Shyon
12-04 08:47

When I look at Tesla's latest China numbers, I actually see strength building beneath the surface. The November wholesale figures showed solid year-on-year growth, and the momentum from October seems to be carrying through. For a market that has been extremely competitive this year, these stabilizing trends tell me demand is finding its footing at exactly the right moment heading into year-end.

Europe remains soft, but even the "less terrible" results from Germany helped tone down the bearish sentiment. What stood out to me was the market reaction: Tesla managed to trade green while many China EV names slipped. To me, that's a clear sign that investors are beginning to shift away from viewing Tesla purely through the lens of quarterly auto volume. Instead, the market is slowly leaning into the bigger themes I've been following — automation, robotics, and autonomy.

Technically, the structure still looks constructive. Buyers have consistently defended major support zones, and the trend indicators show momentum rebuilding. I'm seeing continued signs of accumulation rather than distribution, especially in the way call flow has picked up and downside protection has been reduced. That's usually what happens when institutions quietly position for a potential upside move.

Fundamentally, the robotics and autonomy narrative is becoming a far more important part of the story. With the U.S. government pushing toward a national robotics strategy and Tesla being the only company with humanoids ready for factory pilots, I see a margin-expansion storyline forming that's very different from the typical EV cycle. Add the ongoing rollout of the latest FSD updates and growing regulatory engagement, and it's clear the market is starting to price in long-term optionality beyond cars.

So with improving China data, stabilizing sentiment in Europe, supportive technicals, and a powerful robotics/autonomy catalyst underneath, I do think a year-end rally is possible. For me, as long as Tesla $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   maintains its current trend structure and keeps building momentum, the setup leans bullish. The near-term price action may still wobble, but the broader story looks stronger than what the headlines suggest.

As a retail investor, I focus mainly on the US and Singapore markets, combining a mix of technical trading and long-term investing strategies. I enjoy analyzing charts, spotting patterns, and making calculated moves based on both market sentiment and fundamentals. While I'm not a professional, I treat my portfolio seriously and continue to learn and grow with each trade. If you're also navigating the markets and enjoy discussing stocks, options, or market trends, feel free to follow me. Let's learn and grow together as a community. 

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Tesla Back on the Table! Can Optimus Drive a Breakout?
After reports this week that Tesla’s China sales have been strong — followed by news that the Trump administration plans to aggressively push the development of robotics — investors are getting excited again. Optimus, one of the key reasons behind Tesla’s high valuation, is also back in the spotlight. Is it finally Tesla’s turn to rally? Tesla is up only 12% YTD, making it the only major tech stock that hasn’t hit a new high this year. Can it break above the previous high of $488 by year-end?
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Comments

  • Enid Bertha
    10:42
    Enid Bertha
    TSLA's P/E ratio is 300 - there are several years of Future already baked in to today's price. At some point, TSLA stock price will take a tumble like PLTR did with its 300-700 P/E ratio.

    • Shyon
      Hopefully it won't, I still wait for it to skyrocket!
  • Merle Ted
    10:24
    Merle Ted
    Tesla will grow very fast from hear and shares will cost more soon.

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