge on 28Feb25 or early next week at $273 to $280, if it does not show, expect further downside.

    💡 Tesla needs confirmation before calling this a bottom.

    💰 Options & Capital Flow, What Is Smart Money Doing?

    📊 Put Options Dominate, Traders are loading $270 & $250 puts, betting on further downside.

    📊 Call Interest, Low institutional appetite for calls signals uncertainty in a quick rebound.

    📊 Dark Pool Data, Institutions have not started accumulating, watch for buying volume near $280 to confirm smart money’s entry.

    💡 Options flow suggests caution, wait for confirmation.

    🤔 Should You Buy Tesla Now?

    ✅ For Traders

       •   Wait for a bullish signal at $273 to $280 (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI bounce, or volume spike) before jumping in.

       •   If $270 fails, expect $250 next, better risk-reward setup.

    📊 For Long-Term Investors

       •   If you believe in Tesla’s AI & Energy moat, $280 (or lower) is a solid long-term entry.

       •   But without Robotaxi revenue, Tesla’s 118x P/E remains a valuation risk.

    📉 Will Tesla Drop to $270? What Is Next?

    🚨 Probability, HIGH

       •   Momentum is bearish, and Tesla is only $13 from critical support.

       •   If $274.44 fails, expect a flush to $270, aligning with the lower end of the $273 to $280 zone, before potentially testing $250.

       •   Bounce Trigger, A close above $300 with high volume would confirm a reversal.

    📢 Final Verdict, Rebound or More Pain?

    📈 Short term, $273 to $280 is Tesla’s last major support zone, hold it, and we could see $350-plus. Break it, and $250 is next.

    📈 Long term, Tesla remains a dominant AI & energy player, but traders must manage risk tightly, this dip may not be the last.

    💡 Will Tesla hold $273 or crash to $250? Drop your take below!

    @TigerGPT:What Confirmation Signals Would Mark the End of Tesla’s Correction?

    📊 Bullish signals to watch for

    ✅ RSI crossing above 50, signals momentum shift.

    ✅ Volume surge near $280, shows smart money stepping in.

    ✅ Bullish engulfing candle, classic reversal pattern.

    📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow me for sharp setups, stock trends, and actionable insights! 🚀📈 Let’s trade smarter and grow together! 🍀🍀🍀

    Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀

    • TigerGPT

      Analysis of Tesla Motors (TSLA):

      Business Overview: Tesla Motors operates in the automotive industry, specializing in electric vehicles and energy products. With its innovative technology and sustainable approach, Tesla has become a dominant player in the AI and energy sectors. The company has a strong brand presence and a wide range of products, including models like Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y.

        

      Earnings and Forecast: According to earnings forecasts, Tesla is expected to have an EPS (earnings per share) of $2.80 for the fiscal year 2025, with a forecasted gross income of $111.31 billion and an estimated EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) of $9.91 billion. The forecasts indicate potential growth in the company's financial performance.

        

      Analyst Recommendations: Based on analyst recommendations, there are 7 "recommend" ratings, 16 "buy" ratings, 17 "hold" ratings, 9 "underperform" ratings, and 4 "sell" ratings for Tesla stock. These recommendations represent varying opinions on the stock's potential performance.

        

      Analyst Target Price: A consensus of 45 analysts forecast a mean target price of $338.84 for Tesla stock. The low and high target estimates are $24.86 and $550.00, respectively. These target prices provide insights into the market's expectations for the stock's future price.

        

      Capital Flow: Over the past five days, Tesla has experienced a net outflow of capital. The total outflow during this period amounts to approximately $1.08 billion. Capital flow data reflects investor sentiment and can impact stock prices.

        

      Profitability Ratio: The current profit ratio for Tesla is 0.6381 as of February 26, 2025. This ratio indicates the company's profitability and its ability to generate profits from its operations.

        

      Support and Resistance Price: As of February 26, 2025, the support price for Tesla is $289.04, while the resistance price is $420.04. These levels represent price points where the stock may see increased buying or selling activity.

        

      Latest Earnings Results: In the fourth quarter of 2024, Tesla reported an EPS of $0.72, a return on equity (ROE) of 12.96%, and a gross profit margin of 16.26%. These financial indicators provide insights into the company's financial health and performance.

        

      Stock Price: As of February 28, 2025, Tesla's stock price is $289.875.

        

      In summary, Tesla remains a dominant player in the AI and energy sectors. The company's earnings forecasts show potential future growth. Analyst recommendations and target prices reflect varying opinions on the stock's potential performance. Monitoring capital flow can provide insights into investor sentiment. It is essential to consider all of these factors and conduct independent analysis before making any investment decisions.

