$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$   $ProShares Ultra Silver(AGQ)$   Hey there—I'm no commodities trading guru; this is just my casual breakdown based on kopi chats with trader friends and some patchwork research. Take it easy—it's not advice, just food for thought. Let's dive into what looks like a textbook liquidity shock brewing in silver right now. We all know markets love throwing curveballs: events you see coming, but timing and sizing them? That's the killer. The Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) annual rebalancing is one of those—predictable, mechanical, and potentially explosive. On the surface, silver's target weight drops a smidge fr

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Will silver go up more?

Overheating. Time to fall.

Definitely Risk is forming 

Raising margin requirement seeks to solve or in this case stem an immenent problem. The Fulfillment of physical silver. CME mandate is to facilitate the delivery of physical silver to the owner of those futures contract. While traditionally, contracts have been rolled over, December saw a different outcome. 60% of the expired contracts sought For delivery instead of rollover. So now what? Expect more CME intervention to stem runaway silver prices while they bolster their inventory.  I am still of the view that silver will climb.

Buckle up, folks—precious metals just hit a wild speed bump that's got everyone buzzing! 😲 The CME Group dropped a bombshell on December 30, 2025, jacking up margin requirements for gold, silver, platinum, and palladium futures. This isn't their first rodeo; it's the second hike in a single week, effective right after the market close on December 31. Traders now need way more collateral to play the game—think silver's initial margin spiking from $25,000 to a whopping $32,500 per contract. Ouch! 💸 That means less leverage, more forced selling, and bam—silver futures tanked nearly 9% in a heartbeat, closing at $70.90 after peaking near $78.22 the day before. But let's zoom out: 2025 was an absolute beast for precious metals. Silver exploded over 140% for the year, while gold surged around 63

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🚨 Silver Bloodbath: -9% in a Flash! Is the "Super Cycle" Dead? The precious metals market just woke up to a crime scene. Silver futures plummeted 9% virtually overnight after the CME Group (the exchange governing futures) announced it is hiking margin requirements for Gold, Silver, Platinum, and Palladium. This wasn't a slow bleed—it was a liquidity air pocket. When the "House" changes the rules on leverage, the exit doors get jammed. But for savvy traders, the real question isn't "Why did it drop?" (we know why), but rather: "Is this the end of the rally, or the ultimate 'Buy the Blood' opportunity?" Let’s rip open the mechanics of this crash. 1️⃣ The "Liquidity Vacuum" Explained Retail traders often misunderstand margin hikes. They think, "Oh, it just costs a bit more to hold the trade."

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Gold and Silver rocketed and went into correction. This will keep repeating. Have to ennter and exit periodically. 

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Current context Silver has enjoyed an unprecedented year, rising around 150 per cent or more in 2025 and hitting record nominal levels above about US$75 per ounce. This rally has been driven by a combination of weak real interest rates, geopolitical uncertainty, structural deficits, industrial demand and speculative flows.  1. Could physical shortages render traditional valuation models ineffective? Yes, traditional quantitative models that rely on historical price behaviour or purely statistical patterns can lose explanatory power during structural dislocations. For example: • Societe Generale’s bubble-identification model signals a “bubble” on technical grounds (rapid, super-exponential growth with oscillations), but its own analysts highlight that structural shifts like de-dollaris

Silver ETF shares (like SLV) and miners (like AG) typically track the underlying metal’s moves — often with more volatility for miners because of leverage, costs, and company-specific factors. If silver prices continue higher, these stocks/ETFs generally benefit. If silver corrects or consolidates, mining stocks could see larger downward swings due to leverage.

2025 ending 2026 wil kick off with good start ?? [Miser]  [Miser]  [Miser]  [Miser]  

Flash Crash in Silver and Gold: End of the Bubble or Time to Load Up? The precious metals market experienced a dramatic shake-up on December 29, 2025, as silver and gold prices plummeted in what many are calling a "flash crash." Silver, which had surged to an all-time high of nearly $84 per ounce earlier in the day, cratered by over 15% to a low of around $73.72, marking its steepest single-day decline in nearly five years. Gold, while less volatile, retreated from its record highs near $4,584 to session lows around $4,385, erasing billions in market value across the sector.  This violent reversal came amid a banner year for precious metals, with silver posting a staggering 168% return and gold climbing 72% in 2025 alone. Investors are now left pondering: Is this the bursting of a spe

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