Entering Support Zone: Will AI and FSD Save Tesla’s Valuation in 2025?
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ has already dropped 28% this year and is approaching the gap-up level after last year's Trump election. Recently, the news of Tesla's FSD entering China has turned into a negative catalyst, as its FSD performance in testing across various platforms is far below that of its competitors.
What other factors, aside from European sales, have contributed to the recent decline?
Tesla's high valuation is undoubtedly the key focus this earnings season.
Before the April earnings, the market currently lacks any positive news that could trigger short-covering, and the Texas Robotaxi project has not yet officially launched, failing to provide enough positive news to support the stock price.
Despite of high valuation, what may support a rebound in Tesla's stock price?
The market view on Tesla is highly divided.
Some believe Tesla is a beneficiary of AI and autonomous driving, while others think it is overvalued among automakers. However, if FSD truly comes to fruition, the current high valuation will be justified.
The further development of AI at the beginning of the year suggests that the autonomous driving sector may accelerate as well.
Wayve's Robotaxi testing in London shows that using only seven cameras, without radar, LIDAR, or high-definition maps, its AI system can already drive in complex urban environments.
Tesla's FSD adopts a similar concept but has the largest scale of autonomous driving data globally, which means its advantage may continue to grow in the coming months.
With five consecutive days of decline, is it time to buy Tesla now?
After Tesla's stock price fell below $315, the market expects the price to retrace to the $275 to $280 range, which is considered a strong technical support zone.
Considering Tesla's continuous adjustment over the past few weeks and the expectation that the stock will continue to face downward pressure in the coming weeks, the $273 to $280 range could see strong buying interest.
Combining with the Fibonacci retracement, we can see that the stock has already retraced to a key technical support zone. From the April low of $140 to the December high of $488, the 61.8% retracement level is approximately $273.22.
Have you started building a position in Tesla?
Do you think Tesla is the best stock for buying low and selling high?
Will it drop to $270 this time?
Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$
🚀 Tesla ($TSLA): The Fibonacci Freefall, Will $273 to $280 Hold or Is $250 Next? 🚀
Tesla ($TSLA) has been sliding downhill faster than a Cybertruck on ice, now trading at $286.50 as of 28Feb25 🇳🇿, just $12 away from the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement ($274.44), or the “Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone.” After a 28 percent YTD drop and five consecutive red sessions, traders are debating,
📍 Is this a golden Fibonacci buy-the-dip opportunity, or will $TSLA plunge straight into the $250 abyss before reversing?
📊 With FSD’s struggles in China, Robotaxi delays, and Tesla’s sky-high 118x P/E, bears are driving this EV straight off a cliff.
Let’s break it down with technical precision, deep fundamental analysis, and a few well-timed trading puns!
📉 Why Has Tesla Dropped? More Than Just European Sales
Tesla’s selloff is not just about Europe, it is a perfect storm of valuation, competition, and macro pressures,
📈 Shrinking Margins, Tesla’s price cuts to outpace BYD’s $10K Seagull have crushed gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent, higher sales, lower profitability, a classic volume trap
📈 FSD’s Great Wall Woes, China is not sold on Tesla’s camera-only approach. Baidu’s Apollo and XPeng’s LiDAR-heavy systems are ahead, and regulators remain skeptical. Bloomberg (Feb25) reports Tesla’s city-street FSD rollout is stalling, and NHTSA is probing Tesla’s FSD crash data in the U.S., call it a “Regulatory Roadblock.”
📈 High Interest Rates, Low Demand, Higher borrowing costs are slamming EV affordability, making Tesla’s premium lineup a tougher sell. Without hybrid models, Tesla is more exposed than legacy automakers.
📈 Robotaxi Delays, Musk’s Texas Robotaxi (Oct24) reveal hyped up the AI bulls, but without regulatory approval, it remains a PowerPoint promise, not revenue reality.
💡 Bottom Line: Tesla’s 118x P/E is stretched tighter than a Tesla coil, without a catalyst, it is a short seller’s dream.
🔄 What Could Spark a Tesla Rebound?
Tesla is not out of moves yet, here is what could send it higher,
📈 FSD’s AI Moat, Tesla’s 1.3 billion-plus real-world miles (ARK Invest, Oct24) create an autonomous driving data monopoly. If FSD V13 significantly improves, confidence could return fast.
📈 Robotaxi Clarity, If Trump-era policies accelerate U.S. approvals, Tesla could fast-track unsupervised FSD rides. A confirmed regulatory green light would ignite a short squeeze.
📈 Megapack & Energy Growth, Tesla’s energy storage segment (13.5 GWh H1 24, 50 percent-plus YoY growth) is flying under the radar. Morgan Stanley values this alone at $50 per share, yet it is not priced in.
📈 Technical Bounce Setup, Tesla is approaching key support at $273 to $280, aligning with historical volume and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement.
🚨 Without execution, these remain potential, not immediate, bullish drivers.
📈 Tesla’s Technical Setup, Will $273 Hold, or Is $250 Next?
Tesla’s chart screams caution, but Fibonacci suggests a potential bounce,
📍 Current Price, $286.50, just $12 above the 61.8 percent retracement ($274.44).
