EW Macro Thesis: 2025–2030

Every major asset just told me the same story:

20–30% correction 2025-26

→ Greatest blow-off top in history 2027-30

→ Secular peak post-2030

8 charts. One roadmap.

The Setup + Full Path

Indices finishing Wave (3)/(5) of V off 2009 low

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ blew past 2021-25 trendlines

$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ rejected on first tag

$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ still trapped below its 2021 bear trend

Phase 1 → 20-30% flush 2025-26

SPX 5100-5500
NDX 18k-19k
DJI 36.5k-39k
IWM 150-186

Phase 2 → Wave 5 of V 2027-30

SPX 9,000-10,000
NDX 30,000+
DJI 50k-55k

Dot-com on steroids. Then the cliff.

Dow Jones Transports just rang the fire alarm

DJI printed new ATHs 2024-25

DJT failed to confirm → classic late-cycle DIVERGENCE

Negative RSI + rejection from 2021-25 channel

Transports = economy’s heartbeat. When they lag, recession risk spikes.

Targets: 10,500–9,000.

The canary will drop dead.

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$

5-wave decline 2020 →2023 for Wave A done✅

Wave B rally to 96-108 locked (RSI div + Golden Cross)

Wave C Decline to 63 (Aligns with $SPX blow-off phase)

Risk-off rotation already live → 2025-26 correction confirmed.

DXY

Sitting on 97-100 mega-confluence support

→ 103-108 next

→ Final FVG kiss 92-85

→ Multi-year bull run to 120 after

Strong dollar = equity pain into 2026 low.

$Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ + $Silver - main 2512(SImain)$

Gold topped 4375

→ Wave-4 bleed to 3750-3450

Silver → 46-46

Both correct with stocks 2025-26

Then Gold 5k+ / Silver 60-70 on 2027-30 inflation mania.

BTC

5-wave advance 2022→2025 complete (~126k)

→ Wave IV: 30k-15k ->2026

→ Wave V: 500k-1,000,000 ->2030

2009-2030 inception-to-maturity cycle.

Bitcoin never lies.

Every single market is screaming the same path:

2025-26: flush it

2026: load it

2027-30: greatest mania ever

Post-2030: secular top

One script. Zero deviation.

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