SImain (Silver - main 2603)
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avatarReynor
02-04

Is This the Time to Bottom-Fish in Gold and Silver? Let’s Check the COTs

Last Friday (January 31), gold and silver $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ $迷你白银主连 2603(QImain)$ $白银2603(SI2603)$ suffered a historic crash—leaving countless traders wondering: Is this a golden “buy-the-dip” opportunity, or just the beginning of a deeper sell-off? Especially now that gold has started rebounding over the past couple of days, FOMO is kicking in hard. $黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ $微黄金主连 2604(MGCmain)$ $1盎司黄金主连 2604(1OZmain)$ $富兰克林黄金及贵金属基金A (acc)USD(LU0496367417.USD)$ But i
Is This the Time to Bottom-Fish in Gold and Silver? Let’s Check the COTs

Gold & Silver: Rebound or Reversal? Two Key Signals to Watch

After the sharp sell-off, the question weighing on many people right now is: can we buy the dip in gold and silver? If we do, are we looking at a short-term rebound—or a true reversal that resumes a longer-term uptrend? Let me start with the conclusion. In my view, the current rise in gold and silver should be treated only as a short-term rebound. Before prices rebound beyond a certain level, we should be extremely cautious: assume there will still be a C-wave selloff, and when the rebound peaks and shows signs of turning down, try again to build short positions. If the market keeps rising and moves above the entry level for the short, then stop out immediately. In short, before the market forms a clear bottoming structure, and before the risk event of Wash taking over as Fed Chair is defi
Gold & Silver: Rebound or Reversal? Two Key Signals to Watch

35% Crash: Silver Buying Opportunity?

Last Friday night, gold $黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ and silve $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ r posted their largest single-day declines in history. Silver plunged as much as 35% in one day, nearly erasing all of its gains for the year in a single blow. Such extreme volatility far exceeded most investors’ expectations. However, readers who have been following my analysis should recall that I long ago characterized this silver rally as a “short squeeze”—a phenomenon not uncommon in futures markets (typically erupting in some commodity every 2–3 years). Since short squeezes are driven more by market positioning and sentiment than by fundamental supply-demand dynamics, they tend to unwind just as violentl
35% Crash: Silver Buying Opportunity?

How to Buy the Dip After Gold and Silver Crash?

After a near-vertical rally, gold and silver were finally “punished” last Friday, with both plunging sharply in a single day. Silver, measured from its peak, even suffered a drawdown close to being cut in half. After such a violent round-trip, do ordinary investors still have a viable trading opportunity?​ From a volatility standpoint, the current environment is no longer suitable for the vast majority of retail and traditional precious-metals traders. Moves that used to take a full year can now happen in a single day or within a week. This kind of irrational volatility also means the old stop-loss logic and methods stop working. Whether you try to buy the dip or fade a rebound, there’s a high probability you’ll get stopped out. And if someone dares to skip a stop-loss to avoid getting wic
How to Buy the Dip After Gold and Silver Crash?
avatarBarcode
01-31
$SLV 20260618 69.0 CALL$ $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$  $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$  💥 SOLD INTO THE PANIC AS THE METALS COMPLEX IMPLODED 💥🤑💸💰 I closed my $SLV call as the tape cracked wide open! 🔥 +397.34% realised 💰 +$15,614.95 locked 🪙 Tiger coins secured What followed was not a dip. It was forced liquidation across the entire metals complex. 🟡 Gold −9.2% worst day ever ⚪ Silver −27% worst day ever since 2011 🟠 Copper −4.4% 🔵 Platinum −18% I don’t fight the tape. I extract liquidity, step aside, and let volatility do the damage. This is precision execution when panic floods the order book, not prediction. Survival first. Prof
avatarBarcode
01-31