      Please note that the above analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The stock market carries inherent risks, and stock prices can fluctuate. It is recommended to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

    • TigerGPT

      Based on the information provided, Tesla's stock price has been declining and is currently trading at $286.50. Traders are debating whether this decline presents a buying opportunity or if the stock will continue to drop to the $250 level.

      The drop in Tesla's stock price can be attributed to various factors. Firstly, there are concerns about Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, including its struggles in China and delays in the rollout of Robotaxi. Additionally, Tesla's high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 118x has raised valuation concerns among investors.

      Furthermore, Tesla's gross margins have been affected by price cuts made to compete with BYD's $10K Seagull. This has led to a decrease in gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent. However, it's worth noting that Tesla's Autopilot system has demonstrated its ability to drive in complex urban environments using only seven cameras and without radar, LIDAR, or high-definition maps. Tesla's advantage in terms of autonomous driving data may continue to grow, which could impact its stock price in the future.

      From a technical analysis perspective, there is a strong technical support zone for Tesla's stock price in the range of $273 to $280. This range aligns with the Fibonacci retracement level of 61.8 percent, based on the stock's movement from the April low of $140 to the December high of $488. Therefore, there may be strong buying interest in this range, considering Tesla's continuous adjustments in recent weeks and the expectation of further downward pressure.

      As an AI analyst, I cannot provide personalized investment advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. It is also recommended to consult with a financial advisor who can provide tailored advice based on your individual circumstances and risk tolerance.

      Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risks, and it is crucial to carefully evaluate the potential risks and rewards before making any investment decisions.

  • Hen Solo
    02-27
    Hen Solo
    //@Barcode:

    $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ 

    🚀 Tesla ($TSLA): The Fibonacci Freefall, Will $273 to $280 Hold or Is $250 Next? 🚀

    Tesla ($TSLA) has been sliding downhill faster than a Cybertruck on ice, now trading at $286.50 as of 28Feb25 🇳🇿, just $12 away from the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement ($274.44), or the “Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone.” After a 28 percent YTD drop and five consecutive red sessions, traders are debating,

    📍 Is this a golden Fibonacci buy-the-dip opportunity, or will $TSLA plunge straight into the $250 abyss before reversing?

    📊 With FSD’s struggles in China, Robotaxi delays, and Tesla’s sky-high 118x P/E, bears are driving this EV straight off a cliff.

    Let’s break it down with technical precision, deep fundamental analysis, and a few well-timed trading puns!

    📉 Why Has Tesla Dropped? More Than Just European Sales

    Tesla’s selloff is not just about Europe, it is a perfect storm of valuation, competition, and macro pressures,

    📈 Shrinking Margins, Tesla’s price cuts to outpace BYD’s $10K Seagull have crushed gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent, higher sales, lower profitability, a classic volume trap

    📈 FSD’s Great Wall Woes, China is not sold on Tesla’s camera-only approach. Baidu’s Apollo and XPeng’s LiDAR-heavy systems are ahead, and regulators remain skeptical. Bloomberg (Feb25) reports Tesla’s city-street FSD rollout is stalling, and NHTSA is probing Tesla’s FSD crash data in the U.S., call it a “Regulatory Roadblock.”

    📈 High Interest Rates, Low Demand, Higher borrowing costs are slamming EV affordability, making Tesla’s premium lineup a tougher sell. Without hybrid models, Tesla is more exposed than legacy automakers.

    📈 Robotaxi Delays, Musk’s Texas Robotaxi (Oct24) reveal hyped up the AI bulls, but without regulatory approval, it remains a PowerPoint promise, not revenue reality.

    💡 Bottom Line: Tesla’s 118x P/E is stretched tighter than a Tesla coil, without a catalyst, it is a short seller’s dream.

    🔄 What Could Spark a Tesla Rebound?

    Tesla is not out of moves yet, here is what could send it higher,

    📈 FSD’s AI Moat, Tesla’s 1.3 billion-plus real-world miles (ARK Invest, Oct24) create an autonomous driving data monopoly. If FSD V13 significantly improves, confidence could return fast.

    📈 Robotaxi Clarity, If Trump-era policies accelerate U.S. approvals, Tesla could fast-track unsupervised FSD rides. A confirmed regulatory green light would ignite a short squeeze.

    📈 Megapack & Energy Growth, Tesla’s energy storage segment (13.5 GWh H1 24, 50 percent-plus YoY growth) is flying under the radar. Morgan Stanley values this alone at $50 per share, yet it is not priced in.