📍 Key Fibonacci Levels
• 0.5 Retracement ($315.55), broken, bearish continuation confirmed.
• 0.618 Retracement ($274.44), Tesla’s last major technical lifeline. If this holds, expect a bounce toward $315 to $350.
• Break Below, Next stop $250, aligning with historical volume clusters.
📍 Elliott Wave Setup
• Tesla’s impulse wave remains intact, but this correction is testing the final support before a Wave 5 rally toward $600-plus.
📍 RSI & Volume
• RSI is near 30 (oversold), historically, Tesla bounces from these conditions.
• No volume spike yet, watch for a surge on 28Feb25 or early next week at $273 to $280, if it does not show, expect further downside.
💡 Tesla needs confirmation before calling this a bottom.
💰 Options & Capital Flow, What Is Smart Money Doing?
📊 Put Options Dominate, Traders are loading $270 & $250 puts, betting on further downside.
📊 Call Interest, Low institutional appetite for calls signals uncertainty in a quick rebound.
📊 Dark Pool Data, Institutions have not started accumulating, watch for buying volume near $280 to confirm smart money’s entry.
💡 Options flow suggests caution, wait for confirmation.
🤔 Should You Buy Tesla Now?
✅ For Traders
• Wait for a bullish signal at $273 to $280 (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI bounce, or volume spike) before jumping in.
• If $270 fails, expect $250 next, better risk-reward setup.
📊 For Long-Term Investors
• If you believe in Tesla’s AI & Energy moat, $280 (or lower) is a solid long-term entry.
• But without Robotaxi revenue, Tesla’s 118x P/E remains a valuation risk.
📉 Will Tesla Drop to $270? What Is Next?
🚨 Probability, HIGH
• Momentum is bearish, and Tesla is only $13 from critical support.
• If $274.44 fails, expect a flush to $270, aligning with the lower end of the $273 to $280 zone, before potentially testing $250.
• Bounce Trigger, A close above $300 with high volume would confirm a reversal.
📢 Final Verdict, Rebound or More Pain?
📈 Short term, $273 to $280 is Tesla’s last major support zone, hold it, and we could see $350-plus. Break it, and $250 is next.
📈 Long term, Tesla remains a dominant AI & energy player, but traders must manage risk tightly, this dip may not be the last.
💡 Will Tesla hold $273 or crash to $250? Drop your take below!
@TigerGPT:What Confirmation Signals Would Mark the End of Tesla’s Correction?
📊 Bullish signals to watch for
✅ RSI crossing above 50, signals momentum shift.
✅ Volume surge near $280, shows smart money stepping in.
✅ Bullish engulfing candle, classic reversal pattern.
📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow me for sharp setups, stock trends, and actionable insights! 🚀📈 Let’s trade smarter and grow together! 🍀🍀🍀
Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$
🚀 Tesla ($TSLA): The Fibonacci Freefall, Will $273 to $280 Hold or Is $250 Next? 🚀
Tesla ($TSLA) has been sliding downhill faster than a Cybertruck on ice, now trading at $286.50 as of 28Feb25 🇳🇿, just $12 away from the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement ($274.44), or the “Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone.” After a 28 percent YTD drop and five consecutive red sessions, traders are debating,
📍 Is this a golden Fibonacci buy-the-dip opportunity, or will $TSLA plunge straight into the $250 abyss before reversing?
📊 With FSD’s struggles in China, Robotaxi delays, and Tesla’s sky-high 118x P/E, bears are driving this EV straight off a cliff.
Let’s break it down with technical precision, deep fundamental analysis, and a few well-timed trading puns!
📉 Why Has Tesla Dropped? More Than Just European Sales
Tesla’s selloff is not just about Europe, it is a perfect storm of valuation, competition, and macro pressures,
📈 Shrinking Margins, Tesla’s price cuts to outpace BYD’s $10K Seagull have crushed gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent, higher sales, lower profitability, a classic volume trap
📈 FSD’s Great Wall Woes, China is not sold on Tesla’s camera-only approach. Baidu’s Apollo and XPeng’s LiDAR-heavy systems are ahead, and regulators remain skeptical. Bloomberg (Feb25) reports Tesla’s city-street FSD rollout is stalling, and NHTSA is probing Tesla’s FSD crash data in the U.S., call it a “Regulatory Roadblock.”
📈 High Interest Rates, Low Demand, Higher borrowing costs are slamming EV affordability, making Tesla’s premium lineup a tougher sell. Without hybrid models, Tesla is more exposed than legacy automakers.
📈 Robotaxi Delays, Musk’s Texas Robotaxi (Oct24) reveal hyped up the AI bulls, but without regulatory approval, it remains a PowerPoint promise, not revenue reality.
💡 Bottom Line: Tesla’s 118x P/E is stretched tighter than a Tesla coil, without a catalyst, it is a short seller’s dream.
🔄 What Could Spark a Tesla Rebound?
Tesla is not out of moves yet, here is what could send it higher,
📈 FSD’s AI Moat, Tesla’s 1.3 billion-plus real-world miles (ARK Invest, Oct24) create an autonomous driving data monopoly. If FSD V13 significantly improves, confidence could return fast.
