Broadcom's latest earnings clearly show that the company is executing well operationally. Adjusted EPS of $1.95 and revenue of $18.02 billion for fiscal Q4 beat analyst expectations, and year-over-year growth of 37% in earnings and 28% in sales is impressive. AI semiconductor sales, which jumped 74% YoY, were a major contributor, and the guidance for Q1 revenue of $19.1 billion — up 28% YoY — underscores that Broadcom continues to ride strong demand in the AI and data center markets. On paper, this is a robust performance.
That said, the market reaction tells a different story. Broadcom stock fell more than 4% in after-hours trading despite the earnings beat. The reason seems to be the $73 billion backlog in AI products, which, surprisingly, disappointed some investors. It appears that expectations around the pace of AI growth are so high that even strong numbers are not enough. While AI revenue is growing rapidly, the market may be questioning whether the "AI dream" is fully translating into near-term execution and stock performance.
As for the semiconductor dip, I see it as a nuanced opportunity. Broadcom's fundamentals are strong: AI chip sales are growing, and the company has long-term relationships with major players like Google and Meta, plus a diversified portfolio of networking and switch products for AI data centers. The dividend increase of 10% to 65 cents per share and 15 consecutive years of dividend growth also show financial resilience. For investors with a longer-term horizon, the dip could be an attractive entry point, but short-term volatility will likely remain given market sensitivity to AI growth narratives.
Interpreting AVGO's earnings, I think it's a classic case of strong results clashing with sky-high expectations. Broadcom is clearly capitalizing on AI and data center demand, but the stock drop signals that investors are now focusing not just on growth, but on execution, backlogs, and how quickly revenues translate into tangible results. Personally, I would remain bullish on Broadcom's $Broadcom(AVGO)$
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