🎁Michael Burry Closes His Fund After Bold NVDA Put Bet – Have you ever shorted a stock?

MillionaireTiger
11-13

Hi, Tigers!

Michael Burry — yes, the guy Christian Bale played in The Big Short — is once again back in the headlines. His firm Scion Asset Management has reportedly de-registered as an SEC-registered hedge fund, signalling a major shift in his operation. At the same time, filings show large put-option bets against $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and other AI-linked stocks.

Before we chase the headline, three quick reality checks:

13F filings (or similar) only show holdings at quarter-end; they don’t reveal when the positions were initiated or closed. Thus, the profit or loss of the short bets is ambiguous. For example: if he built the NVDA short early in Q1 when NVDA dropped ~19.3% then closed before the rebound, profit plausible; if he held into Q2 when NVDA rose ~45.8%, a loss likely.

Put options aren’t the same as directly shorting stock: the maximum loss = the premium paid, which is different risk profile.

As of now, we don’t know exactly when Burry closed or how much he paid for premium, so the outcome remains speculative.

So what exactly happened? And—here’s the kicker—have you ever tried shorting a stock? Let’s dive in.

📝 According to the public infomation

  • In Q1 2025, Burry’s Scion disclosed put-option positions on NVDA — around 900,000 shares worth about US$97 million. (Note: exact figures vary by report.)

  • In Q2, those short positions reportedly were cleared; the Q2 filing shows no large-held NVDA puts.

  • In Q3 2025, Scion opened a new put-option position: approximately 1 million NVDA puts, notional value ~US$186 million.

  • Meanwhile, Scion also took a much larger put-position against $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ of ~US$912 million notional in Q3.

In short, Michael Burry’s recent move is both bold and opaque. Whether his NVDA short pays off or not, the message for individual investors is clear: shorting is tough. Especially when you face strong fundamentals, a buoyant market and momentum behind a stock, the odds can be steep. And if you are considering a short, make sure you treat it like a trade needing discipline, not just a “bet the house” gamble.

👉 Questions for Tigers:

  • Have you ever attempted to short a stock? — direct short selling, put options, inverse ETFs?

  • How do you approach risk and position sizing when you short? Do you use stop-losses, hedge?

  • Do you look at timing, technical signals, or macro cues when you think about a short?

✨Share your experience in the comments section — let’s build a discussion.

🎁Prizes Comment Rewards: All valid comments on the following post will receive Tiger Coins, but don’t copy others’ homework hahaha. We strongly recommend selecting the "Also repost" button when posting a comment to receive more rewards.


💡New to the short side? Here’s a two-minute crash course—no finance degree required.

  1. Shorting methods

    1. Buying put options (“long put”): You pay premium, gain if stock falls, max loss is premium.

    2. Direct short stock: You borrow shares, sell, hope to buy back lower; risk is theoretically unlimited.

    3. Inverse ETFs / derivatives: Indirect way, often less flexible but lower individual stock risk.

  1. Risk management

Strict Implementation is a Must for All Transactions:

If you’re shorting, precision matters. For example, enter around $178.05, set a stop near $177.20 — that’s roughly 1% risk. Map out your exit too: first target at $171.60, second around $168.75.

In a strong bull market, shorts can get steamrolled fast, so most traders keep it short-term — 2 to 5 trading days at most — unless you’re betting on a real structural break. And no matter how confident you feel, don’t let a single trade risk more than 2% of your total capital.

  1. Timing Is Everything

Good shorts aren’t just about conviction — they’re about timing. Look to enter near key resistance levels, or when you see heavy call-option activity and fading volume. On the macro side, watch for overstretched valuations and euphoric sentiment — classic warning signs of a possible pullback. And if you want to play it smart? Hedge your bets — go long a peer or a sector ETF to balance out your risk.

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Other helpful links:

Michael Burry Warns of Tech Giants Understating Depreciation Impacting Profits
Michael Burry, known for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, has raised concerns about major tech companies potentially understating depreciation, leading to inflated profits. He highlighted that extending the useful life of assets could result in a $176 billion profit overstatement. This warning has sparked discussions about the impact on companies like Oracle and Meta. Morgan Stanley and Bank of America have also issued warnings about the potential negative effects of underestimated depreciation on tech giants' profitability.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Shyon
    11-13
    Shyon
    I’ve always found Michael Burry’s contrarian plays fascinating, but his $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ and $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ shorts remind me how risky it is to fight market momentum. 13F filings don’t reveal timing, so it’s hard to know if he profited or not. Personally, I take his moves as a signal to stay cautious, not as a cue to follow — shorting top AI names in a strong bull run can backfire quickly.

    I’ve shorted before, mainly through inverse ETFs or puts, but always with strict risk limits. I cap exposure below 2% of capital and set tight stops because shorts can move against you fast. For me, it’s a tactical play, not a long-term bet.

    Before entering, I wait for signs of exhaustion — stretched prices, fading volume, or overbought sentiment. Sometimes I hedge with a long position in a related stock or ETF. My question is: with AI stocks still running hot, is it smarter to fade the hype now or keep riding the trend?

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @MillionaireTiger

  • ZhongRenChun
    11-14
    ZhongRenChun
    I've made tons of profit shorting.  but you must be careful not to get liquidated.  keep lots of extra cash and maintain healthy margin requirements to prevent liquidation. speaking of which tiger brokers charges around 100% interest on shorts, but they dont even tell us the exact interest rate, it should be clearly shown before shorting.
  • koolgal
    11-14
    koolgal
    🌟🌟🌟Michael Burry shot to fame for predicting the 2008 US housing market crash & profiting massively by shorting mortgage backed securities.
    For small investors like me, shorting can be dangerous. The Big Short can become The Big Ouch.

    When you short a stock,your maximum gain is capped but your losses can be infinite. If the stock rallies, you are forced to buy back at higher prices.

    Shorting requires margin. If the trade moves against you, brokers can demand more collateral or liquidate your position often at the worst possible time.

    The opposite of Michael Burry's Big Short? The Big Long.

    While Burry bet against the system, I bet on its resilience. He saw collapse, I see conviction. He shorted chaos.  I hold through clarity.

    While Burry profited from shorting, I prospered through holding stocks long term.

    Investing is a marathon, not a sprint.  It is time in the market that counts, not timing the market.

    @MillionaireTiger @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub

  • L.Lim
    11-13
    L.Lim
    I strongly believe that there has to be some logic to Burry's decision.
    On my part, I find Palantir to be overhyped and gassed up by individuals who are driven by the hype, and maybe has ties to shady individuals involved in the white house.
    The fact that the CEO guy constantly says questionable things about surveillance vapidly and recently tried to play it off with the pathetic excuse of not wanting to lose to China, sounds like he has no clue about how to ethically do things.
    I believe that such businesses will start to fall to the wayside when a competitor pops up with stronger conduct. That, or unsavoury news will pop up about the management, and PLTR will be dumped by investors.
  • Sacen
    11-14
    Sacen
    Isn't put gain premium? So he would have not paid any premium but gain premium and purchased Nvidia cheaper if it hit his strike price at expirey.
  • Universe宇宙
    11-15
    Universe宇宙
    Perhaps he might find greater success by considering a short position on $Chipotle Mexican Grill(CMG)$ instead. [Thinking]
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