NVIDIA Earnings: Goldman Is 34% Above Street — Is $219 a New Base or a Crowded Entry?

Tiger_Earnings
05-12 15:33
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$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has been setting new highs preearnings.

Goldman's buy call. Goldman expects a "beat-and-raise" quarter but explicitly flags: the bar for outperformance is very high after positive supply chain signals from TSMC and SK Hynix have already elevated consensus.

Q2 Preview: GS estimates revenue $87.7B (vs Street $85.1B, +3%), Data Center $82.1B (+4%).

Two Signals the Market Hasn't Fully Priced

① $1 Trillion Data Center Revenue Visibility

Blackwell + Rubin platform revenue runway. Goldman raised FY27/28 EPS to $9.35 / $14.8014% / 34% above Street. FY29 EPS: $18.75, +42% above consensus. This isn't a small revision — it's a systematic repricing of NVIDIA's long-term earnings power.

② Agentic AI Creates a New CPU Demand Curve

NVIDIA's CPU-only rack is expected to begin shipping in 2H26 — a business that's been almost entirely unpriced by the market. As AI shifts from training to agentic inference, CPU scheduling demand is surging. NVIDIA is no longer just a GPU company. Add in accelerating demand from OpenAI, Anthropic, and sovereign AI customers, and the addressable market is being redefined.

Is the Valuation Actually Expensive?

$NVDA$'s current NTM P/E trades at roughly a 10x discount to its 3-year median of 32x. Its premium vs. peers like $AVGO$, $AMD$, $MRVL$ is near historical lows.

Goldman's take: the market is still valuing NVIDIA as a semiconductor cyclical, not as an AI infrastructure platform. The multiple hasn't caught up to the story.

What to Watch Post-Earnings

- Data Center at $74B+ with strong Q2 guidance

- Rubin platform delivery timeline and customer feedback

- First CPU-only rack order volumes

- Non-hyperscaler demand (sovereign AI, Anthropic, OpenAI)

🎯 How Are You Positioned Into NVIDIA Earnings?

Is market underpricing NVIDIA's long-term earnings, or is Goldman too aggressive?

How often does NVDA's beat-and-raise quarter end in "sell the news"?

NVIDIA entering the CPU market with Agentic AI racks — direct competition with $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and $Intel(INTC)$ . Is that incremental optionality or a distraction from the core GPU story?

Leave your comments to win tiger coins~

NVIDIA & TSM Surging: Where Is the Ceiling for Chip Demand?
NVIDIA and TSMC both jumped approximately 6% as analyst reports flagged hyperscalers entering an AI compute "hyperdrive" procurement cycle. TotalEnergies' deployment of the Pangea 5 supercomputer underscores the breadth of industrial AI demand, while orders for NVIDIA's B-series GPUs and AMD's MI400 continue to push advanced-node utilization rates higher. Google is narrowing the market cap gap with NVIDIA. With hyperscalers in "hyperdrive" mode, where is NVIDIA's demand ceiling — and can TSMC's $56B expansion cement its AI foundry dominance?
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Comments

  • Shyon
    05-12 15:43
    Shyon
    I’m still bullish into $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ earnings because the story now goes beyond GPUs. I think NVDA is becoming the core infrastructure layer for the AI economy. If Goldman’s $1T data center revenue thesis plays out, today’s valuation may still look reasonable despite the huge rally.

    What interests me most is the Agentic AI angle and NVIDIA entering the CPU market. I see it as ecosystem expansion rather than a distraction. If AI agents drive massive inference and scheduling workloads, CPUs become strategically important too. That could pressure AMD and Intel while strengthening NVIDIA’s moat with Blackwell and Rubin.

    That said, I still expect volatility after earnings because expectations are extremely high. Even strong beat-and-raise quarters can trigger “sell the news” reactions. For me, the key is whether management continues raising long-term AI demand visibility from hyperscalers, sovereign AI, OpenAI, and Anthropic.

    @Tiger_Earnings @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub

  • TimothyX
    05-12 23:17
    TimothyX
    $NVDA$'s current NTM P/E trades at roughly a 10x discount to its 3-year median of 32x. Its premium vs. peers like $AVGO$, $AMD$, $MRVL$ is near historical lows.

    Goldman's take: the market is still valuing NVIDIA as a semiconductor cyclical, not as an AI infrastructure platform. The multiple hasn't caught up to the story.

  • Cadi Poon
    05-12 23:12
    Cadi Poon
    $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has been setting new highs preearnings.

    Goldman's buy call. Goldman expects a "beat-and-raise" quarter but explicitly flags: the bar for outperformance is very high after positive supply chain signals from TSMC and SK Hynix have already elevated consensus.

  • SuperDuper1
    05-12 21:20
    SuperDuper1
    It is incredible that Wall Street values firms by excluding SBC. This happpens only in the U.S, elsewhere SBC is treated as a real operating cost to shareholders.
  • WanEH
    05-12 17:02
    WanEH
    尽管股价很高,但英伟达目前的 P/E 只有 42 倍左右,而其 PEG(市盈增长比率)仅为 0.6。从估值角度看,如果利润兑现,它甚至比某些增长缓慢的传统蓝筹股还“便宜”。
  • WanEH
    05-12 17:01
    WanEH
    2026 年是 Agentic AI 的爆发元年,这类工作负载不仅需要 GPU,也需要大量通用计算。英伟达的 CPU 机架正在从“赠品”变成“刚需”,我认为这部分收入被市场严重忽略。
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