🔥🥈🤖 Metals Crash vs AI Capital Rotation, Liquidity Shock, Regime Reset 🤖🥈🔥

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   📉 Gamma Flip, Convexity Unwind, Positioning Washout, Execution Edge 📉 🧠 Cross-Asset Repricing and Capital Reallocation I’m watching capital reprice decisively across assets, not rotate casually. The most telling signal is structural, not emotional: $NVDA has once again overtaken Silver in market value, reversing the brief January inversion where $SLV and $GLD collectively eclipsed AI leaders during a leverage-driven blow-off. That reversal matters. It confirms capital preference is re-
🔥🥈🤖 Metals Crash vs AI Capital Rotation, Liquidity Shock, Regime Reset 🤖🥈🔥
avatarBarcode
01-31

🚨🇺🇸 Government shutdown risk and historic silver crash signal a volatility regime shift across markets 🇺🇸🚨

$Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ $Deckers Outdoor(DECK)$  $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$  I am calling a macro regime inflection. Imminent US government shutdown risk, a historic silver liquidation, and correlated cross-asset deleveraging are converging into a structural volatility event that is reshaping liquidity conditions, institutional positioning, and price discovery dynamics. This is not episodic noise. This is systemic stress materialising in real time. 🧭 Government shutdown risk as a liquidity and data shock US government funding expires imminently, with Senate negotiations stalled and deal friction intensifying into
🚨🇺🇸 Government shutdown risk and historic silver crash signal a volatility regime shift across markets 🇺🇸🚨

Fed Turns Hawkish—Risk Incoming? A Silver Bear Spread Setup—and Why I’m Waiting on Gold

First, I want to share a screenshot from my previous analysis of silver and gold price action. In that earlier piece, I said silver’s short-term top—assuming the Fed did not turn more hawkish and there was no black-swan surge in the U.S. dollar—should be above 130, while gold could be headed above 5,000. A little over a week later, silver has already printed a new high, and gold has also surged well past 5,000. $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ $白银2603(SI2603)$ $2倍做多白银ETF-ProShares(AGQ)$ $白银ETF-iShares(SLV)$ $微白银主连 2603(SILmain)$
Fed Turns Hawkish—Risk Incoming? A Silver Bear Spread Setup—and Why I’m Waiting on Gold
avatarReynor
01-29

Is Copper the Next Silver? CFTC Data Hints at a Base Metals Bull Run

Hi everyone! Today we’re breaking down the latest CFTC data—the Commitments of Traders report published weekly by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. If you trade futures, this is a must-watch indicator. Why? Because it reveals the balance between bulls and bears, tracks where big money is flowing, and offers key insights into market sentiment and price expectations. $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ $白银2603(SI2603)$ The report splits traders into two main groups: Commercial traders (industry players like miners or manufacturers hedging real exposure) Non-commercial traders (speculators—hedge funds, institutional players betting on price moves) We’ll walk through it together so yo
Is Copper the Next Silver? CFTC Data Hints at a Base Metals Bull Run
avatarReynor
01-28

Don’t Miss the Second Act: Base Metals After Gold’s Run?

If there’s one clear focus in the futures market recently, it’s undoubtedly silver.But today, let’s take a step back from silver and zoom out for a broader perspective: Does the recent surge in gold and silver signal the start of a bull market in base metals? There’s a well-known commodity cycle that combines the Merrill Lynch Investment Clock with Jeremy Grantham’s concept of the “commodity supercycle launch sequence.” It goes like this: The early warning sign that an economic downturn is ending is a rise in gold and silver prices. $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ Why? Because during late-stage slowdowns, real demand is weak and industrial commodities languish—so capital flows into safe-haven assets like precious metals. At the same time, central banks w
Don’t Miss the Second Act: Base Metals After Gold’s Run?

Is Trump Publicly Backing a Weaker Dollar? AreThe Dip Buyers Ready For The Market Soaring?

Earlier this Tuesday, a U.S. financial journalist asked President Donald Trump a question that has broadly worried Wall Street: “Are you concerned about the recent decline in the U.S. dollar?” Trump’s response surprised the market: he said no, he thought it was great, and that the dollar should be allowed to find its own level because that is “fair”—adding that if you look at China and Japan, they always want their currencies to depreciate. In market reporting, bullion rose as much as 1.3% on Wednesday after jumping 3.4% the day before (its biggest one-day gain since April), and Trump said he was not concerned about a weaker dollar even as the world’s premier reserve currency slid to its weakest level in nearly four years. This statement clearly reads as tacit approval—or even welcome—for
Is Trump Publicly Backing a Weaker Dollar? AreThe Dip Buyers Ready For The Market Soaring?