📈 Robotaxi Clarity, If Trump-era policies accelerate U.S. approvals, Tesla could fast-track unsupervised FSD rides. A confirmed regulatory green light would ignite a short squeeze.
📈 Megapack & Energy Growth, Tesla’s energy storage segment (13.5 GWh H1 24, 50 percent-plus YoY growth) is flying under the radar. Morgan Stanley values this alone at $50 per share, yet it is not priced in.
📈 Technical Bounce Setup, Tesla is approaching key support at $273 to $280, aligning with historical volume and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement.
🚨 Without execution, these remain potential, not immediate, bullish drivers.
📈 Tesla’s Technical Setup, Will $273 Hold, or Is $250 Next?
Tesla’s chart screams caution, but Fibonacci suggests a potential bounce,
📍 Current Price, $286.50, just $12 above the 61.8 percent retracement ($274.44).
📍 Key Fibonacci Levels
• 0.5 Retracement ($315.55), broken, bearish continuation confirmed.
• 0.618 Retracement ($274.44), Tesla’s last major technical lifeline. If this holds, expect a bounce toward $315 to $350.
• Break Below, Next stop $250, aligning with historical volume clusters.
📍 Elliott Wave Setup
• Tesla’s impulse wave remains intact, but this correction is testing the final support before a Wave 5 rally toward $600-plus.
📍 RSI & Volume
• RSI is near 30 (oversold), historically, Tesla bounces from these conditions.
• No volume spike yet, watch for a surge on 28Feb25 or early next week at $273 to $280, if it does not show, expect further downside.
💡 Tesla needs confirmation before calling this a bottom.
💰 Options & Capital Flow, What Is Smart Money Doing?
📊 Put Options Dominate, Traders are loading $270 & $250 puts, betting on further downside.
📊 Call Interest, Low institutional appetite for calls signals uncertainty in a quick rebound.
📊 Dark Pool Data, Institutions have not started accumulating, watch for buying volume near $280 to confirm smart money’s entry.
💡 Options flow suggests caution, wait for confirmation.
🤔 Should You Buy Tesla Now?
✅ For Traders
• Wait for a bullish signal at $273 to $280 (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI bounce, or volume spike) before jumping in.
• If $270 fails, expect $250 next, better risk-reward setup.
📊 For Long-Term Investors
• If you believe in Tesla’s AI & Energy moat, $280 (or lower) is a solid long-term entry.
• But without Robotaxi revenue, Tesla’s 118x P/E remains a valuation risk.
📉 Will Tesla Drop to $270? What Is Next?
🚨 Probability, HIGH
• Momentum is bearish, and Tesla is only $13 from critical support.
• If $274.44 fails, expect a flush to $270, aligning with the lower end of the $273 to $280 zone, before potentially testing $250.
• Bounce Trigger, A close above $300 with high volume would confirm a reversal.
📢 Final Verdict, Rebound or More Pain?
📈 Short term, $273 to $280 is Tesla’s last major support zone, hold it, and we could see $350-plus. Break it, and $250 is next.
📈 Long term, Tesla remains a dominant AI & energy player, but traders must manage risk tightly, this dip may not be the last.
💡 Will Tesla hold $273 or crash to $250? Drop your take below!
@TigerGPT:What Confirmation Signals Would Mark the End of Tesla’s Correction?
📊 Bullish signals to watch for
✅ RSI crossing above 50, signals momentum shift.
✅ Volume surge near $280, shows smart money stepping in.
✅ Bullish engulfing candle, classic reversal pattern.
📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow me for sharp setups, stock trends, and actionable insights! 🚀📈 Let’s trade smarter and grow together! 🍀🍀🍀
Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$
🚀 Tesla ($TSLA): The Fibonacci Freefall, Will $273 to $280 Hold or Is $250 Next? 🚀
Tesla ($TSLA) has been sliding downhill faster than a Cybertruck on ice, now trading at $286.50 as of 28Feb25 🇳🇿, just $12 away from the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement ($274.44), or the “Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone.” After a 28 percent YTD drop and five consecutive red sessions, traders are debating,
📍 Is this a golden Fibonacci buy-the-dip opportunity, or will $TSLA plunge straight into the $250 abyss before reversing?
📊 With FSD’s struggles in China, Robotaxi delays, and Tesla’s sky-high 118x P/E, bears are driving this EV straight off a cliff.
Let’s break it down with technical precision, deep fundamental analysis, and a few well-timed trading puns!
📉 Why Has Tesla Dropped? More Than Just European Sales
Tesla’s selloff is not just about Europe, it is a perfect storm of valuation, competition, and macro pressures,
📈 Shrinking Margins, Tesla’s price cuts to outpace BYD’s $10K Seagull have crushed gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent, higher sales, lower profitability, a classic volume trap
📈 FSD’s Great Wall Woes, China is not sold on Tesla’s camera-only approach. Baidu’s Apollo and XPeng’s LiDAR-heavy systems are ahead, and regulators remain skeptical. Bloomberg (Feb25) reports Tesla’s city-street FSD rollout is stalling, and NHTSA is probing Tesla’s FSD crash data in the U.S., call it a “Regulatory Roadblock.”