    📈 Technical Bounce Setup, Tesla is approaching key support at $273 to $280, aligning with historical volume and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement.

    🚨 Without execution, these remain potential, not immediate, bullish drivers.

    📈 Tesla’s Technical Setup, Will $273 Hold, or Is $250 Next?

    Tesla’s chart screams caution, but Fibonacci suggests a potential bounce,

    📍 Current Price, $286.50, just $12 above the 61.8 percent retracement ($274.44).

    📍 Key Fibonacci Levels

       •   0.5 Retracement ($315.55), broken, bearish continuation confirmed.

       •   0.618 Retracement ($274.44), Tesla’s last major technical lifeline. If this holds, expect a bounce toward $315 to $350.

       •   Break Below, Next stop $250, aligning with historical volume clusters.

    📍 Elliott Wave Setup

       •   Tesla’s impulse wave remains intact, but this correction is testing the final support before a Wave 5 rally toward $600-plus.

    📍 RSI & Volume

       •   RSI is near 30 (oversold), historically, Tesla bounces from these conditions.

       •   No volume spike yet, watch for a surge on 28Feb25 or early next week at $273 to $280, if it does not show, expect further downside.

    💡 Tesla needs confirmation before calling this a bottom.

    💰 Options & Capital Flow, What Is Smart Money Doing?

    📊 Put Options Dominate, Traders are loading $270 & $250 puts, betting on further downside.

    📊 Call Interest, Low institutional appetite for calls signals uncertainty in a quick rebound.

    📊 Dark Pool Data, Institutions have not started accumulating, watch for buying volume near $280 to confirm smart money’s entry.

    💡 Options flow suggests caution, wait for confirmation.

    🤔 Should You Buy Tesla Now?

    ✅ For Traders

       •   Wait for a bullish signal at $273 to $280 (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI bounce, or volume spike) before jumping in.

       •   If $270 fails, expect $250 next, better risk-reward setup.

    📊 For Long-Term Investors

       •   If you believe in Tesla’s AI & Energy moat, $280 (or lower) is a solid long-term entry.

       •   But without Robotaxi revenue, Tesla’s 118x P/E remains a valuation risk.

    📉 Will Tesla Drop to $270? What Is Next?

    🚨 Probability, HIGH

       •   Momentum is bearish, and Tesla is only $13 from critical support.

       •   If $274.44 fails, expect a flush to $270, aligning with the lower end of the $273 to $280 zone, before potentially testing $250.

       •   Bounce Trigger, A close above $300 with high volume would confirm a reversal.

    📢 Final Verdict, Rebound or More Pain?

    📈 Short term, $273 to $280 is Tesla’s last major support zone, hold it, and we could see $350-plus. Break it, and $250 is next.

    📈 Long term, Tesla remains a dominant AI & energy player, but traders must manage risk tightly, this dip may not be the last.

    💡 Will Tesla hold $273 or crash to $250? Drop your take below!

    @TigerGPT:What Confirmation Signals Would Mark the End of Tesla’s Correction?

    📊 Bullish signals to watch for

    ✅ RSI crossing above 50, signals momentum shift.

    ✅ Volume surge near $280, shows smart money stepping in.

    ✅ Bullish engulfing candle, classic reversal pattern.

    📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow me for sharp setups, stock trends, and actionable insights! 🚀📈 Let’s trade smarter and grow together! 🍀🍀🍀

    Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀

    • TigerGPT

      Based on the provided information, Tesla ($TSLA) has experienced a significant decline in its stock price and is currently trading at $286.50 as of February 28, 2025. The stock is nearing the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $274.44, which is considered a "Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone." Traders are debating whether this is a buying opportunity or if the stock will continue to decline towards $250.

      There are several factors contributing to Tesla's drop, including challenges with Full Self-Driving (FSD) in China, delays in the Robotaxi program, and Tesla's high price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 118x. These factors have raised concerns among investors and contributed to the bearish sentiment towards the stock.

      In terms of technical analysis, the momentum is bearish, and Tesla is only $13 away from critical support. If the $274.44 support level fails to hold, the stock could potentially drop to $270, aligning with the lower end of the $273 to $280 support zone. A close above $300 with high volume would be a bullish signal and could indicate a reversal.

      The short-term outlook for Tesla depends on whether the $273 to $280 support zone holds. If it does, the stock could potentially rebound to $350 or higher. However, if the support zone is broken, the next support level to watch is $250. In the long term, Tesla remains a dominant player in the AI and energy sectors, but traders should manage their risk carefully as this dip may not be the last.

      Confirmation signals that could mark the end of Tesla's correction include the RSI crossing above 50, indicating a shift in momentum, a volume surge near $280, indicating smart money stepping in, and a bullish engulfing candle, which is a classic reversal pattern.

      Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and analysis and consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.

      Source:TradingView

    • TigerGPT

      The recent decline in Tesla (TSLA) stock can be attributed to several factors:

      Valuation Concerns: Tesla's high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, which is currently at around 118x, has raised concerns among investors. The company's sky-high valuation has put pressure on the stock, as some investors believe it is overvalued.

        

      Competition and Macro Pressures: Tesla is facing increased competition in the electric vehicle (EV) market, which has impacted investor sentiment. Additionally, macroeconomic pressures and market trends can also influence the stock's performance.

        

      Sales Concerns: There have been concerns about Tesla's sales performance, particularly in Europe. The company's price cuts to outpace competitors, such as BYD's $10K Seagull, have impacted gross margins and raised questions about the company's profitability.

        

      Technical Analysis: From a technical perspective, Tesla's stock has reached a critical support zone in the range of $273 to $280, which is considered a strong technical support level. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, around $273.22, adds to the significance of this support zone.

        

      Market Sentiment: The sentiment around Tesla's stock has been mixed, with both bullish and bearish views. Some institutions and retail investors have taken bearish positions, including purchasing out-of-the-money put options, while others see the current price level as a potential buying opportunity.

        

      It is important to note that stock prices are influenced by a variety of factors, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It is essential to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

      Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in the stock market involves risks, and it is recommended to consult with a financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions.

  • Tui Jude
    02-27
    Tui Jude
    //@Barcode:

    $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ 

    🚀 Tesla ($TSLA): The Fibonacci Freefall, Will $273 to $280 Hold or Is $250 Next? 🚀

    Tesla ($TSLA) has been sliding downhill faster than a Cybertruck on ice, now trading at $286.50 as of 28Feb25 🇳🇿, just $12 away from the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement ($274.44), or the “Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone.” After a 28 percent YTD drop and five consecutive red sessions, traders are debating,

    📍 Is this a golden Fibonacci buy-the-dip opportunity, or will $TSLA plunge straight into the $250 abyss before reversing?

    📊 With FSD’s struggles in China, Robotaxi delays, and Tesla’s sky-high 118x P/E, bears are driving this EV straight off a cliff.

    Let’s break it down with technical precision, deep fundamental analysis, and a few well-timed trading puns!

    📉 Why Has Tesla Dropped? More Than Just European Sales

    Tesla’s selloff is not just about Europe, it is a perfect storm of valuation, competition, and macro pressures,

    📈 Shrinking Margins, Tesla’s price cuts to outpace BYD’s $10K Seagull have crushed gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent, higher sales, lower profitability, a classic volume trap

    📈 FSD’s Great Wall Woes, China is not sold on Tesla’s camera-only approach. Baidu’s Apollo and XPeng’s LiDAR-heavy systems are ahead, and regulators remain skeptical. Bloomberg (Feb25) reports Tesla’s city-street FSD rollout is stalling, and NHTSA is probing Tesla’s FSD crash data in the U.S., call it a “Regulatory Roadblock.”

    📈 High Interest Rates, Low Demand, Higher borrowing costs are slamming EV affordability, making Tesla’s premium lineup a tougher sell. Without hybrid models, Tesla is more exposed than legacy automakers.

    📈 Robotaxi Delays, Musk’s Texas Robotaxi (Oct24) reveal hyped up the AI bulls, but without regulatory approval, it remains a PowerPoint promise, not revenue reality.

    💡 Bottom Line: Tesla’s 118x P/E is stretched tighter than a Tesla coil, without a catalyst, it is a short seller’s dream.

    🔄 What Could Spark a Tesla Rebound?

    Tesla is not out of moves yet, here is what could send it higher,

    📈 FSD’s AI Moat, Tesla’s 1.3 billion-plus real-world miles (ARK Invest, Oct24) create an autonomous driving data monopoly. If FSD V13 significantly improves, confidence could return fast.

    📈 Robotaxi Clarity, If Trump-era policies accelerate U.S. approvals, Tesla could fast-track unsupervised FSD rides. A confirmed regulatory green light would ignite a short squeeze.

    📈 Megapack & Energy Growth, Tesla’s energy storage segment (13.5 GWh H1 24, 50 percent-plus YoY growth) is flying under the radar. Morgan Stanley values this alone at $50 per share, yet it is not priced in.

    📈 Technical Bounce Setup, Tesla is approaching key support at $273 to $280, aligning with historical volume and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement.

    🚨 Without execution, these remain potential, not immediate, bullish drivers.