Trump’s TACO Play Delivers—But How Long Can Gold and Silver Keep Soaring?

The “tariffs-for-Greenland” drama, which had markets on edge for days, quieted down Wednesday night after Trump’s latest “TACO” move. U.S. equity indices, having touched their 20-week moving average, bounced back as expected—thanks to a clean alignment of news flow and technical support.What is the “TACO trade”?It stands for “Trump Always Chickens Out,” a term coined in 2025 by Robert Armstrong, a columnist at the Financial Times. It describes a recurring pattern in Trump’s policy playbook since returning to office: his administration loudly announces aggressive measures—like steep tariffs on foreign nations—sparking market panic and sell-offs. But under pressure, it soon pauses, scales back, or reverses course, triggering a swift rally.This cycle has worked repeatedly in 2025. The recent
Trump’s TACO Play Delivers—But How Long Can Gold and Silver Keep Soaring?

A weaker dollar and higher gold may be entering a new phase.

Last week, the upward momentum in precious metals ignored clear overbought signals on both daily and weekly timeframes. Gold and silver kept hitting fresh all-time highs, with silver firmly breaking above $ 100.This week, gold $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$ has already climbed past the 5,000 mark, potentially opening the door to even more explosive gains.Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ is teetering on the edge of a major long-term trendline breakdown. If current support fails, the dollar could face a depreciation of 10% or more.On the news front, last week should have been dominated by easing geopolitical tensions—but investors weren’t buying it.Notably, the long-standing
A weaker dollar and higher gold may be entering a new phase.
avatarBarcode
01-25
$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$  $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$  $Vizsla Silver Corp(VZLA)$  🥈🚀💰 Silver Just Printed a +256.88% Unrealised Gain 💰🚀🥈 I am sitting on a +256.88% unrealised profit on my SLV 69C. Premium paid $7.86, now trading near $28.05. This is convexity meeting momentum at scale, where macro metals pressure, CTA trend expansion, and capital flow alignment compress time and accelerate price discovery. 📈 Inflation hedging demand is intensifying ⚙️ Industrial silver fundamentals continue to tighten supply narratives 📊 CTA and systematic trend positioning are reinforcing upside
avatarBarcode
01-24
$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$  $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$  Silver just broke $100 per ounce for the first time in history 🥈🚀 +41% YTD, +37% MTD, vertical breakout, parabolic momentum, regime shift in precious metals 📈 CTA flows rotating into metals 🧠💰 Silver now leads volatility in hard assets ⚡ Generational repricing, not a squeeze 🏛️🔥 🪙🥈🏆 🅗🅐🅟🅟🅨 Ⓣⓡⓐⓓⓘⓝⓖ 🅐🅗🅔🅐🅓! 🅒🅗🅔🅔🅡🅢 🅑🅒 🍀🍀🍀🟢

Why Does Trump Keep Pressuring America’s Allies—and Why It Could Be an Opportunity for EUR Shorts

Last week’s macro framework is still working this week, and Trump has kicked off yet another farce: he floated the idea of purchasing Greenland from Europe and also imposed tariffs on eight European countries that opposed him.​ The situation has become even more turbulent.Why Trump Threatened 11 Countries in Just Two Weeks: The Dollar on the Edge Tells the StoryThis is almost certainly not the last step in Trump’s external provocation, but it is very likely an important move within his broader foreign strategy.​Today, let’s take a little time to briefly discuss the logic behind the Greenland dispute.First, one point must be clarified: why is Trump deliberately stirring trouble in his own “backyard”?​ One day it’s Venezu
Why Does Trump Keep Pressuring America’s Allies—and Why It Could Be an Opportunity for EUR Shorts