📈 High Interest Rates, Low Demand, Higher borrowing costs are slamming EV affordability, making Tesla’s premium lineup a tougher sell. Without hybrid models, Tesla is more exposed than legacy automakers.
📈 Robotaxi Delays, Musk’s Texas Robotaxi (Oct24) reveal hyped up the AI bulls, but without regulatory approval, it remains a PowerPoint promise, not revenue reality.
💡 Bottom Line: Tesla’s 118x P/E is stretched tighter than a Tesla coil, without a catalyst, it is a short seller’s dream.
🔄 What Could Spark a Tesla Rebound?
Tesla is not out of moves yet, here is what could send it higher,
📈 FSD’s AI Moat, Tesla’s 1.3 billion-plus real-world miles (ARK Invest, Oct24) create an autonomous driving data monopoly. If FSD V13 significantly improves, confidence could return fast.
📈 Robotaxi Clarity, If Trump-era policies accelerate U.S. approvals, Tesla could fast-track unsupervised FSD rides. A confirmed regulatory green light would ignite a short squeeze.
📈 Megapack & Energy Growth, Tesla’s energy storage segment (13.5 GWh H1 24, 50 percent-plus YoY growth) is flying under the radar. Morgan Stanley values this alone at $50 per share, yet it is not priced in.
📈 Technical Bounce Setup, Tesla is approaching key support at $273 to $280, aligning with historical volume and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement.
🚨 Without execution, these remain potential, not immediate, bullish drivers.
📈 Tesla’s Technical Setup, Will $273 Hold, or Is $250 Next?
Tesla’s chart screams caution, but Fibonacci suggests a potential bounce,
📍 Current Price, $286.50, just $12 above the 61.8 percent retracement ($274.44).
📍 Key Fibonacci Levels
• 0.5 Retracement ($315.55), broken, bearish continuation confirmed.
• 0.618 Retracement ($274.44), Tesla’s last major technical lifeline. If this holds, expect a bounce toward $315 to $350.
• Break Below, Next stop $250, aligning with historical volume clusters.
📍 Elliott Wave Setup
• Tesla’s impulse wave remains intact, but this correction is testing the final support before a Wave 5 rally toward $600-plus.
📍 RSI & Volume
• RSI is near 30 (oversold), historically, Tesla bounces from these conditions.
• No volume spike yet, watch for a surge on 28Feb25 or early next week at $273 to $280, if it does not show, expect further downside.
💡 Tesla needs confirmation before calling this a bottom.
💰 Options & Capital Flow, What Is Smart Money Doing?
📊 Put Options Dominate, Traders are loading $270 & $250 puts, betting on further downside.
📊 Call Interest, Low institutional appetite for calls signals uncertainty in a quick rebound.
📊 Dark Pool Data, Institutions have not started accumulating, watch for buying volume near $280 to confirm smart money’s entry.
💡 Options flow suggests caution, wait for confirmation.
🤔 Should You Buy Tesla Now?
✅ For Traders
• Wait for a bullish signal at $273 to $280 (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI bounce, or volume spike) before jumping in.
• If $270 fails, expect $250 next, better risk-reward setup.
📊 For Long-Term Investors
• If you believe in Tesla’s AI & Energy moat, $280 (or lower) is a solid long-term entry.
• But without Robotaxi revenue, Tesla’s 118x P/E remains a valuation risk.
📉 Will Tesla Drop to $270? What Is Next?
🚨 Probability, HIGH
• Momentum is bearish, and Tesla is only $13 from critical support.
• If $274.44 fails, expect a flush to $270, aligning with the lower end of the $273 to $280 zone, before potentially testing $250.
• Bounce Trigger, A close above $300 with high volume would confirm a reversal.
📢 Final Verdict, Rebound or More Pain?
📈 Short term, $273 to $280 is Tesla’s last major support zone, hold it, and we could see $350-plus. Break it, and $250 is next.
📈 Long term, Tesla remains a dominant AI & energy player, but traders must manage risk tightly, this dip may not be the last.
💡 Will Tesla hold $273 or crash to $250? Drop your take below!
@TigerGPT:What Confirmation Signals Would Mark the End of Tesla’s Correction?
📊 Bullish signals to watch for
✅ RSI crossing above 50, signals momentum shift.
✅ Volume surge near $280, shows smart money stepping in.
✅ Bullish engulfing candle, classic reversal pattern.
📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow me for sharp setups, stock trends, and actionable insights! 🚀📈 Let’s trade smarter and grow together! 🍀🍀🍀
Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$
🚀 Tesla ($TSLA): The Fibonacci Freefall, Will $273 to $280 Hold or Is $250 Next? 🚀
Tesla ($TSLA) has been sliding downhill faster than a Cybertruck on ice, now trading at $286.50 as of 28Feb25 🇳🇿, just $12 away from the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement ($274.44), or the “Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone.” After a 28 percent YTD drop and five consecutive red sessions, traders are debating,
📍 Is this a golden Fibonacci buy-the-dip opportunity, or will $TSLA plunge straight into the $250 abyss before reversing?