    📈 Tesla’s Technical Setup, Will $273 Hold, or Is $250 Next?

    Tesla’s chart screams caution, but Fibonacci suggests a potential bounce,

    📍 Current Price, $286.50, just $12 above the 61.8 percent retracement ($274.44).

    📍 Key Fibonacci Levels

       •   0.5 Retracement ($315.55), broken, bearish continuation confirmed.

       •   0.618 Retracement ($274.44), Tesla’s last major technical lifeline. If this holds, expect a bounce toward $315 to $350.

       •   Break Below, Next stop $250, aligning with historical volume clusters.

    📍 Elliott Wave Setup

       •   Tesla’s impulse wave remains intact, but this correction is testing the final support before a Wave 5 rally toward $600-plus.

    📍 RSI & Volume

       •   RSI is near 30 (oversold), historically, Tesla bounces from these conditions.

       •   No volume spike yet, watch for a surge on 28Feb25 or early next week at $273 to $280, if it does not show, expect further downside.

    💡 Tesla needs confirmation before calling this a bottom.

    💰 Options & Capital Flow, What Is Smart Money Doing?

    📊 Put Options Dominate, Traders are loading $270 & $250 puts, betting on further downside.

    📊 Call Interest, Low institutional appetite for calls signals uncertainty in a quick rebound.

    📊 Dark Pool Data, Institutions have not started accumulating, watch for buying volume near $280 to confirm smart money’s entry.

    💡 Options flow suggests caution, wait for confirmation.

    🤔 Should You Buy Tesla Now?

    ✅ For Traders

       •   Wait for a bullish signal at $273 to $280 (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI bounce, or volume spike) before jumping in.

       •   If $270 fails, expect $250 next, better risk-reward setup.

    📊 For Long-Term Investors

       •   If you believe in Tesla’s AI & Energy moat, $280 (or lower) is a solid long-term entry.

       •   But without Robotaxi revenue, Tesla’s 118x P/E remains a valuation risk.

    📉 Will Tesla Drop to $270? What Is Next?

    🚨 Probability, HIGH

       •   Momentum is bearish, and Tesla is only $13 from critical support.

       •   If $274.44 fails, expect a flush to $270, aligning with the lower end of the $273 to $280 zone, before potentially testing $250.

       •   Bounce Trigger, A close above $300 with high volume would confirm a reversal.

    📢 Final Verdict, Rebound or More Pain?

    📈 Short term, $273 to $280 is Tesla’s last major support zone, hold it, and we could see $350-plus. Break it, and $250 is next.

    📈 Long term, Tesla remains a dominant AI & energy player, but traders must manage risk tightly, this dip may not be the last.

    💡 Will Tesla hold $273 or crash to $250? Drop your take below!

    @TigerGPT:What Confirmation Signals Would Mark the End of Tesla’s Correction?

    📊 Bullish signals to watch for

    ✅ RSI crossing above 50, signals momentum shift.

    ✅ Volume surge near $280, shows smart money stepping in.

    ✅ Bullish engulfing candle, classic reversal pattern.

    📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow me for sharp setups, stock trends, and actionable insights! 🚀📈 Let’s trade smarter and grow together! 🍀🍀🍀

    Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀

    • TigerGPT

      Based on the available information, there are several news articles related to Tesla Motors on February 28, 2025. Here are a few key points from the articles:

      Tesla is seeking approval to offer ride-hailing services in California, which could be a significant step for the company to expand its business beyond traditional car sales. Source

        

      Tesla's performance in 2024 showed a decline in revenue and EBITDA, mainly attributed to price cuts and competition in the European electric vehicle market. However, long-term growth opportunities lie in the autonomous vehicle market. Source

        

      There were speculations that Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla, might acquire Nissan's American assets. However, Musk clarified that Tesla will not acquire Nissan, focusing instead on Tesla's robotaxi initiative. Source

        

      The Chinese startup DeepSeek has gained attention by offering an AI reasoning model, with several Chinese companies and organizations integrating it into their products and services. This suggests faster AI development and adoption in China. Source

        

      Please note that the provided information is a summary of the key points from the news articles. For more detailed information, you can click on the provided links.

      Please be aware that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and it is essential to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

    • TigerGPT

      Based on the information available, it seems that there are no specific news articles or data available to analyze the recent movement of Tesla (TSLA) stock. The movement of the stock may be influenced by various factors including market sentiment, investor speculation, and overall market conditions. It is important to note that stock prices are subject to volatility and can be affected by multiple factors.

      As an AI financial analyst, I would advise investors to conduct thorough research and analysis, consider their risk tolerance, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Leave a comment
32
83