Shyon
12-23 11:30

Gold's latest surge feels different this time. Spot prices pushing toward $4,500 and chalking up nearly the 50th record high of the year highlights just how powerful the underlying trend has become. With gold and silver on track for their strongest annual performance in over 40 years, this rally is no longer just about short-term fear—it reflects a broader shift in how markets are pricing monetary policy, geopolitical risk, and long-term currency debasement.

From my perspective, the renewed expectation of two Fed rate cuts in 2026 is a key driver. Lower real rates have historically been the most reliable fuel for sustained gold bull markets, and this time it's reinforced by persistent geopolitical tensions and central-bank buying. When major institutions like Goldman Sachs argue that structural support for gold remains intact into next year, it reinforces my view that this is a trend, not a spike.

Will gold hit $5,000 in 2026? I think it's possible, though not guaranteed. It would likely require a combination of easing financial conditions, sticky inflation, and continued demand for safe assets. Even without a straight-line move to $5,000, prices holding above prior breakouts already suggest that the long-term upside skew remains favorable.

In terms of positioning, I personally prefer ETFs for core exposure. They offer a clean, liquid way to express a bullish view without the roll costs and short-term noise that come with futures. For investors with a longer horizon, ETFs help capture the structural trend while avoiding excessive leverage.

That said, leveraged ETFs or futures can make sense tactically, but only for short-term trades when momentum is strong and risk is tightly managed. As for gold-related stocks, I see them more as a higher-beta complement rather than a pure gold bet. For now, my approach is to keep a solid ETF core, add selectively on pullbacks, and use leverage sparingly—because in a market breaking records this often, risk management matters as much as conviction.

As a retail investor, I focus mainly on the US and Singapore markets, combining a mix of technical trading and long-term investing strategies. I enjoy analyzing charts, spotting patterns, and making calculated moves based on both market sentiment and fundamentals. While I'm not a professional, I treat my portfolio seriously and continue to learn and grow with each trade. If you're also navigating the markets and enjoy discussing stocks, options, or market trends, feel free to follow me. Let's learn and grow together as a community. 

@Tiger_comments  @TigerStars  @TigerClub  

Gold, Silver, Platinum, and Palladium Surge: Go Long or Short?
Spot gold accelerated sharply, rising around 2% intraday to a fresh all-time high near $4,500, marking roughly the 50th record break this year and positioning both gold and silver for their strongest annual performance in more than four decades. The latest surge has been driven by renewed bets that the Federal Reserve will deliver two rate cuts in 2026, alongside heightened geopolitical risk, with major banks including Goldman Sachs arguing that structural support for gold remains intact into next year. Will gold hit $5000 in 2026? Would you trade stock futures, etfs or leveraged etfs?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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