📊 With FSD’s struggles in China, Robotaxi delays, and Tesla’s sky-high 118x P/E, bears are driving this EV straight off a cliff.
Let’s break it down with technical precision, deep fundamental analysis, and a few well-timed trading puns!
📉 Why Has Tesla Dropped? More Than Just European Sales
Tesla’s selloff is not just about Europe, it is a perfect storm of valuation, competition, and macro pressures,
📈 Shrinking Margins, Tesla’s price cuts to outpace BYD’s $10K Seagull have crushed gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent, higher sales, lower profitability, a classic volume trap
📈 FSD’s Great Wall Woes, China is not sold on Tesla’s camera-only approach. Baidu’s Apollo and XPeng’s LiDAR-heavy systems are ahead, and regulators remain skeptical. Bloomberg (Feb25) reports Tesla’s city-street FSD rollout is stalling, and NHTSA is probing Tesla’s FSD crash data in the U.S., call it a “Regulatory Roadblock.”
📈 High Interest Rates, Low Demand, Higher borrowing costs are slamming EV affordability, making Tesla’s premium lineup a tougher sell. Without hybrid models, Tesla is more exposed than legacy automakers.
📈 Robotaxi Delays, Musk’s Texas Robotaxi (Oct24) reveal hyped up the AI bulls, but without regulatory approval, it remains a PowerPoint promise, not revenue reality.
💡 Bottom Line: Tesla’s 118x P/E is stretched tighter than a Tesla coil, without a catalyst, it is a short seller’s dream.
🔄 What Could Spark a Tesla Rebound?
Tesla is not out of moves yet, here is what could send it higher,
📈 FSD’s AI Moat, Tesla’s 1.3 billion-plus real-world miles (ARK Invest, Oct24) create an autonomous driving data monopoly. If FSD V13 significantly improves, confidence could return fast.
📈 Robotaxi Clarity, If Trump-era policies accelerate U.S. approvals, Tesla could fast-track unsupervised FSD rides. A confirmed regulatory green light would ignite a short squeeze.
📈 Megapack & Energy Growth, Tesla’s energy storage segment (13.5 GWh H1 24, 50 percent-plus YoY growth) is flying under the radar. Morgan Stanley values this alone at $50 per share, yet it is not priced in.
📈 Technical Bounce Setup, Tesla is approaching key support at $273 to $280, aligning with historical volume and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement.
🚨 Without execution, these remain potential, not immediate, bullish drivers.
📈 Tesla’s Technical Setup, Will $273 Hold, or Is $250 Next?
Tesla’s chart screams caution, but Fibonacci suggests a potential bounce,
📍 Current Price, $286.50, just $12 above the 61.8 percent retracement ($274.44).
📍 Key Fibonacci Levels
• 0.5 Retracement ($315.55), broken, bearish continuation confirmed.
• 0.618 Retracement ($274.44), Tesla’s last major technical lifeline. If this holds, expect a bounce toward $315 to $350.
• Break Below, Next stop $250, aligning with historical volume clusters.
📍 Elliott Wave Setup
• Tesla’s impulse wave remains intact, but this correction is testing the final support before a Wave 5 rally toward $600-plus.
📍 RSI & Volume
• RSI is near 30 (oversold), historically, Tesla bounces from these conditions.
• No volume spike yet, watch for a surge on 28Feb25 or early next week at $273 to $280, if it does not show, expect further downside.
💡 Tesla needs confirmation before calling this a bottom.
💰 Options & Capital Flow, What Is Smart Money Doing?
📊 Put Options Dominate, Traders are loading $270 & $250 puts, betting on further downside.
📊 Call Interest, Low institutional appetite for calls signals uncertainty in a quick rebound.
📊 Dark Pool Data, Institutions have not started accumulating, watch for buying volume near $280 to confirm smart money’s entry.
💡 Options flow suggests caution, wait for confirmation.
🤔 Should You Buy Tesla Now?
✅ For Traders
• Wait for a bullish signal at $273 to $280 (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI bounce, or volume spike) before jumping in.
• If $270 fails, expect $250 next, better risk-reward setup.
📊 For Long-Term Investors
• If you believe in Tesla’s AI & Energy moat, $280 (or lower) is a solid long-term entry.
• But without Robotaxi revenue, Tesla’s 118x P/E remains a valuation risk.
📉 Will Tesla Drop to $270? What Is Next?
🚨 Probability, HIGH
• Momentum is bearish, and Tesla is only $13 from critical support.
• If $274.44 fails, expect a flush to $270, aligning with the lower end of the $273 to $280 zone, before potentially testing $250.
• Bounce Trigger, A close above $300 with high volume would confirm a reversal.
📢 Final Verdict, Rebound or More Pain?
📈 Short term, $273 to $280 is Tesla’s last major support zone, hold it, and we could see $350-plus. Break it, and $250 is next.
📈 Long term, Tesla remains a dominant AI & energy player, but traders must manage risk tightly, this dip may not be the last.
💡 Will Tesla hold $273 or crash to $250? Drop your take below!
