Hi, Tigers!
Michael Burry â yes, the guy Christian Bale played in The Big Short â is once again back in the headlines. His firm Scion Asset Management has reportedly de-registered as an SEC-registered hedge fund, signalling a major shift in his operation. At the same time, filings show large put-option bets against $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and other AI-linked stocks.
Before we chase the headline, three quick reality checks:
13F filings (or similar) only show holdings at quarter-end; they donât reveal when the positions were initiated or closed. Thus, the profit or loss of the short bets is ambiguous. For example: if he built the NVDA short early in Q1 when NVDA dropped ~19.3% then closed before the rebound, profit plausible; if he held into Q2 when NVDA rose ~45.8%, a loss likely.
Put options arenât the same as directly shorting stock: the maximum loss = the premium paid, which is different risk profile.
As of now, we donât know exactly when Burry closed or how much he paid for premium, so the outcome remains speculative.
So what exactly happened? Andâhereâs the kickerâhave you ever tried shorting a stock? Letâs dive in.
đ According to the public infomation
In Q1 2025, Burryâs Scion disclosed put-option positions on NVDA â around 900,000 shares worth about US$97 million. (Note: exact figures vary by report.)
In Q2, those short positions reportedly were cleared; the Q2 filing shows no large-held NVDA puts.
In Q3 2025, Scion opened a new put-option position: approximately 1 million NVDA puts, notional value ~US$186 million.
Meanwhile, Scion also took a much larger put-position against $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ of ~US$912 million notional in Q3.
In short, Michael Burryâs recent move is both bold and opaque. Whether his NVDA short pays off or not, the message for individual investors is clear: shorting is tough. Especially when you face strong fundamentals, a buoyant market and momentum behind a stock, the odds can be steep. And if you are considering a short, make sure you treat it like a trade needing discipline, not just a âbet the houseâ gamble.
đ Questions for Tigers:
Have you ever attempted to short a stock? â direct short selling, put options, inverse ETFs?
How do you approach risk and position sizing when you short? Do you use stop-losses, hedge?
Do you look at timing, technical signals, or macro cues when you think about a short?
â¨Share your experience in the comments section â letâs build a discussion.
đPrizes Comment Rewards: All valid comments on the following post will receive Tiger Coins, but donât copy othersâ homework hahaha. We strongly recommend selecting the "Also repost" button when posting a comment to receive more rewards.
đĄNew to the short side? Hereâs a two-minute crash courseâno finance degree required.
Shorting methods
Buying put options (âlong putâ): You pay premium, gain if stock falls, max loss is premium.
Direct short stock: You borrow shares, sell, hope to buy back lower; risk is theoretically unlimited.
Inverse ETFs / derivatives: Indirect way, often less flexible but lower individual stock risk.
Risk management
Strict Implementation is a Must for All Transactionsďź
If youâre shorting, precision matters. For example, enter around $178.05, set a stop near $177.20 â thatâs roughly 1% risk. Map out your exit too: first target at $171.60, second around $168.75.
In a strong bull market, shorts can get steamrolled fast, so most traders keep it short-term â 2 to 5 trading days at most â unless youâre betting on a real structural break. And no matter how confident you feel, donât let a single trade risk more than 2% of your total capital.
Timing Is Everything
Good shorts arenât just about conviction â theyâre about timing. Look to enter near key resistance levels, or when you see heavy call-option activity and fading volume. On the macro side, watch for overstretched valuations and euphoric sentiment â classic warning signs of a possible pullback. And if you want to play it smart? Hedge your bets â go long a peer or a sector ETF to balance out your risk.
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Comments
Iâve shorted before, mainly through inverse ETFs or puts, but always with strict risk limits. I cap exposure below 2% of capital and set tight stops because shorts can move against you fast. For me, itâs a tactical play, not a long-term bet.
Before entering, I wait for signs of exhaustion â stretched prices, fading volume, or overbought sentiment. Sometimes I hedge with a long position in a related stock or ETF. My question is: with AI stocks still running hot, is it smarter to fade the hype now or keep riding the trend?
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @MillionaireTiger
For small investors like me, shorting can be dangerous. The Big Short can become The Big Ouch.
When you short a stock,your maximum gain is capped but your losses can be infinite. If the stock rallies, you are forced to buy back at higher prices.
Shorting requires margin. If the trade moves against you, brokers can demand more collateral or liquidate your position often at the worst possible time.
The opposite of Michael Burry's Big Short? The Big Long.
While Burry bet against the system, I bet on its resilience. He saw collapse, I see conviction. He shorted chaos. I hold through clarity.
While Burry profited from shorting, I prospered through holding stocks long term.
Investing is a marathon, not a sprint. It is time in the market that counts, not timing the market.
@MillionaireTiger @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub
On my part, I find Palantir to be overhyped and gassed up by individuals who are driven by the hype, and maybe has ties to shady individuals involved in the white house.
The fact that the CEO guy constantly says questionable things about surveillance vapidly and recently tried to play it off with the pathetic excuse of not wanting to lose to China, sounds like he has no clue about how to ethically do things.
I believe that such businesses will start to fall to the wayside when a competitor pops up with stronger conduct. That, or unsavoury news will pop up about the management, and PLTR will be dumped by investors.