Shyon
05-21
SpaceX’s S-1 confirms Starlink is the real engine. Connectivity now drives over 60% of revenue with strong margins, while Launch mainly supports cheaper and faster satellite expansion. SpaceX increasingly looks like a global communications platform, not just a rocket company.

The AI division is the biggest question mark. Losing billions with huge CapEx is risky, but Musk is clearly betting on combining X, Grok, Starlink, and orbital infrastructure into one ecosystem. Whether that deserves a large part of the $1.8T valuation is what investors need to decide.

I think today’s valuation is mostly pricing Starlink, while Starship and AI are the long-term upside. If both execute well, SpaceX could become the satellite-era version of Amazon. The IPO also feels more like a funding round for future expansion rather than a rescue for the core business.

@Tiger_SG @TigerClub @TigerStars @Tiger_comments

NASA Moon Base + SpaceX IPO Dual Catalysts — Has Space Sector Lifted Off?
Space stocks surged broadly: RDW +26%, ASTS +13%, RKLB +5.5%, driven by dual catalysts of NASA lunar base program developments and accelerating SpaceX IPO momentum. RDW, as an in-orbit manufacturing and space infrastructure provider, is the most direct NASA procurement beneficiary; ASTS gains reflect broader sector valuation re-rating via its satellite-direct-to-mobile technology; RKLB was highlighted for its space solar power capability as a 'hidden weapon' for Musk's space energy ambitions. Which name can sustain its current valuation independently?
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