@TigerGPT:What Confirmation Signals Would Mark the End of Tesla’s Correction?
📊 Bullish signals to watch for
✅ RSI crossing above 50, signals momentum shift.
✅ Volume surge near $280, shows smart money stepping in.
✅ Bullish engulfing candle, classic reversal pattern.
📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow me for sharp setups, stock trends, and actionable insights! 🚀📈 Let’s trade smarter and grow together! 🍀🍀🍀
Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$
🚀 Tesla ($TSLA): The Fibonacci Freefall, Will $273 to $280 Hold or Is $250 Next? 🚀
Tesla ($TSLA) has been sliding downhill faster than a Cybertruck on ice, now trading at $286.50 as of 28Feb25 🇳🇿, just $12 away from the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement ($274.44), or the “Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone.” After a 28 percent YTD drop and five consecutive red sessions, traders are debating,
📍 Is this a golden Fibonacci buy-the-dip opportunity, or will $TSLA plunge straight into the $250 abyss before reversing?
📊 With FSD’s struggles in China, Robotaxi delays, and Tesla’s sky-high 118x P/E, bears are driving this EV straight off a cliff.
Let’s break it down with technical precision, deep fundamental analysis, and a few well-timed trading puns!
📉 Why Has Tesla Dropped? More Than Just European Sales
Tesla’s selloff is not just about Europe, it is a perfect storm of valuation, competition, and macro pressures,
📈 Shrinking Margins, Tesla’s price cuts to outpace BYD’s $10K Seagull have crushed gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent, higher sales, lower profitability, a classic volume trap
📈 FSD’s Great Wall Woes, China is not sold on Tesla’s camera-only approach. Baidu’s Apollo and XPeng’s LiDAR-heavy systems are ahead, and regulators remain skeptical. Bloomberg (Feb25) reports Tesla’s city-street FSD rollout is stalling, and NHTSA is probing Tesla’s FSD crash data in the U.S., call it a “Regulatory Roadblock.”
📈 High Interest Rates, Low Demand, Higher borrowing costs are slamming EV affordability, making Tesla’s premium lineup a tougher sell. Without hybrid models, Tesla is more exposed than legacy automakers.
📈 Robotaxi Delays, Musk’s Texas Robotaxi (Oct24) reveal hyped up the AI bulls, but without regulatory approval, it remains a PowerPoint promise, not revenue reality.
💡 Bottom Line: Tesla’s 118x P/E is stretched tighter than a Tesla coil, without a catalyst, it is a short seller’s dream.
🔄 What Could Spark a Tesla Rebound?
Tesla is not out of moves yet, here is what could send it higher,
📈 FSD’s AI Moat, Tesla’s 1.3 billion-plus real-world miles (ARK Invest, Oct24) create an autonomous driving data monopoly. If FSD V13 significantly improves, confidence could return fast.
📈 Robotaxi Clarity, If Trump-era policies accelerate U.S. approvals, Tesla could fast-track unsupervised FSD rides. A confirmed regulatory green light would ignite a short squeeze.
📈 Megapack & Energy Growth, Tesla’s energy storage segment (13.5 GWh H1 24, 50 percent-plus YoY growth) is flying under the radar. Morgan Stanley values this alone at $50 per share, yet it is not priced in.
📈 Technical Bounce Setup, Tesla is approaching key support at $273 to $280, aligning with historical volume and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement.
🚨 Without execution, these remain potential, not immediate, bullish drivers.
📈 Tesla’s Technical Setup, Will $273 Hold, or Is $250 Next?
Tesla’s chart screams caution, but Fibonacci suggests a potential bounce,
📍 Current Price, $286.50, just $12 above the 61.8 percent retracement ($274.44).
📍 Key Fibonacci Levels
• 0.5 Retracement ($315.55), broken, bearish continuation confirmed.
• 0.618 Retracement ($274.44), Tesla’s last major technical lifeline. If this holds, expect a bounce toward $315 to $350.
• Break Below, Next stop $250, aligning with historical volume clusters.
📍 Elliott Wave Setup
• Tesla’s impulse wave remains intact, but this correction is testing the final support before a Wave 5 rally toward $600-plus.
📍 RSI & Volume
• RSI is near 30 (oversold), historically, Tesla bounces from these conditions.
• No volume spike yet, watch for a surge on 28Feb25 or early next week at $273 to $280, if it does not show, expect further downside.
💡 Tesla needs confirmation before calling this a bottom.
💰 Options & Capital Flow, What Is Smart Money Doing?
📊 Put Options Dominate, Traders are loading $270 & $250 puts, betting on further downside.
📊 Call Interest, Low institutional appetite for calls signals uncertainty in a quick rebound.
📊 Dark Pool Data, Institutions have not started accumulating, watch for buying volume near $280 to confirm smart money’s entry.
💡 Options flow suggests caution, wait for confirmation.
🤔 Should You Buy Tesla Now?
✅ For Traders
• Wait for a bullish signal at $273 to $280 (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI bounce, or volume spike) before jumping in.
• If $270 fails, expect $250 next, better risk-reward setup.
