🚀⚡️📊 Tesla Bulls Unleashed: Record Weekly Close, China Model Y L Sell-Out Frenzy, $9M Put Sale, & Autonomy Momentum Surge! 📊⚡️🚀

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10-18

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 

$TSLA is attacking the $439.10 Fibonacci retracement level, with the blue top at $442.70 acting as the key breakout pivot. Weekly Bollinger Bands remain in expansion mode, a signature of trending conditions where standard deviations stretch beyond 2.0σ, signaling low-probability mean reversion and high directional persistence. A session-high close here would set the highest weekly close in Tesla’s history, triggering systematic inflows from momentum strategies. Empirically, Tesla’s microstructure shows a seven-session archetype of post-declination gap-ups, with Fridays carrying a +1.2% mean reversion bias driven by end-of-week positioning. As the broader market turned green into the close, bullish narratives are aligning at speed.

📰 Policy Tailwind Ignites

Vice President Kamala Harris admitted in her memoir 107 Days (released 16Oct25) that excluding Elon Musk from Biden’s 2021 EV summit was a “big mistake.” This rhetorical pivot, amplified at the Fortune Most Powerful Women Summit on 14Oct, marks a notable softening of the political stance toward Tesla. Historically, similar policy reframings have correlated with +3.2% mean intraday pops in policy-sensitive stocks. Combine that with Tesla’s record Q3 energy storage deployments of 9.4 GWh (+67% YoY), and it points toward deeper integration into future U.S. EV frameworks. As Q4 earnings approach on 22Oct (consensus EPS $0.48, revenue $25.2B), policy momentum could help rerate the stock structurally, even as BNP Paribas Exane’s $350 Underperform was easily absorbed into today’s +2.1% rally to $435.15.

🇨🇳 China Model Y L Demand Frenzy

Tesla’s extended-wheelbase Model Y L is now sold out in China until December, with fresh orders queueing past November at RMB 339,000 (~$47,180). September CPCA data showed 90,812 units (+2.8% YoY, +9.2% MoM), reversing two months of contraction. Insurance registrations, a leading proxy for demand, rose 15% MoM through 10Oct, signaling accelerating uptake. Shanghai Gigafactory is now operating at roughly 95% utilization, with export ramps to Europe set to offset US tax credit expiries. In a market where EV penetration hit 52% in September, Tesla’s 12.3% share and targeted strategic variants give it asymmetric Q4 volume upside.

💰 Options Flow: Timestamped Institutional Conviction

Flows were electric. At 12:35pm ET, a $1.71M sweep hit the Dec 2027 $910C. Minutes earlier, $900C and $940C strikes saw $1.68M and $1.79M blocks. Repeated $520C Dec 2025 sweeps over $1.5M stacked gamma northward. The standout was a $9.19M naked sale of 3,000 $430P expiring 28Nov25 at $30.59, implying a breakeven of $399.41. That’s not hedging; that’s a conviction floor from size. Gamma convexity is concentrated at $440–$445 (1.2M contracts), setting the stage for dealer hedging flows to accelerate if $442.70 breaks cleanly. The call/put ratio sits at 2.1:1 with implied vol at 48% vs 20-day HV of 42%.

📊 Microstructure & Technicals

Intraday, Tesla ripped off $421.41 support, slicing through multiple high-volume nodes and reclaiming the $434.64–$436.10 value area high. AVWAP from the September breakout base anchors near $430, providing bulls with a defined launchpad. 4H Keltner and Bollinger structures continue to expand, supported by a bullish EMA stack. On 30m, price reclaimed short-term EMAs with authority, flipping microstructure to buyer control. Stochastic RSI remains elevated but not exhausted, reflecting impulse strength without blow-off.

💼 My Trade: Precision Scalping With Conviction

Picked up some $TSLL yesterday for a quick swing and trimmed into the rip today. Nothing huge, just clean weekend pocket money locked in while the bigger $TSLA setup plays out.

I scaled into $TSLL (Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X) on the intraday flush at 19.94, targeting the reclaim of the $428 volume node. Trimmed into the rip for +186.88 USD. Clean, fast, surgical. This is how I trade structured levels while holding core exposure for Tesla’s bigger structural arcs: autonomy, energy, and robotics.

📈 Momentum Roadmap

I’m watching $442.70 as the immediate breakout trigger. A clean breach, with volume >2× ADV and a close > open +1σ, could drive algorithmic thrust into the $453–$458 gamma vault, echoing July 2024’s +12% follow-through. A stall could trigger a flush toward $430 VWAP for repositioning, not reversal. With Cybercab, Optimus demos, and autonomy policy narratives converging into Q4, the upside skew remains firmly intact.

⚡️ Macro Sentiment Flip

BNP Paribas Exane’s bearish note triggered a 1.5% premarket dip, which was immediately absorbed. Tesla closed up +2.1%, reaffirming how little sell ratings matter when demand, flow, and policy converge. As my old hedge fund boss said, “Someone always knows something.” Today, the flow spoke loud and clear.

📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀

Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

@Tiger_comments @TigerObserver @TigerPM @TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @Tiger_Earnings @1PC 

1 Trln Pay Package Approved! Tesla Sell the News: Hold for Long Term?
On November 6, more than 75% of shareholders voted in favor of Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s new compensation package. Under the plan, if Musk meets a series of milestones over the next ten years, he will gradually receive about 423.7 million restricted stock units (RSUs) — up to USD 1 trillion. Can Musk realistically hit these ambitious milestones in the next decade? Will this massive pay package truly align Tesla’s growth with shareholder interests After the approval, is Tesla a “sell the news” trade — or a long-term conviction hold?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • PetS
    10-18
    PetS
    The way you tied the options flow to structural positioning is exactly why I follow your posts. That $9.19M naked put sale at $430 caught my eye. Someone’s clearly building size with conviction. If $TSLA clears $442.70, the gamma pocket could make this move explosive.
    • Barcode
      🦾🚘🤖🟩 ʜᴀᴘᴘʏ TESSIE ᴛʀᴀᴅɪɴɢ ᴀʜᴇᴀᴅ! ᴄʜᴇᴇʀs, ʙᴄ 🍀🍀🍀
    • Barcode
      🩵 May your skies be blue and your trades green 🟢
    • Barcode
      PetS you spotted one of the most telling flows. That $9.19M naked put sale is serious size. When someone writes that kind of floor, they’re usually looking to harvest theta while expecting upside acceleration. It’s a bold but calculated stance.
    • Barcode
      Thanks for taking the time to read my post PetS, it means a lot to share the journey with sharp minds like yours!
  • Tui Jude
    10-18
    Tui Jude
    📊That Harris policy angle with the 3.2% historical pop stat is sharp. If that plays out into the Q4 earnings window, the rerating potential could be bigger than people expect. I’m also watching that $442.70 breakout zone closely. Reminds me of how $META behaved before its July run.
    • Barcode
      🦾🚘🤖🟩 ʜᴀᴘᴘʏ TESSIE ᴛʀᴀᴅɪɴɢ ᴀʜᴇᴀᴅ! ᴄʜᴇᴇʀs, ʙᴄ 🍀🍀🍀
    • Barcode
      🩵 May your skies be blue and your trades green 🟢
    • Barcode
      TJ that’s precisely it. The policy pivot paired with earnings expectations could create a rerating window. If we get that clean breakout through $442.70, the structural upside starts aligning just like $META’s pre-run positioning phase.
    • Barcode
      I’m grateful you took a moment to go through my post TJ. The more we can exchange thoughtful ideas, the better we can navigate both the opportunities and the risks in markets like these.
  • Cool Cat Winston
    10-18
    Cool Cat Winston
    📈I really liked how you framed the 432 neckline as the ignition point. That inverted head and shoulders into close feels classic Tesla. The way the dark pool orders pulled back reminded me of how NVDA behaved before its May breakout.
    • Barcode
      🦾🚘🤖🟩 ʜᴀᴘᴘʏ TESSIE ᴛʀᴀᴅɪɴɢ ᴀʜᴇᴀᴅ! ᴄʜᴇᴇʀs, ʙᴄ 🍀🍀🍀
    • Barcode
      🩵 May your skies be blue and your trades green 🟢
    • Barcode
      CCW you nailed it. That gamma convexity zone is exactly where positioning can cascade. The $910C sweep adds credibility to the directional bias. It reminds me of how institutional flow front-ran $NVDA’s breakout earlier this year.
    • Barcode
      I appreciate you taking the time to read my post CCW. Your engagement helps push these market discussions further, and it’s always valuable to exchange perspectives on where we might be in the cycle.
  • Queengirlypops
    10-18
    Queengirlypops
    This whole setup feels like it’s building pressure right under the surface. The 421 support test into that neckline resistance is so tight. If volume hits, it’s lights out for anyone short. Tesla’s Friday energy is wild 🧃
    • Barcode
      Q exactly. When policy, flow, and technicals all tighten like this, the coil usually resolves with momentum. The roadmap is clean, and that CPCA demand base gives the move real fundamental backing.
    • Barcode
      🦾🚘🤖🟩 ʜᴀᴘᴘʏ TESSIE ᴛʀᴀᴅɪɴɢ ᴀʜᴇᴀᴅ! ᴄʜᴇᴇʀs, ʙᴄ 🍀🍀🍀
    • Barcode
      🩵 May your skies be blue and your trades green 🟢
    • Barcode
      Thank you for going through my post Q. Every reader who engages with these ideas helps sharpen the market lens we’re all trying to look through together.
  • Kiwi Tigress
    10-18
    Kiwi Tigress
    The dark pool cancellations were the part that got me. That’s like the big money literally stepping back and waiting for the trigger. If Tesla clears 432 cleanly, this could run fast.
    • Barcode
      KT that Friday pattern is one of those subtle signals algorithms love. When it overlaps with strong gamma positioning, the breakout moves tend to be sharp. The flow and narrative alignment here really stand out this time.
    • Barcode
      🦾🚘🤖🟩 ʜᴀᴘᴘʏ TESSIE ᴛʀᴀᴅɪɴɢ ᴀʜᴇᴀᴅ! ᴄʜᴇᴇʀs, ʙᴄ 🍀🍀🍀
    • Barcode
      🩵 May your skies be blue and your trades green 🟢
    • Barcode
      I appreciate you reading my article KT. Insights are always stronger when they’re part of a broader conversation, and your time spent here adds value to that dialogue.
  • PetS
    10-18
    PetS

    Great sharing in this article BC! Love the energy! Let's go TSLA!!!

    • Barcode
      🦾🚘🤖🟩 ʜᴀᴘᴘʏ TESSIE ᴛʀᴀᴅɪɴɢ ᴀʜᴇᴀᴅ! ᴄʜᴇᴇʀs, ʙᴄ 🍀🍀🍀
    • Barcode
      🩵 May your skies be blue and your trades green 🟢
    • Barcode
      👍 Your repost genuinely helps drive the conversation forward. It’s those small actions that create real ripple effects across the platform 📢🚀
    • Barcode
      Thanks for stopping by PetS, your engagement adds real depth.
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