$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2508(BTCmain)$ $CME Ether - main 2508(ETHmain)$ Technical Launchpad: Box and Chop to Breakout 📈🅱️ U͛ L͛ L͛ I͛ S͛ H͛
I’m watching $COIN showing standout resilience against $BTC’s recent swings, holding firmly in the $325–$337.58 zone. That level is the ceiling before the Top Box range at $350. If we clear $337.58, the path is open to $350, then $365, with the upside squeeze target sitting at $380.75.
Weekly Keltner/Bollinger overlays show we’ve rebounded from the $444.64 high into EMA compression, a classic volatility expansion trigger. On the 4H, momentum has turned post-downtrend, while the daily chart pins $337.58 as the pivot where momentum could ignite. The intraday flow also shows strong bids into $326 despite overhead chop, confirming bullish absorption.
Macro Catalyst: $12 Trillion Opens to Crypto
I’m factoring in the transformational impact of Trump’s executive order allowing crypto in 401(k) retirement plans. This unlocks $12 trillion in defined-contribution assets, with a modest 1% allocation equating to $120B in potential inflows, structural and consistent demand far beyond short-term trading hype.
This is not just bullish for $BTC and $ETH, it is a structural revenue accelerator for Coinbase via commissions, custody, staking, and stablecoin float yield. For the U.S. government, it is also a backdoor to sell Treasuries through stablecoins, suppressing yields.
Crypto Macro Context: ETH and BTC Setup
ETH is pressing the upper short-term channel with elevated RSI and slight negative divergence, a short-term caution, but institutional inflows remain powerful ($461M in ETH ETP inflows last week vs $253M for BTC).
BTC is coiling just under record highs (~$122K), with long-term patterns targeting $130K–$140K. Futures structures mirror prior breakouts that delivered triple-digit rallies. ETF demand, retirement-plan inflows, and regulatory easing are aligning into a historic setup.
Super-App Transformation: COIN’s Strategic Edge
I’m seeing Coinbase rapidly evolve from a crypto exchange to a multi-faceted fintech super-app. The Base App integrates DeFi access, payments, tokenized assets, and social trading. With SEC’s Project Crypto roadmap, tokenized securities could be listed alongside digital assets, creating a first-mover moat in the U.S.
Stablecoin partnerships, particularly $CRCL, position COIN to collect recurring yield-like revenue streams. This diversifies away from commission cyclicality and ties its financial performance directly to stablecoin velocity and U.S. dollar liquidity.
🌟🌌✨Why the Stars Align Now
• Technical compression into $337.58 resistance
• Historic macro policy catalyst unlocking $12T retirement capital
• BTC and ETH macro tailwinds with institutional sponsorship
• Super-app expansion positioning COIN as an “everything exchange”
• Stable, recurring income from stablecoin integrations
If $COIN breaks $337.58 with conviction, $350 becomes the new floor, $365 is the mid-term target, and $380+ is the squeeze zone. The setup blends short-term breakout probability with multi-quarter structural growth tailwinds, a rare alignment.
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