📊 For Long-Term Investors
• If you believe in Tesla’s AI & Energy moat, $280 (or lower) is a solid long-term entry.
• But without Robotaxi revenue, Tesla’s 118x P/E remains a valuation risk.
📉 Will Tesla Drop to $270? What Is Next?
🚨 Probability, HIGH
• Momentum is bearish, and Tesla is only $13 from critical support.
• If $274.44 fails, expect a flush to $270, aligning with the lower end of the $273 to $280 zone, before potentially testing $250.
• Bounce Trigger, A close above $300 with high volume would confirm a reversal.
📢 Final Verdict, Rebound or More Pain?
📈 Short term, $273 to $280 is Tesla’s last major support zone, hold it, and we could see $350-plus. Break it, and $250 is next.
📈 Long term, Tesla remains a dominant AI & energy player, but traders must manage risk tightly, this dip may not be the last.
💡 Will Tesla hold $273 or crash to $250? Drop your take below!
@TigerGPT:What Confirmation Signals Would Mark the End of Tesla’s Correction?
📊 Bullish signals to watch for
✅ RSI crossing above 50, signals momentum shift.
✅ Volume surge near $280, shows smart money stepping in.
✅ Bullish engulfing candle, classic reversal pattern.
📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow me for sharp setups, stock trends, and actionable insights! 🚀📈 Let’s trade smarter and grow together! 🍀🍀🍀
Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$
🚀 Tesla ($TSLA): The Fibonacci Freefall, Will $273 to $280 Hold or Is $250 Next? 🚀
Tesla ($TSLA) has been sliding downhill faster than a Cybertruck on ice, now trading at $286.50 as of 28Feb25 🇳🇿, just $12 away from the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement ($274.44), or the “Golden Fibonacci Buy-the-Dip Zone.” After a 28 percent YTD drop and five consecutive red sessions, traders are debating,
📍 Is this a golden Fibonacci buy-the-dip opportunity, or will $TSLA plunge straight into the $250 abyss before reversing?
📊 With FSD’s struggles in China, Robotaxi delays, and Tesla’s sky-high 118x P/E, bears are driving this EV straight off a cliff.
Let’s break it down with technical precision, deep fundamental analysis, and a few well-timed trading puns!
📉 Why Has Tesla Dropped? More Than Just European Sales
Tesla’s selloff is not just about Europe, it is a perfect storm of valuation, competition, and macro pressures,
📈 Shrinking Margins, Tesla’s price cuts to outpace BYD’s $10K Seagull have crushed gross margins from 25 percent to 17 percent, higher sales, lower profitability, a classic volume trap
📈 FSD’s Great Wall Woes, China is not sold on Tesla’s camera-only approach. Baidu’s Apollo and XPeng’s LiDAR-heavy systems are ahead, and regulators remain skeptical. Bloomberg (Feb25) reports Tesla’s city-street FSD rollout is stalling, and NHTSA is probing Tesla’s FSD crash data in the U.S., call it a “Regulatory Roadblock.”
📈 High Interest Rates, Low Demand, Higher borrowing costs are slamming EV affordability, making Tesla’s premium lineup a tougher sell. Without hybrid models, Tesla is more exposed than legacy automakers.
📈 Robotaxi Delays, Musk’s Texas Robotaxi (Oct24) reveal hyped up the AI bulls, but without regulatory approval, it remains a PowerPoint promise, not revenue reality.
💡 Bottom Line: Tesla’s 118x P/E is stretched tighter than a Tesla coil, without a catalyst, it is a short seller’s dream.
🔄 What Could Spark a Tesla Rebound?
Tesla is not out of moves yet, here is what could send it higher,
📈 FSD’s AI Moat, Tesla’s 1.3 billion-plus real-world miles (ARK Invest, Oct24) create an autonomous driving data monopoly. If FSD V13 significantly improves, confidence could return fast.
📈 Robotaxi Clarity, If Trump-era policies accelerate U.S. approvals, Tesla could fast-track unsupervised FSD rides. A confirmed regulatory green light would ignite a short squeeze.
📈 Megapack & Energy Growth, Tesla’s energy storage segment (13.5 GWh H1 24, 50 percent-plus YoY growth) is flying under the radar. Morgan Stanley values this alone at $50 per share, yet it is not priced in.
📈 Technical Bounce Setup, Tesla is approaching key support at $273 to $280, aligning with historical volume and 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement.
🚨 Without execution, these remain potential, not immediate, bullish drivers.
📈 Tesla’s Technical Setup, Will $273 Hold, or Is $250 Next?
Tesla’s chart screams caution, but Fibonacci suggests a potential bounce,
📍 Current Price, $286.50, just $12 above the 61.8 percent retracement ($274.44).
📍 Key Fibonacci Levels
• 0.5 Retracement ($315.55), broken, bearish continuation confirmed.
• 0.618 Retracement ($274.44), Tesla’s last major technical lifeline. If this holds, expect a bounce toward $315 to $350.
• Break Below, Next stop $250, aligning with historical volume clusters.
📍 Elliott Wave Setup
• Tesla’s impulse wave remains intact, but this correction is testing the final support before a Wave 5 rally toward $600-plus.
📍 RSI & Volume
• RSI is near 30 (oversold), historically, Tesla bounces from these conditions.
• No volume spike yet, watch for a surge on 28Feb25 or early next week at $273 to $280, if it does not show, expect further downside.
💡 Tesla needs confirmation before calling this a bottom.
💰 Options & Capital Flow, What Is Smart Money Doing?
📊 Put Options Dominate, Traders are loading $270 & $250 puts, betting on further downside.
📊 Call Interest, Low institutional appetite for calls signals uncertainty in a quick rebound.
📊 Dark Pool Data, Institutions have not started accumulating, watch for buying volume near $280 to confirm smart money’s entry.
💡 Options flow suggests caution, wait for confirmation.
🤔 Should You Buy Tesla Now?
✅ For Traders
• Wait for a bullish signal at $273 to $280 (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI bounce, or volume spike) before jumping in.
• If $270 fails, expect $250 next, better risk-reward setup.
📊 For Long-Term Investors
• If you believe in Tesla’s AI & Energy moat, $280 (or lower) is a solid long-term entry.
• But without Robotaxi revenue, Tesla’s 118x P/E remains a valuation risk.
📉 Will Tesla Drop to $270? What Is Next?
🚨 Probability, HIGH
• Momentum is bearish, and Tesla is only $13 from critical support.
• If $274.44 fails, expect a flush to $270, aligning with the lower end of the $273 to $280 zone, before potentially testing $250.
• Bounce Trigger, A close above $300 with high volume would confirm a reversal.
📢 Final Verdict, Rebound or More Pain?
📈 Short term, $273 to $280 is Tesla’s last major support zone, hold it, and we could see $350-plus. Break it, and $250 is next.
📈 Long term, Tesla remains a dominant AI & energy player, but traders must manage risk tightly, this dip may not be the last.
💡 Will Tesla hold $273 or crash to $250? Drop your take below!
@TigerGPT:What Confirmation Signals Would Mark the End of Tesla’s Correction?
📊 Bullish signals to watch for
✅ RSI crossing above 50, signals momentum shift.
✅ Volume surge near $280, shows smart money stepping in.
✅ Bullish engulfing candle, classic reversal pattern.
📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow me for sharp setups, stock trends, and actionable insights! 🚀📈 Let’s trade smarter and grow together! 🍀🍀🍀
Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀
首先，特斯拉的长期潜力仍然不可小觑，作为电动汽车的行业领军者，特斯拉不仅在销量上领先，还在技术创新上处于行业前沿。再加上它在自动驾驶、能源管理等领域的布局，可以说特斯拉的未来仍然充满想象空间。然而，从短期来看，特斯拉的股价波动性较大，受到整体市场情绪、竞争加剧等因素影响，股价短期内可能还会有一定压力。
是否能跌到270美元，我认为并非不可能。特斯拉的股价目前已经在大约300美元附近徘徊，如果市场继续受到高利率和宏观经济因素的拖累，股价进一步下探至270美元甚至250美元并不是没有可能。尤其是如果市场对特斯拉的盈利增速预期下降，或者竞争对手的技术进展超过预期，股价可能会面临一定的下行压力。
关于低买高卖，我认为特斯拉确实具备这个潜力，尤其是如果能在回调时分批低吸，在长线持有的情况下，未来有望从中受益。对于像特斯拉这样的成长股，短期波动较大，但长远看仍然具备增长空间，关键在于入场时机和风险控制。因此，我会保持谨慎，等待合适的价格点进行布局。
为什么不急着进？ 今年以来特斯拉已经跌了约28%，主要是销量增长放缓、毛利率承压，以及整体市场情绪不佳导致的。但更关键的问题是，特斯拉的核心增长逻辑正在被市场重新审视——电动车行业的竞争加剧，比亚迪、丰田等厂商在不同市场加速抢占份额，FSD（完全自动驾驶）和Optimus机器人虽然有长期潜力，但短期内还撑不起股价。因此，市场仍可能进一步下调特斯拉的估值，270美元甚至250美元并非不可能。
那特斯拉还是“低买高卖”的好股票吗？ 长期来看，我依然看好特斯拉的品牌、技术以及新能源产业链布局，尤其是如果FSD取得突破，市场情绪会迅速反转。但短期而言，特斯拉的走势仍偏弱，建议有耐心的投资者关注270美元附近的支撑是否稳固，再考虑分批建仓，而不是盲目抄底。对于短线交易者，若股价站稳290美元并突破325美元，才可能看到一波反弹行情。
一些人認爲特斯拉是人工智能和自動駕駛的受益者，而另一些人則認爲它在汽車製造商中被高估了。不過，如果FSD真正落地，目前的高估值也就名正言順了。
年初人工智能的進一步發展表明自動駕駛領域也可能加速。
Wayve在倫敦的Robotaxi測試表明，僅使用7個攝像頭，無需雷達、激光雷達或高清地圖，其AI系統已經可以在複雜的城市環境中行駛。
特斯拉的FSD採用了類似的概念，但擁有全球規模最大的自動駕駛數據，這意味着其優勢可能在未來幾個月繼續增長。